Early voting results in Nevada look dire for Trump

[Dusty Bake Activate]

Trump May Have Already Lost Nevada, A Bad Sign For Down Ballot Republicans

When early voting ended in Nevada's largest Clark County Friday night, Democrats had a nearly 73,000 vote advantage, larger than President Obama had four years ago when he won the state by 7 points.

The stats were gathered by Nevada's premier political reporter Jon Ralston, who wrote Saturday morning that Trump "needs a Miracle in Vegas on Election Day" to pull out a win in Nevada now.

Statewide – and without all the rural counties counted– it looked as if Democrats had a roughly 45,000 vote advantage in Nevada, Ralston reported. That translates into about a 6-point Democratic lead already banked going into Election Day, a sign that Clinton may pull out a win there and assist Democrats down ballot, too.

The highly contested race to fill the Senate seat of the retiring Harry Reid could determine who controls the Senate, giving the Nevada early voting numbers even more national significance.


Nevada has been a closely watched state this cycle, and the public polling has been close. Despite a larger Latino population, Trump was still polling within low, single digits of Clinton there, a reflection of both a large blue collar white population and a state that's battled a slower economic recovery.

Dave Wasserman, another data pundit and congressional race expert, warned that the early vote numbers in Nevada were a bad sign for down ballot Republicans who needed Trump not to crater at the top of the ticket.

 

[FaTaL]

It's too early but you just never know

I mean in Florida there's been a 28% increase in black voting in comparison to 2012

 

[No1]

Trump May Have Already Lost Nevada, A Bad Sign For Down Ballot Republicans

This race has been over for months, I don't know why people are fronting like it is otherwise. Add this to the fact that Trump has no ground game and it's over.

 

[Misanthrope]

If Ralston says it's over, it's probably over. If the numbers are consistent Democrats'll win back 2 seats in the house as well.

 

[FaTaL]

If Ralston says it's over, it's probably over. If the numbers are consistent Democrats'll win back 2 seats in the house as well.

Which ones? Rethugs still got more house seats?

 

[VegasCAC]

If Ralston says it's over, it's probably over. If the numbers are consistent Democrats'll win back 2 seats in the house as well.

Jon Ralston tha Gawd of Nevada politics

 

[Misanthrope]

Which ones? Rethugs still got more house seats?

The Dems should take the 3rd and 4th districts which were Republican. Joe Heck was in the 3rd, but quit to run for Senate, Ruben Kihuen in the 4th got the Harry Reid stimulus package.

 

[Dusty Bake Activate]

This race has been over for months, I don't know why people are fronting like it is otherwise. Add this to the fact that Trump has no ground game and it's over.

Yup. Trump has no ground game, and I don't think a lot of people realize yet that these hispanic voters are not fukking around. They are surging in early voting. That's gonna be why Hillary wins FL. There's a bunch of new hispanic voters, particularly Puerto Rican voters in central FL, who are the most pro-Hillary hispanic group.

 

[ZoeGod]

I read somewhere the Latino vote is gonna be higher than it was in 2012 which was a record year. Trump is about to get a demographic nuke hurled at him.

 

[FaTaL]

Yup. Trump had no ground game, and I don't think a lot of people realize yet that these hispanic voters are not fukking around. They are surging in early voting. That's gonna be why Hillary wins FL. There's a bunch of new hispanic voters, particularly Puerto Rican voters in central FL, who are the most pro-Hillary hispanic group.

A lot of old Cubans say trump reminds them of Castro and most young Cubans are dems

I think Florida will be real close though

I wonder how much the Latino/Hispanic vote increases this year in Florida

 

[88m3]

This race has been over for months, I don't know why people are fronting like it is otherwise. Add this to the fact that Trump has no ground game and it's over.

It is sad!

 

[Uno]

A lot of old Cubans say trump reminds them of Castro and most young Cubans are dems

I think Florida will be real close though

I wonder how much the Latino/Hispanic vote increases this year in Florida

Blow out, Dems are up in early voting in Duval County.

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

Let's see how many rural hillbillies and old white racists turn up in Florida but honestly fukk Florida right now I'm looking at a couple other states..

By my count Clinton is LOCKED at 268 meaning I don't see any way she gets below 268.

If Hill takes something like North Carolina this will be a blowout.

 

[No1]

Yup. Trump has no ground game, and I don't think a lot of people realize yet that these hispanic voters are not fukking around. They are surging in early voting. That's gonna be why Hillary wins FL. There's a bunch of new hispanic voters, particularly Puerto Rican voters in central FL, who are the most pro-Hillary hispanic group.

The only thing I'm weary about is the extent to which people will hold Clinton accountable. It's like people will say at least it's not Trump, and give her all sorts of passes. I'm already seeing it right now.

 

[FaTaL]

Let's see how many rural hillbillies and old white racists turn up in Florida but honestly fukk Florida right now I'm looking at a couple other states..

By my count Clinton is LOCKED at 268 meaning I don't see any way she gets below 268.

If Hill takes something like North Carolina this will be a blowout.

Are there any close states that she could lose that she should win?