Now That's How You Sposed to Open a Summer Blockbuster! | The Domestic Box Office Thread | Jun. 7-9

Which Movie will Gross More this Weekend?

  • Don't Worry Darling

    Votes: 2 100.0%
  • The Woman King

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    2
  • Poll closed .

The Devil's Advocate

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Do the theaters/studios actually know how many tickets were actually used versus purchased though?
Oh I guarantee they do. They know how many were admitted in the theater when the ticket taker scans your ticket / phone.

It's no different than a sporting event. I remember years ago, the Red Sox would announce their sellout streak during every home game. And you would look around like :mjtf: there's two thousand empty seats. Y'all ain't let 37,000 people through the gates. But all those games were sold out, technically. Some people weren't tryna fight Boston traffic at 6:30 to go see a mediocre Sox team play on a Wednesday night.

And so the Red Sox ended up with all the ticket revenue and got to say we've sold out 820 games in a row despite their being 7,000 empty seats. And now Angel Studios can do the same. :wow:

No... They have no fukking idea. I'm not even joking. How many theaters scan your ticket with some type of electronic scanner when going in? Not many.. Most sell you the ticket on or offline, then ask to LOOK at it and point you to the theater. They are not counting is neither is anything else.

Now some chains might be doing this and they'd know.. But we talking on a global scale.. The reporting in would be so small, it's not even worth tracking.. And that's why unlike sports games, you'll never hear a single stat about this, because it doesn't exist
 

Json

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The Monday numbers were crazy too. Heard it was something like 'Barbie' $27M and Oppenheimer $14M. That looks good for their second weekend.
Barbie going to crash 85% second weekend… bet on it.:troll:



Nah but seriously, heavy female skewing movies have long theatrical play cause women will go several times with different groups. The rest of summer to Labor Day is golden for Barbie.
 

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Avisible Man

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That shyt ain't happening here. 'Oppenheimer' still got the IMAX and 'Barbie' still got the other large screens. Nobody gives a fukk about Mansion. Another Disney blunder.

It's like that here, too. Oppie has IMAX, Cinemark XD and Showcase X Plus. Barbie has Cinemark XD and Showcase X Plus. Haunted Mansion only has Dolby Cinema at AMC and standard showings near me. It's the same in Boston. :picard:

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the plan for Haunted Mansion is for it to release on D+ in October
but they just can't drop it on there because of production contracts
they knew it would always underperform in the BO so they're hoping for a hocus pocus 2 reception on D+ which it will have I bet
 

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Shares of Imax Corp. rallied after hours on Wednesday after the high-end movie-theater operator reported second-quarter results that beat estimates — helped by titles like “Super Mario Bros.” — with more gains likely on the way as theater operators ride blockbusters like “Oppenheimer” through the summer.

The results, Imax IMAX, +2.84% executives said, landed as more moviegoers are showing a preference for seeing movies in “premium” theaters following the shutdown of the industry during the pandemic.
 

Avisible Man

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What's at the Movies this Weekend (Jul. 28-30)


In the midst of Barbie and Oppenheimer making $350M combined in 6 days, we actually have 2 new movies releasing this weekend. Disney's Haunted Mansion, will play in 3,740 theaters. Box Office Pro had it doing $28M. The Eddie Murphy one did $24.2M when it opened in November of '03. The previews ain't looking too good right now. It's looking like this near me:

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11 seats sold at the AMC. :picard:

Only 10 at the Cinemark. :mjpls:

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Reviews ain't looking good: 40% rotten on the TOMATOMETER. Maybe that's why Justin Simien, the director, is out of the Lando series, and Donald and Stephen Glover are now writing that series. :patrice:


I'll catch this on Disney+.




The other new release is the A24's, Talk to Me. I saw this trailer the last couple of times I went to the movies and it didn't do anything for me. I'm chalking it up to it being an Australian production. Sorry, mate. :hubie: It's got great reviews so far, in true A24 horror style. 96% on the TOMATOMETER. What's it about?
  • When a group of friends discover how to conjure spirits using an embalmed hand, they become hooked on the new thrill, until one of them goes too far and unleashes terrifying supernatural forces.​
It's playing in 1,900 theaters and is looking at $3M. That would be at Bones and All's $2.5M opening.





The Holdovers


Barbie has made $23M+ each day this week and is already up to $237.1M domestically and an incredible $495.6M worldwide. :ohhh: It adds 94 theaters. It can't be stopped. It's tryna get to $350M this weekend. :damn:

Oppenheimer has made $10M+ every day this week. It's up to $117.8M domestically and $230.9M worldwide. It's tryna push to $180M this weekend. I'ma see it on Tuesday. Discount Tuesday with the $5 Fandango coupon.:banderas:

Is it over for Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One? It loses 1,130 theaters. It'll be playing in fewer theaters than Sound of Freedom's 3,411. :damn: It's only been out 3 weeks. :damn: Its $126.3M after 15 days trails M:I - Fallout's $147.2M, which puts it 14.2% off the pace so far.


