New York City is sinking due to weight of its skyscrapers, new research finds

bnew

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Oliver Milman
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Fri 19 May 2023 04.30 EDT

City is sinking approximately 1-2mm each year on average, worsening effects of sea level rise and flooding threat​

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The water around New York City has risen by about 9in since 1950. Photograph: Alexander Spatari/Getty Images


New York City is sinking in part due to the extraordinary weight of its vertiginous buildings, worsening the flooding threat posed to the metropolis from the rising seas, new research has found.

The Big Apple may be the city that never sleeps but it is a city that certainly sinks, subsiding by approximately 1-2mm each year on average, with some areas of New York City plunging at double this rate, according to researchers.

This sinking is exacerbating the impact of sea level rise which is accelerating at around twice the global average as the world’s glaciers melt away and seawater expands due to global heating. The water that flanks New York City has risen by about 9in, or 22cm, since 1950 and major flooding events from storms could be up to four times more frequent than now by the end of the century due to the combination of sea level rise and hurricanes strengthened by climate change.

“A deeply concentrated population of 8.4 million people faces varying degrees of hazard from inundation in New York City,” researchers wrote in the new study, published in the Earth’s Future journal.

The authors added that the risks faced by New York City will be shared by many other coastal cities around the world as the climate crisis deepens. “The combination of tectonic and anthropogenic subsidence, sea level rise, and increasing hurricane intensity imply an accelerating problem along coastal and riverfront areas,” they wrote.

This trend is being magnified by the sheer bulk of New York City’s built infrastructure. The researchers calculated that the city’s structures, which include the famous Empire State Building and Chrysler Building, weigh a total of 1.68tn lbs, which is roughly equivalent to the weight of 140 million elephants.

This enormous heft is pushing down on a jumble of different materials found in New York City’s ground. While many of the largest buildings are placed upon solid bedrock, such as schist, there is a mixture of other sands and clays that have been build over, adding to a sinking effect that is naturally occurring anyway along much of the US east coast as the land reacts to the retreat of huge glaciers following the end of the last ice age.

“It’s not something to panic about immediately but there’s this ongoing process that increases the risk of inundation from flooding,” said Tom Parsons, a geophysicist at the US Geological Survey, who led the new research.

“The softer the soil, the more compression there is from the buildings. It wasn’t a mistake to build such large buildings in New York but we’ve just got to keep in mind every time you build something there you push down the ground a little bit more.”

In 2012, New York was hit by Hurricane Sandy, which flooded parts of the subway and caused widespread damage, including power blackouts. Then, in 2021, Hurricane Ida flooded areas of the city, causing several people to drown. Scientists say both events were worsened by the effects of global heating.

Parsons said that New York and other coastal cities “have to get planning for this. If you get repeated exposure to seawater, you can corrode steel and destabilize buildings, which you clearly don’t want. Flooding also kills people, too, which is probably the greatest concern.”
 

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I think the same is happening in Jakarta. I think Paris also has some kind of similar issue due to catacombs and metro lines (obviously less urgent in Paris due to not being on the coast)

I was gonna say the same, they've moving the capital 1000km to Boreno because of the sinking.



Sadly, Borneo is one of the most biodiverse and threatened ecosystems on Earth and this is only going to accelerate those issues.
 

mbewane

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I was gonna say the same, they've moving the capital 1000km to Boreno because of the sinking.



Sadly, Borneo is one of the most biodiverse and threatened ecosystems on Earth and this is only going to accelerate those issues.

Thx for the in-depth article, really interesting. It's wild that we're at the point that the most reasonnable thing appears to be build a whole entire new capital city from scratch.

I wonder if it will ever reach the point in a couple decades where most of high and middle class move out of Jakarta or just not go there in the first place, what will happen in the long-term to the city. If the environmental situation worsens it might end up looking kind of dystopian.
 

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The US needs to call up some engineers from the Netherlands to team up with the Army Corps of Engineers to build some epic shyt.

America doing something about infrastructure :mjlol:. Major cities still utilizing subway and train rails from the 1800 to early 1900s. Embarrassing how Chinaand Japan has passed America
 

ORDER_66

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America doing something about infrastructure :mjlol:. Major cities still utilizing subway and train rails from the 1800 to early 1900s. Embarrassing how Chinaand Japan has passed America

FACTS...:hhh: japan bulletrain infrastructure is incredible America dont even want to try & bring that shyt here because of politics and bullshyt...
 

mastermind

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America doing something about infrastructure :mjlol:. Major cities still utilizing subway and train rails from the 1800 to early 1900s. Embarrassing how Chinaand Japan has passed America
American infrastructure is like 70 years behind the rest of the world and no one wants to do anything about it
 

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Thx for the in-depth article, really interesting. It's wild that we're at the point that the most reasonnable thing appears to be build a whole entire new capital city from scratch.

I wonder if it will ever reach the point in a couple decades where most of high and middle class move out of Jakarta or just not go there in the first place, what will happen in the long-term to the city. If the environmental situation worsens it might end up looking kind of dystopian.

I was actually there for the first time last year. It's a really crowded city, lots of people living in very poor conditions in the slums, lots of flooding every wet season. As the city sinks plus global warming, the flooding is only going to get worse and worse. I imagine having the capital move is going to ease population pressure but it's also going to remove a ton of income out of the city. Will it still remain a commerce center, or will other shyt move out too like you suggest? Hopefully the ease in population pressure could help people in the slums be able to transfer into reasonable housing, but just as likely that a lot of places will be left vacant but closed. Village folk might be more reluctant to move to the city because it won't represent economic opportunity anymore, but will they find any opportunity in the village either? And, like I said, worry about what will happen in Borneo because that area is so fragile already.
 

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gotta hand unions the L on that one :yeshrug:

imagine the bill that the unions would hand california to build a bullet train :laff:it almost makes me want to throw up

Japan has unions as well. It's a matter of setting priorities. The US decided to be a car centric nation as soon as cars hit the scene and never looked back.
 
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