the reality that trump could win has set in

JP_614

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CourtesyFlush

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He is gaining momentum and it is a reality. I hope she wins, but I think if she loses then it will be the men voters that bring her down
Why do people think he is gaining momentum? I'm just curious. To me, it seems like nobody really fukking knows and these up and down polls don't matter. People already have their mind made up so how is momentum even possible to gain for any candidate?
 

RamsayBolton

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polls are showing more ties than kamala ahead than they used to, but a lot of the polls are from republican pollsters

even if it was true trump was gaining momentum, it would be because hes avoiding debating kamala AND starting to spew more racist rhetoric

which makes it all the more disgusting dont have more smoke for him and his supporters
 
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I noticed the shift online

you’re falling prey to the mind games that social media plays on you.

nothing has changed.

statistically Harris leads Trump in the national and swing state polling.

the election was always going to depend on voter turnout and, right now, the early voting tabulations and LV polling are swinging in her direction.

if the election were held today, harris wins.

we have less than three weeks to go. she is appearing on CNN next week, with trump conspicuously opting out the opportunity to appear. she and walz are holding multiple battleground rallies, starting tomorrow. the fed is issuing another rate cut before the election, which will bolster the economy just before voters enter the booth.

trump has spent the past week taking the stage in multiple states and spewing the most virulently racist and authoritarian language we’ve heard from a presidential candidate in our lifetimes.

i know it’s upsetting, but don’t fall for the psyops.

the math is not mathing for trump.

:francis:
 

TripleAgent

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If the race is close Republicans will cheat guaranteed. Still can't believe Democrats are comfortable with the race being this close. They haven't learned a thing since Bush v. Gore.
:pachaha:
What are they gonna do? They're wack, and their bullshyt is catching up.

People swear she's winning, but she's behind where Hilary was in several key areas, and we saw how that finished. The internal polling has to be bad, you can see it in her demeanor and body language. She won the debate. He (smartly) said no more unless on Fox, and she's been in her own way ever since. The teleprompter, the ass podcasts, Teeball interviews, non-answers, her unlikeability, Obama fukking up. The house of cards is falling. If she wins, it's pure luck. If Trump miraculously owned her in the debate, and had a filter, we'd be heading back to Biden Blowout territory. If he somehow sold tangibles to his base as the "price to ensure a win/do business", it would be Reagan/Mondale 2. Trump screws up, picks a horrible running mate that adds no voters and she still can't close the coffin on him. TERRIBLE CANDIDATE:mjlol:

EDIT: How could I forget the border, and the current FEMA fukkery?:picard::wow:

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DrBanneker

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the math is not telling
Fixed.

I don't want Trump either but between margins of error, conflicting polls, tighter spreads in prediction markets etc. she could win but it is not as clearly optimistic as her peak right after the DNC. Given the vagaries of turnout, anything can happen and either side will likely contest the results.

Also remember this early and absentee voting usually tilts Dem so we can't say it represents any whole electorate. I live in PA and it is a dead heat.
 
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