*New Title, New Results for MCU? | The Domestic Box Office Thread | May 9-11

Which Movie will Gross More this Weekend?

  • Don't Worry Darling

    Votes: 2 100.0%
  • The Woman King

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    2
  • Poll closed .

Avisible Man

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Sinners Sinks Its Fangs Deeper Into the Necks & Pockets of Moviegoers: Weekend Box Office Results (Apr. 25-27)


It's official - Sinners is a monster. Most horror movies fall off by more than 60% in their second weekend. Not Sinners. With $45.7M, it only fell by a miniscule 4.8%. Get Out, another R-rated horror film, only dropped by 15.4% in its second weekend. After 2 weekends, Sinners has made $123.2M. At this rate, $200M is a lock and I won't be surprised if it pushes toward $250M.

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Yes we do. :wow:

Second place belongs to the 20th anniversary re-release of Star Wars Episode lll - Revenge of the Sith, with $25.4M. That crushes the $8.7M Episode l's 25-year anniversary made last year in its opening weekend. It's more than the $21.9M opening Episode V made in its 1997 re-release. Crazy numbers. It also brings Episode lll's lifetime domestic gross to $405.7M.

I remember staying up all night to write a paper in college with Episode lll playing on TNT. :banderas:

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Coming in third was a sequel nearly 9 years in the making - The Accountant 2 with $24.5M. That is actually $200K less than what The Accountant made in its opening weekend in 2016. I didn't care for the first one. Could not stand Anna Kendrick's character so I'll skip this.

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Nope. See ya on Amazon Prime. :skip:

A Minecraft Movie continues to mine millions with another $22.7M. That puts the running total at $379.9M after 4 weekends. It passed Jurassic World Dominion's $376.8M. The significance there? Jurassic World Dominion made $1B at the global box office. A Minecraft Movie has made $815.9M worldwide so far.

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We have another videogame adaptation closing out the top five, as Until Dawn opened with $8M. That's just shy of Heart Eyes' $8.3M.

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Top Ten


Rank
LW
Movie
Gross
%± LW
Theaters
Total Gross
Weekend
Distributor
11Sinners$45,708,664-4.8%3,347$123,235,0912Warner Bros.
2-Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith:
20th Anniversary
$25,495,049-2,800$25,495,0491Disney
3-The Accountant 2$24,533,959-3,610$24,533,9591Amazon MGM Studios
42A Minecraft Movie$22,707,253-43.9%3,841$379,953,9144Warner Bros.
5-Until Dawn$8,003,402-3,055$8,003,4021Screen Gems
63The King of Kings$4,219,311-76%3,175$54,715,0113Angel Studios
74The Amateur$3,683,350-47.4%3,060$33,738,370320th Century Studios
85Warfare$2,652,229-42.7%1,905$21,800,5963A24
9-Pink Floyd: Live at Pompeii:
2025 Re-release
$2,620,076-678$2,620,0761Trafalgar Releasing
1028The Legend of Ochi$1,443,157+2,648.1%1,153$1,509,6282A24
 

TheNatureBoy

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Will be interesting to see what summer movie will be the 1st to challenge Minecraft for #1 film in BO.
 

Avisible Man

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Thunderbolts Light Up the Box Office; The MCU is Back*: Weekend Box Office Results (May 2-4)


It's the first weekend of May, which means it's officially Summer at the Box Office. And things are definitely heating up with the MCU's latest release - Thunderbolts* debuting with $76M. Despite the A- CinemaScore and 88% fresh score on rotten tomatoes, that opening only amounts to 42% of its $180M production budget. It's also $12.8M less than Captain America: Brave New World's $88.8M 3-day.

While Thunderbolts*'s $76M is the third best opening of the year, only the MCU is who it is judged against. That's the standard the franchise has set. As such, it is unofficially the 9th lowest opening in MCU history. Right now, it's ahead of Ant-Man and The Wasp's $75.8M and Shang-Chi's $75.3M. By tomorrow, when the official numbers drop, that opening could below those two. The good news is that that A- CinemaScore should indicate good word of mouth and good holds going forward. So next weekend should not see a 60%+ drop like we've seen with the recent MCU films post and Endgame.

