Weakness down ballot begets further weakness
Meanwhile, Democrats’ very weakness down ballot threatens to breed more weakness. The 2010 midterm elections went very poorly for Democrats, pushing the blue-to-purple states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio into total Republican control. In all three states, the new GOP regimes used their newfound clout to enact anti-union measures. Those measures, by weakening the progressive infrastructure in the states, helped contribute to an ongoing reddening trend that reached its fruition in Trump seizing those states’ electoral votes.
This same basic pattern threatens to reassert itself across large swaths of the country.
In states where Democratic Party politics can’t be anchored in a large cosmopolitan city or a burgeoning nonwhite population, a heavy labor union presence seems necessary. (In Nevada, the one state whose local Democratic Party has been getting stronger lately, there’s both.) But Republican strength in state politics eats away at union strength, begetting further Republican strength.
More prosaically, an attorney general or an insurance commissioner is someone who could be a good future candidate for a Senate seat or a governorship. When you don’t hold the lower offices, it’s hard to move up to the higher ones. And when you don’t hold a majority in the state legislature, it’s hard for a legislator to author bills that pass and become a track record of accomplishment that can boost you in a race for House or an insurance commissioner gig.
The whole Democratic Party is now a smoking pile of rubble