Warriors need to hold home court in the first two games. Don't want to give Cleveland any kind of momentum going back. If Cleveland can steal one in Golden State State in the first two, then I feel they can draw it out to a 7 game series where it's anyone's title. If Golden State holds home court then I think they win in 6.
Key obviously for Golden State is to neutralize LeBron. No one player on the Warriors can manage that, but I think their team defense is good enough to force other players to have to step up. Cavs have quite a few streaky shooters, and the perimeter defense of the Warriors will end up being crucial. Klay and Curry have a big series and the Warriors win it in 6.