Because LeBron failed to impress in the first four games last year (Kyrie earned them the lead in Gm. 3 and then he stat-padded like did in Gm. 4 against Celtics this year) and then...
- Draymond Green gets suspended for Gm. 5 + Bogut gets injured in the same game = no rim protection. Bron goes for 41 points.
- In the very next game his primary defender in Iguodala blows his back out / Steph Curry fouls out due to some laughable officiating (getting barreled over by LeBron; ghost fouls on Love and Kyrie; then getting fouled out after LeBron piggybacked him) / Harrison Barnes goes 0 for 8. Bron again goes for 41 points.
- And then in Gm. 7 he edges out a lucky victory due to Kyrie's clutch shot, his clutch block on Iguodala and Bogut's injury forcing Varajao and Ezeli into the Warriors line-up. However, he only went 9 for 24 with Iguodala recovering.
That ring was won due to a great combination of luck and suspect officiating. This Cavs side matched-up horribly with the Warriors last year, and it'll be even worse for them this year.
Love has had a great playoff so far, but if the Warriors stick Draymond on him his offense will be negated. If they also put KD on him then that's another mismatch because of his length and the fact that he's not big enough to bully him down-low like Aldridge did in the WCF.
We saw the numbers Iguodala held LeBron to in the first four games of last years Final. Plus, unless he defends Iguodala who hasn't been shooting good this playoffs, then there's nobody for him to hide out on like he did last year with Barnes. Bron has shown time and time again, especially against the Spurs in 2013 + 2014, that if he's forced to work hard on defense that his offense will falter because he has no jumper to rely on unlike the other greats did.
Kyle Korver will do what he always does in the big moments which is shrink. He's played good so far but shooters like him, J.J. Reddikk, Danny Green, etc. always end up folding up when defenses lock in on them due to how one-dimensional they are on offense. Plus, the Warriors have players in their secondary line-up that can exploit his poor defense (Ian Clark, Livingston, McCaw, et al.).
If they think about giving Frye any significant playing time then his pick-and-roll defense will get exploited again just like it was last year. He's a complete non-factor against the Warriors.
Tristan Thompson's offensive rebounding will be limited playing against both Zaza and McGee. And they can forget about throwing those bail-out alley-oops if both Draymond and McGee are stuck on him on defense.
Aside from Kyrie and LeBron (who wasn't impressive in the first four games of last years finals and was stat-padding in Gm. 3 + 4), there's nobody else on Cavaliers offense that poses a legitimate threat to the Warriors. And even Kyrie can get exploited on defense if the Warriors run more plays in the post for Klay this series.