Lucky_Lefty
Dreams Are Colder Than Death...
ButOur new quarterback-adjusted stats and experience (QBASE) system finds that, even ignoring his off-field concerns, the odds are against Winston ever becoming an elite quarterback.
Marcus Mariota, on the other hand, has all the statistical markers that previous elite quarterbacks have had. Other college quarterbacks whose numbers looked as good but who failed in the NFL have had at least one statistical weak point that marked them as potentially fraudulent, according to QBASE. By the numbers, Mariota has no such weakness. While the numbers may mean a little less in his case due to Oregon's system, highly drafted quarterbacks with his statistical resume have been the best bets to succeed in the NFL. QBASE does not call Mariota a sure thing. But, in contrast to Winston, Mariota would be worth the top pick in the draft.
How did they get this hypothesis you ask???
To predict NFL success for this year's quarterback class, QBASE looks at a range of statistics that we describe in detail at the end of the article. Those statistics account for the opposing defenses that each quarterback faced and the quality of his offensive teammates. Based on those adjusted stats, QBASE conducts 50,000 simulations to estimate the defense-adjusted yards above replacement (DYAR) each quarterback will generate in Years 3-5 of his NFL career.
They pressed as shyt

does any of that even mean?

