How we almost had a worldwide catastrophe in 2012, and probably still will

acri1

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Other than the obvious of course :whoa:

While you didn’t see it, feel it, or even read about it in the newspapers, Earth was almost knocked back to the Stone Age on July 23, 2012. It wasn’t some crazed dictator with his finger on the thermonuclear button or a giant asteroid that came close to wiping out civilization as we know it, though — no, what nearly ended us was a massive solar storm. Almost two years ago to the day, our most bounteous and fantastical celestial body — the Sun — kicked out one of the largest solar flares and coronal mass ejections ever recorded. And it missed Earth by a whisker. “If it had hit, we would still be picking up the pieces,” says Daniel Baker, who led the research into the massive solar storm.

A solar storm is a generic term for increased activity in the Sun. In this case, the solar storm of July 2012 consisted of a massive solar flare, followed by a colossal coronal mass ejection (CME). A solar flare is initiated by the sudden release of energy stored in the Sun’s corona, causing the Sun’s plasma to heat up to tens of millions of degrees, accelerating and kicking out all sorts of radiation, and often creating a solar prominence or filament (eruption). In a large solar storm, the same energy from the corona can also cause a coronal mass ejection — a much slower-moving billion-ton cloud of plasma (electrons and protons).

Suffice it to say, but it’s bad news if the energy and plasma from a big solar flare or CME hits the Earth. Much like a man-made electromagnetic pulse (EMP) weapon, the solar energetic particles strike the Earth with such force that it ionizes the atmosphere, creating a vast cloud of energetic electrons that bounce around inside the atmosphere destroying electronics and fusing conductive wires everywhere. It would probably take out a few satellites in Earth orbit, too.

Prior to the July 2012 storm, the largest recorded storm was the Carrington Event of 1859. A massive solar flare and CME struck Earth, destroying much of the Victorian telegraph network in Europe and North America. Other solar storms have hit Earth since then, but fortunately we’ve only been hit by one large storm during modern times, which caused the 1989 Quebec blackout. The July 2012 storm was roughly twice as large as the event that caused the Quebec blackout — but fortunately, thanks to the sheer expanse of space and the Earth’s relatively large orbital distance, we dodged the bullet. “In my view the July 2012 storm was in all respects at least as strong as the 1859 Carrington event,” says Daniel Baker of the University of Colorado. “The only difference is, it missed.” [Read: Finally confirmed: An asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs.]

Rather luckily for science, though, the July 2012 solar flare and CME did hit NASA’s STEREO A satellite square on the nose. STEREO A and B are solar observation satellites that have been orbiting the Sun since 2006, providing us with all sorts of delicious imagery and science. The video above uses footage captured by the two STEREO satellites. The image at the top of the story, of a solar flare with the Earth photoshopped in for scale, was captured by NASA’s newer Solar Dynamics Observatory. Using data from these satellites, and from historical solar storms,


The interdependency of different systems in the US. If the power fails, so does everything else.


Power systems that would be affected by a large geomagnetic storm in the US

If the solar storm had hit Earth back in 2012, the total economic impact is estimated to be around $2 trillion, or 20 times the cost of Hurricane Katrina. It’s not just about money, though: As I covered in our feature story The Machine Stops, it would take time to fix up the world’s power grid. You can’t just magically replace dozens of giant transformers and substations. There are only so many diesel generators to fill the gap. If a giant solar storm hit the Earth, large parts of society could be without power for months or years.

[
Pete Riley, a physicist who looked at extreme space weather events for the last 50 years, says there’s a 12% chance that a Carrington-level storm will hit Earth in the next 10 years.


What it looked like when the solar flare at the top of the story hit the Earth’s atmosphere: Aurora borealis!

It isn’t all bad though: When we inevitably get hit by a large solar event, the resultant geomagnetic storm that wipes out most of Earth’s electronic systems will also generate some beautiful Aurorae. The Carrington Event was so powerful that the Northern Lights (aurora borealis) were seen as far south as Cuba, and the Southern Lights (aurora australis) were seen in Queensland, Australia.

At least the anarchic post-apocalyptic Earth will have a nice backdrop, then…

The solar storm of 2012 that almost sent us back to a post-apocalyptic Stone Age - ExtremeTech


Crazy shyt. If this storm had happened a week earlier Earth would've been in the line of fire, and it basically the electricity would be out pretty much worldwide. Would fry power grids worldwide.

Scary thing is, they're saying about a 12% chance per decade so there's a pretty good chance most of us will be around whenever we do finally get hit. If I remember right the last time a storm actually hit was in the late 1800s so all it did was fukk up some telegraphs or something, but today it would be catastrophic.
 

BK The Great

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Sure we do. It will get rid of COVID...

Not really, we will just deal with having no electricity along with dealing with this virus and multiple deaths without the essentials we need. Hospitals will be packed and far more over capacity than we’re dealing with now.
 

