Young Black Voters Are Abandoning The Democratic Establishment

Bunchy Carter

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Perry Bacon Jr.

Young Black voters are abandoning the Democratic establishment​

African American voters are moving away from the Democratic establishment.

July 14, 2025

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Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani speaks during a rally at the Hotel & Gaming Trades Council headquarters in New York on July 2. (Richard Drew/AP)

A long list of New York’s Black pastors and politicians endorsed former governor Andrew M. Cuomo in the run-up to the city’s Democratic primary for mayor last month. But it wasn’t surprising that freelance journalist Anthony Conwright and many other younger Black New Yorkers ignored those endorsements and chose state Assembly member Zohran Mamdani instead. Conwright backed Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) during the 2016 and 2020 Democratic primaries and voted for Kamala Harris in last year’s general election but found her campaign wanting.

Mamdani “made the case that his policies are a moral imperative,” Conwright, 39, told me.
It has been well-chronicled that more African Americans, particularly younger ones, are voting Republican than in the past. But there are growing signs of another crucial shift — the younger African Americans who remain Democrats are dissatisfied with the party’s center-left establishment and increasingly open to progressive candidates and stances. The days of center-left Democrats such as Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden winning primaries by overwhelmingly carrying the Black vote might be over.

That increases the possibility of leftist candidates such as Mamdani winning mayoral and congressional primaries and perhaps even the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.

Most polls don’t include enough Black Democrats to allow for age comparisons. But there are several clear indicators of a generational divide. Though Sanders, a socialist like Mamdani, struggled to win over Black voters in the 2016 and 2020 Democratic primaries, he did much better among the younger bloc. Polls show that younger African Americans are more open than their older counterparts to reducing police funding, abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement, allowing transgender athletes to compete in sports according to their chosen gender identity and other progressive positions.

Surveys during Biden’s tenure consistently showed younger African American Democrats were much less enthusiastic about him than older ones. In the New York race, Black voters ages 50 and older supported Cuomo over Mamdani by a 64-36 margin, according to an exit poll conducted by Change Research. But about 70 percent of Black voters younger than 50 favored Mamdani.

“Zohran has largely stood up for Palestinian liberation, before and while running, so I know he won’t waver in the face of political pressure when it comes to other pressing issues of justice and human rights,” said 39-year-old Andom Ghebreghiorgis, a New Yorker who works in education.

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How are these shifts happening, particularly at the same time — some young Black voters moving right, others left and perhaps even some Mamdani-Trump voters? One explanation is that Black America is changing broadly in ways that are also showing up in election results. Though there was never a monolithic “Black community,” that’s even more true today. There are growing numbers of Black Americans who live in the suburbs, not cities, aren’t married to other Black people, don’t belong to churches and/or weren’t born in the United States.
The center-left establishment wing of the Democratic Party has strong ties with older Black pastors and community leaders, such as the Rev. Al Sharpton in New York. Many older Black voters credit the Democratic Party for ending segregation and fighting for civil rights in the 1950s and ’60s. But those connections and histories aren’t as electorally potent among younger African Americans who weren’t alive in the early days of integration, don’t live in heavily Black areas, and aren’t involved with churches and civic groups such as the NAACP and Urban League.

Via: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/07/14/young-black-voters-democrats-trump-mamdani/
 

Bunchy Carter

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My relatives “liked that he was an immigrant from Uganda and spoke about the importance of his African identity to him,” said Ghebreghiorgis, whose parents are from Eritrea.
So though Black people are still more Democratic than other ethnic and racial groups, they are increasingly divided along progressive, center-left, anti-Trump Republican and pro-Trump Republican, like the rest of the electorate. Younger Black people in particular are comfortable voting for a Republican — or a nontraditional Democrat such as Mamdani.
Another explanation for young Black voters drifting away from the Democratic establishment is that they feel that voting for traditional Democratic candidates hasn’t resulted in much progress for Black people, particularly in recent years. A Black voter younger than 45 has watched Barack Obama go from being an exciting, insurgent candidate to a fairly cautious president, and the Black Lives Matter movement fizzle as Democratic Party officials did little to advance its agenda.


“The experience of Black Americans calls into question the institutions that this country holds most sacred,” Conwright said. He added, “I do not believe that people should die on the streets in the wealthiest country in the world because they do not have health care. … The history of Black Americans demonstrates why there needs to be government intervention in providing the basic necessities for Americans to live: health care, education, public transportation.”
In an interview with TheGrio, a news site that focuses on African Americans, 36-year-old New York author Frederick T. Joseph said, “What has been happening for generations hasn’t been working at large for us. … So we’re primed for a new vision. Zohran Mamdani spoke to that new vision.”
I don’t want to overstate these trends or exaggerate their importance. There are plenty of Black Democrats younger than 45 who don’t back progressive candidates in primaries. In general elections, the overwhelming majority of younger Black voters (about 83 percent in 2024) still support the Democratic candidate. Also, younger Black Americans vote at much lower rates (around 50 percent) than their older counterparts (close to 70 percent). So in a Democratic primary, you’d rather be the candidate backed by older Black folks rather than younger ones. Because of this age disparity in voting patterns, it is almost certainly the case that Cuomo won more Black votes than Mamdani in the recent primary.


But we are in a period of change. The days of a candidate exciting Black voters across ideological and generational lines, as Obama did in 2008, might be over forever. That’s probably bad news for the Democratic Party, whose path to 90 percent of the Black vote will keep getting more complicated.
These shifts might be good for Black voters, though. Many Democratic politicians act as if appealing to a few pastors and Black leaders in their 60s and 70s is akin to campaigning to all African Americans. That was always a lazy approach — and today it’s clearly not working. The entire Black electorate, young and old, religious and secular, conservative and progressive, might finally start getting the attention it deserves from politicians.

Via: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/07/14/young-black-voters-democrats-trump-mamdani/
 

Anerdyblackguy

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I’m happy more younger Black people are embracing Democratic Socialism. This country has way too much money for the majority of its citizens to live so mediocre.

Tax payer Universal Healthcare and Tax payer Universal Colleges and Universities should be the minimum.
 
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