GOP voters' main concern is unspecified "direction of the country." Hmm...wonder what that means.

714562

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:mjpls:

EDIT: Graph won't load so you need to go to link to see it.

GOP may not be punished if it can't pass repeal

The GOP base will punish Republicans in upcoming elections if they fail to deliver on their promise to repeal the Affordable Care Act, or at least make an all -out effort to do so. That's the conventional wisdom, right? It was the political motivation behind Republican efforts to pass a widely unpopular repeal-and-replace plan, and then to consider a risky repeal-and-delay plan in the Senate.

Except for one problem: When you look at the polling, the idea that the base will rise up and punish Republicans if they don't repeal the ACA appears to be exaggerated, and possibly even a political fiction.



Data: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (Nov. 15-21, 2016); Chart: Andrew Witherspoon / Axios
They hopedcandidate Trump would find a way to help them pay their health care bills. Just like Democratic voters, and all voters, they care more about their health care costs than the partisan Washington debate about the ACA.
  • Republicans also don't show high levels of intensity on the issue. For example, in July, just 25% of Republicans said they had a "very favorable" view of the Republican ACA replacement plans, while 52% of Democrats said that about the ACA.
  • About half (52%) of Republicans have supported the idea of repealing the ACA now and replacing it later, but that is hardly an overwhelming mandate. (Just 26% of the public overall supported the idea.) Still, most Republicans do want to keep trying. In July, 80% said they don't want to give up on efforts to repeal and replace the ACA.
  • The most conservative Republicans who advocate repeal come from safe districts. They have little to worry about, whether the ACA is repealed or not.
Republicans don't like the ACA, and there is no doubt voting for repeal would be a real plus with the Republican base as well as with big campaign contributors. But the assumption that Republicans will be punished if they fail to repeal the law is a different thing altogether; it has become unexamined conventional wisdom. Republican voters have other things on their minds that matter to them more than health care.

The next election is not until 2018, and the agenda could switch to taxes or a foreign conflict or the Trump administration's continuing problems. In fact, the one thing most likely to keep the ACA on the agenda now would be an effort by the administration to undermine it, and it's far from clear who benefits and loses politically from that.
 

hashmander

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that the fact there is honestly no clear answer who would benefit or lose politically from undermining the ACA shows how fukked we are.
 

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This only further proves what we we've been saying, they don't have a viable replacement. They're just trying replace it just becsuse, which will be political suicide in the long run, once their constituents put it together that the aca = obamacare
 

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This only further proves what we we've been saying, they don't have a viable replacement. They're just trying replace it just becsuse, which will be political suicide in the long run, once their constituents put it together that the aca = obamacare

This is a popular joke to make because it makes Republicans seems stupid, but the truth is they know the ACA is Obamacare. That's why they want it gone; not because it's bad for them, but because it represents a black president's political legacy.
 

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This is a popular joke to make because it makes Republicans seems stupid, but the truth is they know the ACA is Obamacare. That's why they want it gone; not because it's bad for them, but because it represents a black president's political legacy.
That too :manny:
Can't down play the racism aspect of it as well....
 

Pressure

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This seems to be a precursor to RINOS and traditional conservatives taking their battle to the public stage and out of the shadows. :popcorn:
 
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