Nate "The God" Silver: 79% Chance Hillary Wins Election
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Accountability Season 
He's Nate the God after turning to copper this year? On the real still though, those polls ain't looking so great for Trump.
People keep talking about it like it's hush hush shyt but I wonder how many people aren't outward with their support of Trump but do. With a character like Trump, that could be possible but that's just speculation.
People keep talking about it like it's hush hush shyt but I wonder how many people aren't outward with their support of Trump but do. With a character like Trump, that could be possible but that's just speculation.
Accountability Season
:asian:
Poll: Clinton and Trump neck and neck
Which poll is the one that people say is skewed? Is it this one or that Rasmussen shyt?
Which poll is the one that people say is skewed? Is it this one or that Rasmussen shyt?
Rasmussen is right-wing.
National Polls may show them neck and neck. Same thing occurred with Obama and Romney. All Five Thirty Eight/Nate Silver does is measure several polls and create a probability on the most likely winner.
But like he mentioned its only halftime and a lot of time for things to change but Trump has a lot of ground he needs to make up for.
the cac mamba
Veteran
WOAT election
Jimmy carter was ahead of Reagan till the hostage crisis... one event can change everything
not that i want that kind of disaster...im jussaying dont crown your wicked queen yet
He's been in denial about Trump forever. The threat is real and Trump has a very good chance of becoming president.
Everybody was in denial of Trump until he started winning...in the "primaries". But measuring a voters attitude in a primary and in a general election is a different animal.
And lets say he was wrong about Trump in the Primary...so what. Last three previous general/mid-term election cycles he's been money.
This is why his prediction is big news.
He was wrong about Trump in the primaries though...
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump
Trump’s nomination shows the need for a more rigorous approach
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump
And this dumbass is still using the same approach to predict #TrumpSet vs Clinton
Sounds like a man in need of redemption. He can't get this one wrong or his career (at least in politics) is over.He was wrong about Trump in the primaries though...
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump
Trump’s nomination shows the need for a more rigorous approach
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump
And this dumbass is still using the same approach to predict #TrumpSet vs Clinton
Remember though, this is only a snapshot. Nate isn't saying that Hillary is guaranteed to win in November no matter what; that's his prediction if the election was held today. The numbers can shift as time goes forward, even to the point of becoming "53% Chance Trump Wins" by October depending on the winds of fall.
All he's really saying at this point is that Trump has a lot of work to do.
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I don't know what's surprising about this.
Demographics are destiny and Trump and Repiblicans in general have alienated too much of the voting public to win at the national level. There aren't enough white male voters, old white people & c00ns to put them over.
Demographics are destiny and Trump and Repiblicans in general have alienated too much of the voting public to win at the national level. There aren't enough white male voters, old white people & c00ns to put them over.