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If Thunderbolts* does falter next weekend, don't be surprised if Sinners is back to take that top spot. It's entirely possible with a tremendous $33M third weekend. That gives Sinners three of the top ten highest grossing weekends on the year, tied with A Minecraft Movie. With those 3 weekends, it's totaled $179.7M. It's the third highest grossing movie of the year, soon to pass Captain America: Brave New World's $200.3M. It's also passed Creed lll's $156.2M, making it Ryan Coogler's third-highest grossing film. This man has reached the next level, as he surpasses the Rocky and MCU franchises. :wow:

Feige hollering at Ryan and Mike like "hey, you guys wanna make the *new* Blade movie"? :mjgrin:

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A Minecraft Movie continues to stack millions, with another $13.7M. It just missed out on hitting the 4 century mark - and will have to settle for a $398.2M running total. It did pass Spider-Man: Far From Home's $391.2M to become the 52nd highest grossing movie ever.

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The Accountant 2 lost a cool 61.4% of its audience with a $9.4M second weekend. It only made $2.4M more than The Amateur's $7M second weekend. :huhldup: But its $41.4M running total is already more than The Amateur's $36.9M. :ehh: It's also more than the $40.2M that Wicked made in 2025. But it is behind The Accountant's $47.5M after two weekends. :umad:

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For the second time in its two weekends, Until Dawn held down the fifth spot. This time it did it with $3.8M. That's a 52.5% drop which is actually good for a horror movie. It cracks this year's top 40 grossing movies with $14.3M.

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Top Ten


Rank
LW
Movie
Gross
%± LW
Theaters
Total Gross
Weekend
Distributor
1-Thunderbolts*$76,000,000-4,330$76,000,0001Disney
21Sinners$33,000,000-27.8%3,347$179,728,7223Warner Bros.
34A Minecraft Movie$13,700,000-39.7%3,571$398,209,4795Warner Bros.
43The Accountant 2$9,468,181-61.4%3,610$41,151,1032Amazon MGM Studios
55Until Dawn$3,800,000-52.5%3,055$14,358,8902Screen Gems
67The Amateur$1,800,000-51.1%2,135$36,939,680420th Century Studios
76The King of Kings$1,658,234-60.7%2,035$57,665,6614Angel Studios
89Warfare$1,275,395-50.1%1,315$24,086,6974A24
9-HIT: The 3rd Case$955,000-590$955,0001Prathyangira Cinemas
10-Guru Nanak Jahaz$685,000-119$685,0001Vehli Janta Films
 

TheNatureBoy

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Sinners might end up being the movie with the best legs this year.

Word of mouth could help Thunderbolts, saw it and thought it was really good :ehh:. Especially with the next couple of weeks being fairly light until Lilo/MI come through and crush the buildings.

Although I could see the new Final Destination movie doing well.
 

Avisible Man

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*New Title, New Results for MCU? Weekend Box Office Results (May 9-11)


Last week started the Summer season at the movies. Next we will see Final Destination return to theaters with the release of Final Destination: Bloodlines. That movie will sell a lotta tickets. There was nothing new this past weekend like what we have on the horizon, especially two weeks from now when Lilo & Stitch and Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning hit theaters.

Thunderbolts*, not *The New Avengers, finished first with $32.3M. Once again, Disney overestimated on Sunday when they called a $33.1M weekend. This is an unfortunate trend with Disney. They did it just last week when they called a $76M opening weekend for Thunderbolts* which was conveniently more than Ant-Man and the Wasp's $75.8M and Shang-Chi's $75.3M. :usure: I mentioned that and how we needed to wait for the official numbers and how it wouldn't surprise me if Thunderbolts* finished below those two, which is exactly what happened. :comeon:

How does Thunderbolts*'s second weekend fare against recent MCU releases. It's behind the aforementioned Shang-Chi's $34.7M. It is ahead of Brave New World's $28.1M. It's actually worse than Guardians 3's $32.4M 3rd weekend. But it beat Quantumania's $31.9M second weekend. :yeshrug:

All in all, Thunderbolts* has totaled $127.7M so far. That's $13.4M behind Captain America: Brave New World's $141.1M. So it's 9.5% off Cap 4's pace. So it might be looking at finishing under $200M and closer to $180M. The MCU might be back critically with this one but it's not looking like it's back commercially .

