Canada 2025 Election: Sohh… the Tories BLEW a 25-point lead! Mark Carney’s Liberals WIN a Minority Government

Next Canadian Election has…


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MushroomX

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Trump out here putting the Death Touch on Conservatives. Yes its a Minority Gov., but to go from a Landslide to this, that still counts as a Major win.
 

FAH1223

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Hey pls explain the lessons. Was this like 2016 in the US? Or was this more of a snap reaction to trump/tariffs rhetoric?
The latter.

The Conservative Party (CPC) had a 25 point lead in the polls in January. Trump got inaugurated, Trudeau stepped down, and the reversal began.
 

waltthizzney

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wonder what PP's first job will be after 20 years, maybe he will go back to Telus working the collection phone lines, oh wait im sure that is outsourced to India now :lolbron:
 

GnauzBookOfRhymes

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The latter.

The Conservative Party (CPC) had a 25 point lead in the polls in January. Trump got inaugurated, Trudeau stepped down, and the reversal began.

Damn, 25 points!

How much of that do you think was due to the country simply moving away from the Liberal party vs a reaction to specific failures by Trudeau?

In other words, is Canada going through the same issues that we see in Europe (rising white nationalism etc)?
 

FAH1223

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Damn, 25 points!

How much of that do you think was due to the country simply moving away from the Liberal party vs a reaction to specific failures by Trudeau?

In other words, is Canada going through the same issues that we see in Europe (rising white nationalism etc)?
Canada has a huge cost of living and housing crisis. My cousins up there can't buy a house or condo in Ontario. Immigration exploded during and after COVID, mainly from India, that has sparked a backlash as well. The economy is growing at a slower pace than other major economies.

Trudeau was not responsive to these problems or wasn't proactive. His popularity tanked after 2022 and with it the Liberal Party's hopes in the 2025 Election.

Him resigning and Carney coming in without the baggage and being a relatively fresh face along with the contrast to Trump started the reversal. Carney is a technocrat banker not really a politician.
 

GnauzBookOfRhymes

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Canada has a huge cost of living and housing crisis. My cousins up there can't buy a house or condo in Ontario. Immigration exploded during and after COVID, mainly from India, that has sparked a backlash as well. The economy is growing at a slower pace than other major economies.

Trudeau was not responsive to these problems or wasn't proactive. His popularity tanked after 2022 and with it the Liberal Party's hopes in the 2025 Election.

Him resigning and Carney coming in without the baggage and being a relatively fresh face along with the contrast to Trump started the reversal. Carney is a technocrat banker not really a politician.

Do you think this new govt now has the political capital to push through funding etc for a ton of new housing? I know here in the states even if the political will exists, projects take too long, have to jump through all kinds of legal hoops, not to mention NIMBYism, and can't keep up with the increase in demand.

I think if an incredibly wealthy nation like Canada (9th in GDP but 40th in population) can't manage this issue, I don't know if anyone can.
 

FAH1223

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Do you think this new govt now has the political capital to push through funding etc for a ton of new housing? I know here in the states even if the political will exists, projects take too long, have to jump through all kinds of legal hoops, not to mention NIMBYism, and can't keep up with the increase in demand.

I think if an incredibly wealthy nation like Canada (9th in GDP but 40th in population) can't manage this issue, I don't know if anyone can.
:hubie: no idea. Libs better do something cause they need to rebuild credibility. They got another lifeline. @thatrapsfan can answer
 

thatrapsfan

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Vote counting is finished. Officially a minority government, but as strong a minority as you can get. 169 seats so three seats short of a majority.

They will have the ability to cooperate with various parties depending on the policy area.

Anticipate that Carney will govern without a formal confidence agreement and will likely make his first legislative priorities ones that the Conservatives would be hard pressed to immediately reject (middle class tax, removing provinical trade barriers, energy infrastructure).
 

bnew

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Trump Brags About How He Screwed Over MAGA’s Canadian Ally in Election​




The president talked his impact on Canada’s Monday election to The Atlantic.​


Sarah Ewall-Wice

Updated Apr. 28 2025 5:32PM EDT Published Apr. 28 2025 5:18PM EDT

Donald Trump gives a thumbs up sign and smiles in front of a green hedge. People in the foreground are waving.


