IPO Thread.

ViShawn

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This thread is designed to keep an eye on companies that are set to IPO. I frankly think IPOs (Initial Public Offerings) are overpriced but it is good to know for potential stocks down the line. Current ones I know of are:

- Lyft
- Uber
- Jumai
- Slack

Any articles or discussion on IPOs welcome.
 

ViShawn

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African e-commerce site Jumia is going public: 5 things to know ahead of its IPO

Here are five things to know about Jumia before its IPO:

The company has never made a profit
Jumia generates most of its revenue from commissions from third-party sellers. Since its founding, the revenue the company has generated has not been enough to cover operating expenses, with losses in 2018 totaling €170.7 million. Accumulated losses as of Dec. 31, 2018 totaled €862.0 million.

“We expect that our operating expenses will continue to increase as we intend to expend substantial financial and other resources on acquiring and retaining sellers and consumers, growing and maintaining our technology infrastructure and sales and marketing efforts and conducting general administrative tasks associated with our business, including expenses related to being a public company,” Jumia said.

It has no plans to pay a dividend ‘in the foreseeable future’
Like many newly public companies, Jumia is not planning to pay a dividend any time soon, which means investors must rely on stock price appreciation for returns.

“We intend to retain all available funds and any future earnings to fund the development and expansion of our business,” the prospectus said.

Most of the goods sold on Jumia come from third-party sellers
About 90% of the items sold on Jumia in 2018 came from third-party sellers, which puts the onus for housing inventory on those sellers, but also puts the company at risk of any issues that the third-party might engage in, like fraud.

Jumia sells the other 10% of items directly “in order to enhance consumer experience in key categories and regions.”

Jumia Logistics provides delivery and pickup via a network of leased warehouses and drop-off stations, and, in certain markets, Jumia has its own delivery fleet. In 2018, the company handled 13.4 million packages.

JumiaPay and Jumia One help with online transactions and payments on a continent that still relies heavily on cash. More than half (54%) of the orders placed in Nigeria and Egypt during the fourth quarter were completed with JumiaPay. That may become part of the business in the future.

“As of the date of this prospectus, we do not monetize our payment services,” the company wrote. “In the future, we may decide to do so, including opening up our payment services to third parties.”

Jumia operates in markets that are underdeveloped and politically unstable
Jumia is operating in emerging African markets that are still developing logistics, delivery and digital payment capabilities. Delivery can be too expensive or too time-consuming to compete with traditional retailers, and cashless payment is challenging.

In addition, some of its markets, such as Egypt, still experience periods of political instability. Governments have a history of making dramatic policy changes, such as price controls, currency devaluations, or mandatory wage increases.

Terrorism and violent crime is also a risk, which could restrict delivery and fulfillment. In 2018, Jumia said one of its warehouses in Kenya was robbed of about €500,000 worth of merchandise. Boko Haram could pose a threat in Nigeria, where it has disrupted the economy in the northeast of the country. And al-Shabaab, a Somalia-based terrorist group, executed an attack in Nairobi in January, posing a potential problem for Kenya.

It has to contend with failed deliveries and late collections
Many customers, including those that don’t have a bank account or don’t trust online payments, choose to pay upon delivery. The customer has to be home to accept the package. Failure to complete a delivery is a continuing problem, with 14.4% of GMV in 2018 either a failed delivery or return. Delivery verification is also a problem.

“For example, in Kenya, where approximately 95% of our consumers paid in cash or with cash equivalents on delivery in 2016, we discovered in early 2018 that €720,000 of cash payments remained uncollected in 2016, the large majority of which was never subsequently collected,” the prospectus said.
 

phcitywarrior

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I was so excited when Jumia came to the market in Nigeria but they just haven’t been able to turn things around.
 

Ghostface Trillah

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Air B&B and Beyond Meat should happen by the summer.

Pinterest is on the fence because I think they enjoy not having to answer to shareholders. They always decide not to. If they finally do they could be worth almost as much as Facebook

Uber and Lyft lose a lot of money so that's a gamble on those.
 

Tug life

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Air B&B and Beyond Meat should happen by the summer.

Pinterest is on the fence because I think they enjoy not having to answer to shareholders. They always decide not to. If they finally do they could be worth almost as much as Facebook

Uber and Lyft lose a lot of money so that's a gamble on those.
:huhldup: Nah i dont see this being valued the same as Facebook. With IG WhatsApp and oculus rift alone they are more valuable than Pinterest. Not to mention FB ad revenue. I think Pinterest has a nice little niche going but nowhere close to FB
 

Ghostface Trillah

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:huhldup: Nah i dont see this being valued the same as Facebook. With IG WhatsApp and oculus rift alone they are more valuable than Pinterest. Not to mention FB ad revenue. I think Pinterest has a nice little niche going but nowhere close to FB

You know Pinterest is estimated to be worth 800 million - 1 billion? Without having a WhatsApp or Instagram
 

Tug life

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You know Pinterest is estimated to be worth 800 million - 1 billion? Without having a WhatsApp or Instagram
Im well aware, thats my point. Facebook was valued at 104 billion before they ipo and Twitter was at 14 billion. Pinterest is not even in the same ball park. Im definitely keeping a close eye on it but lets not get too carried away
 

Ghostface Trillah

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Im well aware, thats my point. Facebook was valued at 104 billion before they ipo and Twitter was at 14 billion. Pinterest is not even in the same ball park. Im definitely keeping a close eye on it but lets not get too carried away

Facebooks valuation came from daily users because Wall Street has no idea how to value social media companies. Anyone who opened Facebook at any time in the day is considered a daily user which is why they bombard people with notifications. The were overvalued from the start.
Facebook also bought Instagram before they went public with boosted their valuation which ended up being false because as everyone soon found out. Facebook didn't know how to make money. Which is why it started talking.

Pinterest has minimal advertising and hasn't even started branching out. They won't catch the Facebook group of apps because no one knows if they want to buy other apps but they can easily catch the original Facebook.
 

ahomeplateslugger

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airbnb
slack
zoom
wework
maybe uber

these are the companies i'm keeping an eye out for. i love slack and zoom and think they're innovative and just get it. airbnb and wework are just staples in their industry now. i'll wait a few months before buying any shares of these companies. seems like tech companies are always overvalued when they ipo. they typically drop then rebound a year or two down the road.
 
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