This Strange Scientific Model Has A Worrying Prediction About 2020

[BillBanneker]

Westworld was on to something

 

[Jean Jacket]

Same thing for Y2K...

Next will be 2030 or some shyt.

 

[Theo Penn]

Believe turmoil in America is the only thing that matters in the world brehs. As long as we can get trump out in November we’ll be good.

Keep on believing that will make everything alright

 

[Outlaw]

Keep on believing that will make everything alright

Enlighten me as to what keeps you up at night

 

[Macallik86]

Heard a 15 minute podcast about it today. It makes sense that there are ebbs and flows, booms & busts in populations

Many humanities-minded historians think that human beings and the course of human history are too complex to analyze broadly or to examine using predictive models - but one evolutionary anthropologist believes that mathematical models could be used to understand the past, and to predict the future.

In his recent Atlantic piece “The Next Decade Could Be Even Worse”, Graeme Wood dives into the research of evolutionary biologist Peter Turchin who coined the term and discipline “cliodynamics” - statistical modeling and analysis of the rise and fall of human societies. He explores Professor Turchin’s methods, as well as his dire predictions for the next decade in American history.

We dive into the academic endeavor to use big data and mathematics to analyze and predict history, Turchin’s predictions for the next decade and the larger tensions between science and humanities-minded academics over the validity of this approach

Can Mathematical Models Predict Historical Events? One Academic Thinks So