Look a little closer at the Crystal Ball breh. UK's percentage is what it is because a large amount of experts predicted UK before the summer recruiting sessions.
Nobody's predicted Brown to UK in two months. Since those two months, there's been 8 experts predict UCLA, 3 predict Georgia and one pick Kansas. General consensus has been that Brown may go Adidas and that UCLA is the heavy favorite.
Most of Newman's predictions are from over a year ago. Mississippi State picked up a lot of steam with him over the summer and most people now view them as the favorite. However, if any of the three I named go to UK, I think its him. Ellenson's a virtual lock for Marquette.
I think UK has a good shot with Zimmerman, but they gotta go up against his hometown school of UNLV.
Really tho, the thing that's slowed recruiting down for UK this year is that their roster is so stacked. Really, I don't think UK really needs a good recruiting class this year to still be a title contender in the '15-'16 season. But as far as Brown and Newman, I definitely think that UK has a shot with them since they won't commit until the end of this season. But I definitely don't think UK is the leader for either of them right now. That could change tho.