The odds are against you from the jump. You could do everything right and still get caught. But here are some safe assumptions to make:
1. Assume all places you are associated with, and people you are associated with, are under surveillance. Your apartment, your mom's house... Assume all calls and messages to your known peoples will be monitored. Nowadays, logins to your social media accounts and emails on file will also be tracked for location. Every digital trail you have left will be mined.
2. The manhunt will be intense in the first few weeks. If you survive that, your chances of getting caught drops. Also, the intensity of the manhunt will be greatest closest to the prison, or at least in the state.
3. Your name and biometrics will be circulated to every crime database in the country. Avoiding police contact is critical.
If you know those 3 things, then you should be able to put together some sort of strategy that will maximize your chances of not getting caught.