Josh Morgan/Josh Morgan/USA TODAYImagn Images/Reuters

Donald Trump has touted tanking Canada’s right-of-center party’s chances of winning Monday’s election—even though it will put the left-of-center liberals in power north of the border.

The president bragged about his power in an interview with The Atlantic published Monday, just as Canadian voters headed to the polls in an election that had been a lay-up for the country’s opposition Conservative Party.

The election was called because Trump foil Justin Trudeau, leader of the ruling Liberal party, resigned. His replacement Mark Carney—a former head of both the Bank of Canada and Bank of England—then became prime minister and appeared set for a crushing defeat.

But Trump’s attacks on Canada and push to make it the 51st state turned the race on its head.

The president bragged about his personal impact on the election during a White House interview while discussing his push to make Canada a state.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and his wife Anaida Poilievre cast their votes in the federal election in Ottawa, Ontario Canada, on April 28, 2025.
Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre, pictured casting his ballot with his wife Anaida Poilievre on April 28, was the MAGA-aligned politician whose party was leading in the Canadian election before President Trump's attack's on the country. Adrian Wyld/AFP via Getty Images

“You know, until I came along, remember that the conservative was leading by 25 points,” Trump said.

“Then I was disliked by enough of the Canadians that I’ve thrown the election into a close call, right? I don’t even know if it’s a close call,” he added.

In Canada, voters do not directly cast ballots for prime minister but for candidates in a political party to join parliament. The leader of the party with the most seats then becomes prime minister.

Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre was considered the frontrunner consistent with the rise in anti-incumbent party sentiment at the start of the year. Trudeau and his Liberal Party had been in power for nearly a decade. Poilievre had run on a MAGA-style platform, promising tax cuts, complaining about immigration and dipping his toe into culture war issues.

Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal Party Leader Mark Carney gives a thumbs up after casting his ballot a polling station during the federal election in Ottawa, Canada on April 28, 2025.
Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal Party leader Mark Carney gives a thumbs up after casting his ballot in Ottawa, Canada on April 28. His party appears on track to win the election amid attacks by President Trump on Canada. Sean Kilpatrick/AFP via Getty Images

But since Trump took office in January, the Conservative Party’s 25-point lead has been wiped out. Canadian pollster Frank Graves credited Trump as the biggest factor in the election.

The president brought up the election in his interview while talking about making Canada the 51st state.

“I say it would make a great 51st state. I love other nations. I love Canada,” Trump said.

He argued if Canada was a state, it would not face tariffs.

That’s when The Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg cut in and asked the president if he was serious about wanting Canada to become a state.

“I think it would be great,” Trump responded.

When Goldberg pointed out that Canada would amount to a very large Democratic-leaning state, Trump argued out that it had been previously been leaning toward the country’s Conservative Party.

He said that conservatives did not like Trudeau, referring to him as “governor.”

“I would call him Governor Trudeau, but he wasn’t fond of that,” the president said.

Most polls in Canada close at 9:30pm ET. Election results were expected late Monday night.

Carney was expected to secure a majority in the Ottawa parliament on an anti-Trump ticket which would put his party in power in Canada until after the 2028 elections.
 

bnew

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'Our old relationship of integration with the US is now over': Canadian Prime Minister





Commented on Tue Apr 29 18:52:25 2025 UTC

Speaking to supporters, Carney declared, “Canada now finds itself at a hinge moment of history”. “Our old relationship of integration with the US is now over. We are over the shock of the American betrayal,” he said.

Carney further warned, “America wants our land, our resources, our water, our country. These are not idle threats.”

“President Trump is trying to break us so that America can own us. That will never, ever happen,” he said. The Prime Minister also declared that his upcoming talks with Trump would focus on negotiating a fair economic and security relationship. “This is Canada, and we decide what happens here,” Carney asserted. “We will fight back with everything we have to get the best deal for Canada.”


Pretty powerful words coming from Carney. I'm sorry it had to come to this, many of us in the US didn't want this either.
 
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