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One movie which Thunderbolts* is guaranteed not to pass is Sinners, which continues to be a box office juggernaut with $22.1M. That was actually a million more than Warner Bros. estimated on Sunday. How bout that? Under promising and over delivering. Take notes, Disney. :ufdup: With $215.4M after four weekends, Sinners shows no signs of slowing down. The new Mission: Impossible is dropping in a couple of weeks and Sinners is already $42.8M clear of Dead Reckoning's $172.6M. :whew:

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A Minecraft Movie made $7.6M in its 6th weekend. With that, it's crossed the $400M mark and currently sits at $409.1M domestically and $910.1M worldwide. It's now ahead of Iron Man 3's $409M and the 44th highest grossing movie domestically of all time.

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The Accountant 2 pulled in $6.7M and passed $50M. It's running total is now $52.1M. The sequel still made less than the original's $8.4M in its 3rd weekend and is about $10M behind at the point in time.

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The only new release in the top 5 was Clown in a Cornfield with $3.6M. That was nearly a million more than Late Night with the Devil's $2.8M. But it played in 2,277 theaters to LNwtD's 1,034.





Top Ten - Actual


Rank
LW
Movie
Gross
%± LW
Theaters
Total Gross
Weekend
Distributor
11Thunderbolts*$32,390,811-56.4%4,330$127,745,0062Disney
22Sinners$22,100,372-33.2%3,502$215,437,7034Warner Bros.
33A Minecraft Movie$7,657,727-44.2%3,468$408,694,1616Warner Bros.
44The Accountant 2$6,713,630-29.3%3,402$51,514,3853Amazon MGM Studios
5-Clown in a Cornfield$3,648,991-2,277$3,648,9911RLJ Entertainment
6-Shadow Force$2,151,853-2,170$2,151,8531Lionsgate
7-Fight or Flight$2,002,081-2,153$2,002,0811Vertical Entertainment
85Until Dawn$1,951,230-49%2,465$17,952,8093Screen Gems
96The Amateur$1,171,778-38.9%1,200$39,022,247520th Century Studios
107The King of Kings$778,391-54.5%1,089$59,172,5375Angel Studios

Those Disney dirtbags got me thinking. So let's take a look at how the actual numbers compare to the Sunday estimates.


Top Ten - Estimate

Rank
LW
Movie
Gross
%± LW
Theaters
Total Gross
Weekend
Distributor
11Thunderbolts*$33,100,000-55.5%4,330$128,454,1952Disney
22Sinners$21,100,000-36.3%3,502$214,437,3314Warner Bros.
33A Minecraft Movie$7,950,000-42.1%3,468$408,986,4346Warner Bros.
44The Accountant 2$6,096,020-35.8%3,402$50,896,7753Amazon MGM Studios
5-Clown in a Cornfield$3,650,000-2,277$3,650,0001RLJ Entertainment
6-Shadow Force$2,015,000-2,170$2,015,0001Lionsgate
7-Fight or Flight$2,001,252-2,153$2,001,2521Vertical Entertainment
85Until Dawn$2,000,421-47.7%2,465$18,002,0003Screen Gems
96The Amateur$1,100,000-42.7%1,200$38,950,469520th Century Studios
107The King of Kings$680,656-60.2%1,089$59,074,8025Angel Studios
 

GilSho

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God damn, Thunderbolts isn't even crossing $200m domestic and might struggle to break even at this rate. Sinners is somehow about to topple it this weekend and Final Destination already looks like a massive hit. The New Avengers marketing gimmick didn't seem to work well outside of Marvel's core fanbase.

Looks like F4 is going to be another litmus test to see whether or not the MCU still got the juice or not. If that doesn't easily cross the $700m+ mark then the brand might well and truly be cooked at this point.
 
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