BREAKING: U.S. Warns of Mosul Dam Collapse In Northern Iraq That Could Kill 1.5 Million People

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Security Message to U.S. Citizens
February 29, 2016

Planning for Possible Collapse of the Mosul Dam

The disruption of maintenance operations in 2014 increased the risk of the Mosul Dam collapsing. The Government of Iraq (GOI) is preparing to initiate emergency maintenance operations to reduce the risk of failure.

A dam failure would cause significant flooding and interruption of essential services in low-lying areas along the Tigris River Valley from Mosul to Baghdad. Some models estimate that Mosul could be inundated by as much as 70 feet (21 meters) of water within hours of the breach. Downriver cities such as Tikrit, Samarra, and Baghdad could be inundated with smaller, but still significant levels of flooding within 24-72 hours of the breach.

We have no specific information that indicates when a breach might occur, but out of an abundance of caution, we would like to underscore that prompt evacuation offers the most effective tool to save lives of the hundreds of thousands of people living in the most dangerous part of the flood path in the event of a breach. Proper preparation could save many lives.

The Embassy would be extremely limited in its ability to assist in the event of a crisis. Therefore, the Embassy recommends that U.S. citizens in Iraq, especially those who reside in the floodplain of the Tigris River, do the following:

Prepare your own contingency plans. Detailed guidance on developing a personal contingency plan may be found on the Department’s website on natural disasters.

Update your documents. Lack of vital records and travel documents, such as birth certificates, passports or visas, will hamper the Embassy’s ability to assist in an emergency situation. We encourage U.S. citizens and their family members to apply now for the proper travel document and/or Consular Report of Birth Abroad. See Embassy Baghdad’s website for more information.

Enroll in STEP to receive security messages from the Embassy, and improve State’s ability to assist you in a crisis.

Stay informed of local media reports and GOI warnings, which are available on the Embassy’s website.

While it is impossible to accurately predict the likelihood of the dam failing, the Embassy has made contingency plans to relocate its personnel in such an event.


DESTROY AND REBUILD THE MIDDLE EAST :damn: :damn: :damn::damn::damn::damn:
 

num123

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Mosul Dam - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Renewed instability concerns following ISIS control
Maintenance had been deferred during the Battle for Mosul Dam due to security concerns, and many workers did not work because of the risk of attacks by ISIS and due to lack of pay. Half of the workers who worked at the dam have quit because they had not been paid for over five months, and budget shortfalls and political infighting between the Kurdish regional government and the central government of Iraq have made it difficult to hire new workers. Together these factors have made Mosul Dam the "most dangerous dam in the world", because there are "almost certainly an unprecedented level of untreated voids" in the dam's foundation."[15]

Growing instability concerns due to the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) previous control of the dam and poor security led the Iraq government to award a US$2 billion contract to an Italian company, Trevi, in December 2015. The contract covers repairs to the dam and the Italian government plans to send 450 additional troops to provide security at the dam site.[16]

In January 2016, U.S. General Sean MacFarland warned that the dam might undergo a "catastrophic" collapse. He added, “What we do know is this—if this dam were in the United States, we would have drained the lake behind it".[17] Maintenance had suffered as ISIS had removed equipment and chased technicians away in August 2014, and the grouting schedule had not been maintained.[18] He indicated that contingency plans are in the works to protect people downstream in case of a collapse.[18] Some Iraqi officials continued to dismiss claims of a potential failure. In February 2016, the Minister of Water Resources, Muhsin al-Shammari stated "The looming danger to Mosul dam is one in a thousand. This risk level is present in all the world's dams".[19]

According to The Economist, "One study says that if the dam collapses, Mosul would be submerged within hours. Another warns that half a million Iraqis could be killed by floodwaters, and more than a million forced from their homes. Disease and looting as the floodwaters raced through Baiji, Tikrit, Samarra and even parts of Baghdad would complete that dreadful scenario."[17]

In February 2016, the United States Embassy in Iraq warned of a "serious and unprecedented" danger of the dam collapsing and suggester plans for evacuation should be made, as the cities Mosul, Tikrit, Samarra, and Baghdad could be at risk in the event of collapse, and that up to 1.5 million people could be killed due to flash floods.[20] The Prime Minister of Iraq, Haider al-Abadi, repeated these concerns and called for citizens in Mosul to evacuate and move at least 3.5 miles away from the river.[21]

On February 29, a Trevi spokesman said that the contract had still not been signed. There are concerns that the dam could collapse before the repair works begin.[22]
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