'18 Midterms: Dems win House by largest midterm raw vote margin ever

[Jhoon]

Is it premature to talk about the dems taking back the senate? If you look at the polls from TN and AZ, that should be good enough to start having ideas.

 

[Reality Check]

Is it premature to talk about the dems taking back the senate? If you look at the polls from TN and AZ, that should be good enough to start having ideas.

IMO it is. The potential to take TN, NV, and AZ is offset by the potential to lose IN, MO, WV, and ND

 

[tru_m.a.c]

IMO it is. The potential to take TN, NV, and AZ is offset by the potential to lose IN, MO, WV, and ND

Despite WV's recent flop, I don't think we'll lose that state because of the split among republican voters

 

[tru_m.a.c]

 

[FAH1223]

IMO it is. The potential to take TN, NV, and AZ is offset by the potential to lose IN, MO, WV, and ND

If Dems lose in IN, MO, WV and ND it won't be because of lack of funds.

Senate Dems build huge cash edge in battlegrounds

 

[tru_m.a.c]

I wonder what the correlation is to out-of-state college graduates.

Also I'd be concerned about Michigan (though they may not have released their information) and optimistic about Arizona. I'll never be optimistic about Florida.

 

[acri1]

I wonder what the correlation is to out-of-state college graduates.

Also I'd be concerned about Michigan (though they may not have released their information) and optimistic about Arizona. I'll never be optimistic about Florida.

There's just no data for Michigan.

As somebody who lives in Michigan, I'd be surprised if youth voter registration hasn't gone up significantly.

 

[Jhoon]

IMO it is. The potential to take TN, NV, and AZ is offset by the potential to lose IN, MO, WV, and ND

The democrat is up in each of those states except MO.

 

[tru_m.a.c]

 

[Jhoon]

Despite WV's recent flop, I don't think we'll lose that state because of the split among republican voters

It’s almost August and Manchin is up 10.

 

[tru_m.a.c]

 

[tru_m.a.c]

 

[tru_m.a.c]

 

[tru_m.a.c]

 

[Reality Check]

The democrat is up in each of those states except MO.

To take the Senate Majority, not only would Dems need to hold their seats in Missouri, Montana, Florida, West Virginia, Indiana, and North Dakota, but they would have to flip Arizona, Tennessee, and Nevada along with winning either Wisconsin, Texas, or Ohio (highly doubt they'd flip Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, or Mississippi)