yseJ
Empire strikes back
youre a fukking idiot, straight up. you love math formula yet you fail to understand the basics of probability theory and combinatorics. wouldnt surprise me if you are a dropout who never studied basic math in collegeHow does it not make sense? it's an aggregate stat- over the course of the season these situations you just mentioned occur. Of course they're all different, that's the point of the stat. The best players(higher DVOA's) more often than not succeed in all of those situations/formations listed.
there are about 85 offense/defense plays in a football game
85*16^2= only 21k plays in WHOLE year
are you telling me with a straight face that this puny number represents the set of all possible formations and coverage AND situations possible in a NFL game with a good sample size ?

maybe you should watch film for once to see how many different formations there are.
a team can have up to 50 offensive formations, theres about the same number of defensive formations, theres dozens coverages a qb might not even see one season
dog, just off formations alone theres 50^50 possible combinations
do you know how many plays you need to get all those combinations at least once ?
punch it in your calculator, math illiterate dummy
8.8^10e84
the number is nearly the number of atoms in the universe
and thats without considering coverage and situation on the field