What's Playing


Movie​
Distributor​
Theaters​
Total Gross​
Projection​
Weeks​
BarbieWarner Bros.4,337$237,164,831$88.6M2
OppenheimerUniversal3,647$117,866,745$50.8M2
Haunted Mansion Disney3,740$28M1
Sound of FreedomAngel Studios3,411$133,994,647$16M4
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part OneParamount3,191$126,376,831$13.3M3
ElementalDisney2,105$140,595,188$3M7
Indiana Jones and the Dial of DestinyDisney2,165$162,191,534$4.9M5
Insidious: The Red DoorSony1,914$74,204,397$4M4
Talk to MeA241,900$3.1M1
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-VerseSony833$376,935,451$2M9
The First Slam DunkGKIDS600$263.7M international
Transformers: Rise of the BeastsParamount322$156,180,5898
The Little MermaidDisney208$296,535,55210
No Hard FeelingsSony311$49,642,5206
 

Avisible Man

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It's Still Bombs Away for Barbenheimer: Weekend Box Office Results (Jul. 28-30)


It's still a Barbie world. With $93 million, it just secured the seventh biggest 2nd weekend of all time. It just edged out the $92.3 million The Super Mario Bros. Movie. That number is astronomical but it was still $10 million shy of The Avengers' $102 million total in 2012. :whoo: Barbie's $351.4 million running total is just behind The Super Mario Bros. Movie's $353.1 million after 2 weekends. So it is just 0.5% off the pace. Of course, The Super Mario Bros. Movie is still in theaters; it just made $40,000 this weekend. It's got a $574.1 million running total, so I'd look for Barbie to finish our at that number. Maybe a little worse since Mario had a 36.9% 2nd weekend hold.

Can Barbie pass Mario's $1.35 billion worldwide total, which is the 15th best of all time, passing Black Panther's $1.34 billion? With $774.5 million after 2 weeks, I'm thinking it could do $1.5 billion. Furious 7 made $1.51 billion. It's in 11th place all time and finished with $353 million domestically, a number that Barbie will eclipse tomorrow. :whew:

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Oppenheimer held almost as strong as Barbie, with only a 44% drop for a $46.2 million second weekend. That's the 81st biggest 2nd weekend, knocking off last Summer's Minions: The Rise of Gru's $46.1 million. Oppenheimer's $174 million 2 week running total eclipses Indy 5's $167 million after 5 weeks. It's crushed M:I-7, which made $118.6 million after 2 weekends. Oppenheimer made $117.8 million after 6 days. :dead: Oppenheimer's $400.3 million worldwide running total passes Tenet's $365.3 million lifetime. It's on the verge of passing Dunkirk's (my least favorite Nolan film) $189.7 million lifetime domestic gross. Nolan bombing on himself. :wow:

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We get to the new movie Haunted Mansion, which debuted in third place with $24.2 million. That is just behind the 2003 Eddie Murphy version, which opened with $24.27 million. Of course the Eddie Murphy version open to $40 million when adjusted for inflation. Thank God Disney filmed this in Louisiana and got them tax breaks to drop the production budget from $160 million to $120 million. Maybe the new one will have better legs with its B+ CinemaScore, which just beat out 2003's B. I'll catch it on Disney Plus around Halloween.

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It's gonna be "DO NOT ENTER" the movie theater for me. :manny:


Sound of Freedom took 4th place with $12.4 million. The theaters may have been empty but the tickets were sold. :wow: with $148.9 million running total it will pass $150 million tomorrow. That is crazy. It's added theaters every weekend and nobody's in the theaters. :damn:

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Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One rounded out the top five with $10.7 million in its 3rd weekend. That's worse than Elemental's $12.1 million 3rd weekend. :wow: Its $139.2 million after 3 weeks just edged out Rogue Nation's $138.3 million. We'll just conveniently ignore that that equals $177 million when adjusted for inflation. :lolbron: Rogue Nation ended its run with $195 million domestic and $682.7 million worldwide. What about Fallout? It made $161.3 million after 3 weekends. That puts Dead Reckoning 13.7% off the pace. So a finish somewhere in the $190 million+ seems plausible. Right in the line with the $192 million franchise average.

Hang in there, Mr. Hunt.

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Notables


Talk to Me debuted with an impressive $10 million. It's B+ CinemaScore tied Scream 6's. Still have no interest in seeing it but that's a great debut.

With $174.3 million, Insidious: The Red Door, is the highest grossing global entry in the Insidious franchise, chopping down The Last Key's $172.8 million.

No Hard Feelings crossed the $50M mark with $50.1M.


The Top Ten


RankLWMovieGross%± LWTheatersTotal Gross WeeksDistributor
11Barbie$93,000,000-42.6%4,337$351,402,8512Warner Bros.
22Oppenheimer$46,200,000-44%3,647$174,060,4302Universal
3-Haunted Mansion$24,200,000-3,740$24,200,0001Disney
43Sound of Freedom$12,409,300-37.4%3,411$148,972,0654Angel Studios
54Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One$10,725,000-44.6%3,191$139,233,0333Paramount
6-Talk to Me$10,028,632-2,340$10,028,6321A24
75Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny$4,000,000-40.1%2,165$167,084,8675Disney
87Elemental$3,400,000-40.6%2,105$144,983,6727Disney
96Insidious: The Red Door$3,175,000-52.1%1,914$78,081,5844Screen Gems
108Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse$1,440,000-50.1%833$378,796,1589Columbia
 
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