was thinking about making a thread on this.
this term will be more devastating than the 2008 financial crisis. if trump goes through with eliminating all social safety nets, cutting back on certain women's rights, cutting back on civil rights, it will do great depression level devastation. black men and women will have no choice but to pair up with whatever they can get for survival and this gender war fracas, that we've had to endure all these years, is going to dissipate immediately.
we're in this situation because we live in delusion - living in the most powerful country, at the apex of capitalism, with freedoms not experienced anywhere else on the planet.
take those away and the decadent veil that we're all walking around with, will drop.
Yes, it is similar to what happened to the Jews at the end of Weimar Germany. People don't realize it but the German Jewish community had been fragmenting and its institutions falling apart through integration and apathy. There were fights between Jews of different classes, German vs. Eastern European Jews beef, some gender warring, nobody really going to shul, like 30% intermarriage etc. Once the niceties of liberal democracy collapsed people got on code pretty quick and stayed there till almost the 1970s.
The thing that scares me most is all the old Black institutional structure is almost gone. During the racial violence of the 1920s, it was bad but Black churches, community institutions, Negro Business League, and even Odd Fellow/Masons type groups were active and organizing folks. All we really have left is D9, J&J, and some legacy civil rights groups that have no connection with young people. And no, Black Twitter and its ilk are not community organizations.
We have more money and integration than any Black folks in America's history but we are ironically also more vulnerable to a massive reaction like we are having now.
Couldn't have said it any better. Especially the part about how some thought that gender could help them assimilate. Intersectionality is a manifestation of this. Now that political oppression is out and about, black academia (the champions of intersectionality) is spooked. I was wondering what you think will happen next? Given what's happening with China moving up the value chain, it's clear that american quality of living will go down.... so more economic oppression.
Even though CRT and DEI are dog whistles for Black people overall, I think it shocked a lot of complacent people how eagerly the Right would target them as opposed to the typical boogeyman of underclass Black males and single mothers. The way they crashed out over the election, as disappointing as it was, exposes we have no plan or strategy to deal with hostile White power but pray the Democrats can be in office forever. That was never realistic.
The big issue is this is exposing how a lot of prominent Black folks were held up by non-Black institutions and rode cultural trends but don't have real power. I am furious how a lot of the intellectual class, supposedly our vanguard, squandered the resources and goodwill of the George Floyd/BLM movement. We could have used that to build up a base and plan to tackle the rising tide in this country but instead people acted a fool on social media and were opportunists. The best thing we got out of it was more HBCU funding but it could have been bigger. But I digress.
Look at how cowardly all the liberal institutions like MSNBC, the new anti-woke Democrats, and others are to throw us under the bus. Black folks are going to have to set up their own networks, schools, and self-help organizations to get stuff done. I think over time this will weed out the loudmouths and ideologues because they are not effective at accomplishing anything in the real world. Black history and Black studies is supposed to inform us of our past to help construct the future, not devolve into arcane theory and ideology splitting Black folks into 20 different oppositional sub-groups.
Actually there's someone where all of this already happened if you want a good case study. It's called Brazil. If Brazil is a case study for what's to come then I'm telling you that the gender warring won't stop. Instead it will be a mixed gender war as both gender try to flee to the arms of others (black men to white women and black women to hispanic men).
I don't think Black America overall will go that way. I think part is vulnerable but most are not.
The most vulnerable are the West Coast and somewhat New England Black folks while the South and DMV will endure as a traditional Black community, even under duress. West Coast has high out migration, particularly of young successful Black folk, as well as the highest IR in the country. Combine that with small Black numbers and I think long term the Black community will have trouble with cohesion or at least have a totally new identity. The South and DMV are the exact opposite in these regards.
Midwest is a toss up
@invalid can speak to Chicago but Midwest has poor economic and population trends. Some places like Wisconsin I believe may become downright hostile for Black folks outside major metros like Milwaukee or Madison.