Nate Silver: Odds of Trump as GOP candidate about 5%

Professor Emeritus

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He might have been right. :to:


People forget what percentages mean. If the things Nate labeled as 5% never happened, then he'd be wrong - the actual percentage would be 0%.

Maybe this was the 1 time in 20 that a 5% chance gets hit. :yeshrug:
 

brick james

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All these "political" pundits underestimate how fed up people are with the establishment...their analysis and statistics are as meaningful as a padlock on a tent.

So somewhat useful? At many campsites and festivals a padlock on your tent will stop people from stealing the stuff in your tent. Most thieves will not make it obvious they are stealing by ripping your shyt open


Also, what metric are you using to estimate peoples feelings on the establishment?

This is just an all around shytty post
 

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So somewhat useful? At many campsites and festivals a padlock on your tent will stop people from stealing the stuff in your tent. Most thieves will not make it obvious they are stealing by ripping your shyt open
Yes lets pretend music festivals with 24 hr security are the norm for camping( Ps alot of shyt gets stolen at those events even after all that)....did i hurt your feelings? are you a pundit? too bad

Also, what metric are you using to estimate peoples feelings on the establishment?
The evidence is all around you...i cant help it if youre to stupid to see it......a good example is this very article Nate silvers bewilderment at trumps popularity...

and what would you call bernie sanders shocking victories over Queen Hillary in the primaries

This is just an all around shytty post

I dont see your valuable contribution so


watermelon-slingshot1.gif
 
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JJ Lions

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The Republican nomination is a different animal than a Presidential Election. Nate Silver is 99% accurate over last 2 elections predicting the states. I know the Trump fans hate that reality but it'll happen again. These threads will get bumped when it does. So 3 elections worth of data should be enough if you struggle to figure things out.
 
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