[538] The presidency may be decided by New Hampshire

Saiyajin

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http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

:lupe:

Now there's absolutely no guarantee Trump wins Nevada, NC or Florida but its definitely possible.

For example: The republicans lobbied to limit the early voting hours in North Carolina, to try and suppress those who vote Democrat :francis:

Emails show how Republicans lobbied to limit voting hours in North Carolina

Black voters aren't turning out for Hillary, atleast when it comes to Early voting, which also has her shook. She made a last minute proposal for 25 billion to HBCU which scares me because of how desperate that seems. I don't understand what caused this loss of enthusiasm, considering the overwhelming support she got from Black voters allowed her to defeat Bernie. :yeshrug:

Trump winning Florida sounds likely to me, his message seems to resonate with the state but he could end up losing because I doubt Jewish people are going to vote for him but you never know :yeshrug:

Damn I still remember just a week or two ago when he was only up 3 in Texas :mjlol:

The FBI's announcement that they're reopening the emails really really fukked Hillary over bad....

Thoughts?
 

CASHAPP

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Your right. The presidency will be decided by New Hampshire. Which is why it is mind boggling to me how Trump did not go there more instead of those days he wasted time in Wisconsin and Michigan. I think he is supposed to go to two more cities in NH later this week but I do not see how it will be enough.

He counts on rallies too much and that will be the death of him. The irony will be how he won his very first primary in New Hampshire and New Hampshire will be his downfall...

Nate Silver has it 67 percent/32 percent for Hillary in NH

If Trump was smart the heroin crisis he loves to bring up he would have made a national press conference on TV to speak to the NH people what his policies would be to stop the crisis. He did this but only behind a closed door meeting. That isnt gonna do anything. He should have addressed the entire state and then he would have a better shot of winning.

It does seem like he has Iowa and Ohio in the bag already...and if you noticed Hillary has not campaigned in Iowa

He can win Florida its neck and neck right now but today and tomorrow i think he is supposed to go to 4 cities in Florida so i can see his numbers going up again. We know Black turnout will be low, if he loses the death of him will be because of not enough white women supporting him. What Hillary does in each state that is smart is that she holds her speeches at or around voting areas so the people know where to vote. Trump on the otherhand is the type to hold rallies in football stadiums :mjlol:

North Carolina i think he will win by the skin of his teeth and Nevada depends on whether or not Hispanics have a huge turnout
 

Jx2

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True but we better not be the state that ultimately decides to put Trump into the White House. I feel like there's a very warm place in hell waiting for us as NH natives/residents if we are responsible for the end of days:mjlol:
 

Professor Emeritus

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Black voters aren't turning out for Hillary, atleast when it comes to Early voting, which also has her shook. She made a last minute proposal for 25 billion to HBCU which scares me because of how desperate that seems. I don't understand what caused this loss of enthusiasm, considering the overwhelming support she got from Black voters allowed her to defeat Bernie. :yeshrug:


Primary voters and general election voters are two different beasts.

Primaries are dominated by people who vote every freaking time the polls open. They're older, more conservative, more loyal - the kind of people Clinton needed.


But to get a big general election turnout, you need to expand past that base. And the young people in the community just ain't buying it anymore.
 

Dusty Bake Activate

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He's not winning the presidency. Anyone who thinks otherwise pm me so we can put money on it.

Omw to vote now, gonna write in my alcoholic uncle :mjgrin:
The ultimate ether to Drumpf stans is gonna be when he loses because of all the new hispanic voters in Florida. They're gonna want to build a wall around the Port of Miami.
 
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