Ethnic Vagina Finder

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Other than the obvious of course :whoa:



The solar storm of 2012 that almost sent us back to a post-apocalyptic Stone Age - ExtremeTech


Crazy shyt. If this storm had happened a week earlier Earth would've been in the line of fire, and it basically the electricity would be out pretty much worldwide. Would fry power grids worldwide.

Scary thing is, they're saying about a 12% chance per decade so there's a pretty good chance most of us will be around whenever we do finally get hit. If I remember right the last time a storm actually hit was in the late 1800s so all it did was fukk up some telegraphs or something, but today it would be catastrophic.




:demonic:

 

hashmander

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if it was coming would they have been able to warn us in advance? because this shyt got me googling off grid solar powers systems and solar flares, CMEs and EMPs. apparently as long as the inverters and charge controllers aren't connected during the event they shouldn't be damaged. the panels and battery bank are not at risk.

Can Solar Flares, CME, EMP Damage Your Off Grid Solar Power System
 

Yapdatfool

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Not really, we will just deal with having no electricity along with dealing with this virus and multiple deaths without the essentials we need. Hospitals will be packed and far more over capacity than we’re dealing with now.

Since there wont be any electricity, there wont be any 5g, therefore no covid :troll:

Plus you can't test without electricity, and you can't have a case without a test, therefore no covid :troll:
 

BK The Great

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Since there wont be any electricity, there wont be any 5g, therefore no covid :troll:

Plus you can't test without electricity, and you can't have a case without a test, therefore no covid :troll:


People will still be sick though. Therefore you can catch it still.
 

MushroomX

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Quebec had one in 1989.

The Day the Sun Brought Darkness

On March 13, 1989 the entire province of Quebec, Canada suffered an electrical power blackout. Hundreds of blackouts occur in some part of North America every year. The Quebec Blackout was different, because this one was caused by a solar storm!

On Friday March 10, 1989 astronomers witnessed a powerful explosion on the sun. Within minutes, tangled magnetic forces on the sun had released a billion-ton cloud of gas. It was like the energy of thousands of nuclear bombs exploding at the same time. The storm cloud rushed out from the sun, straight towards Earth, at a million miles an hour. The solar flare that accompanied the outburst immediately caused short-wave radio interference, including the jamming of radio signals from Radio Free Europe into Russia. It was thought that the signals had been jammed by the Kremlin, but it was only the sun acting up!

On the evening of Monday, March 12 the vast cloud of solar plasma (a gas of electrically charged particles) finally struck Earth's magnetic field. The violence of this 'geomagnetic storm' caused spectacular 'northern lights' that could be seen as far south as Florida and Cuba. The magnetic disturbance was incredibly intense. It actually created electrical currents in the ground beneath much of North America. Just after 2:44 a.m. on March 13, the currents found a weakness in the electrical power grid of Quebec. In less than 2 minutes, the entire Quebec power grid lost power. During the 12-hour blackout that followed, millions of people suddenly found themselves in dark office buildings and underground pedestrian tunnels, and in stalled elevators. Most people woke up to cold homes for breakfast. The blackout also closed schools and businesses, kept the Montreal Metro shut during the morning rush hour, and closed Dorval Airport.

The Quebec Blackout was by no means a local event. Some of the U.S. electrical utilities had their own cliffhanger problems to deal with. New York Power lost 150 megawatts the moment the Quebec power grid went down. The New England Power Pool lost 1,410 megawatts at about the same time. Service to 96 electrical utilities in New England was interrupted while other reserves of electrical power were brought online. Luckily, the U.S. had the power to spare at the time…but just barely. Across the United States from coast to coast, over 200 power grid problems erupted within minutes of the start of the March 13 storm. Fortunately none of these caused a blackout.

In space, some satellites actually tumbled out of control for several hours. NASA's TDRS-1 communication satellite recorded over 250 anomalies as high-energy particles invaded the satellite's sensitive electronics. Even the Space Shuttle Discovery was having its own mysterious problems. A sensor on one of the tanks supplying hydrogen to a fuel cell was showing unusually high pressure readings on March 13. The problem went away just as mysteriously after the solar storm subsided.

Twenty years later, the March 1989 'Quebec Blackout' has reached legendary stature, at least among electrical engineers and space scientists. It is a dramatic example of how solar storms can affect us even here on the ground. Fortunately, storms as powerful as this are rather rare. It takes quite a solar wallop to cause anything like the conditions leading up to a Quebec-style blackout. Typical solar activity 'sunspot' cycles can produce least two or three large storms, so it really is just a matter of chance whether one will cause a blackout or not. As it is for hurricanes and tornadoes, the more we can learn about the sun's 'space weather,' the better we can prepare for the next storm when it arrives!


Dr. Sten Odenwald
NASA Astronomer
ADNET/Catholic University
 
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