anybody in here do currency trading (forex)? i heard u can make $$$$

March Madness

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What's your rationale by not using a stop-loss?


Going to be completely honest ... if ur trading retail Fx and not prepared to lose everything in ur account at the start of every trade you're trading the wrong market(s).

i don't consider Fx true investment-trading anymore...not after 2015. the larger time-frames are confused and don't tell a true direction, sans the quarterly chart. everything is stuck in a 100-350pip range. i don't believe u can "invest"(LOL) $20-50k into Forex, come back a few days/weeks later and safely make money anymore...not consistently anyways.

as far as not using a SL, my win-ratio is notably higher (either right at 90/10 or close to it) without using one. this is research conducted on -NOT- using SL for over a few thousand trades. I win 2-3x times more by letting trades "breathe" and record less net-losses overall bc of it. more $$$ for me and less of it being given back to the market/broker.


from the beginning of 2015 when i traded 1:50 with a US Broker:
30d9zkh.png


$211.15 in 18 minutes,
$350.00 in 8 minutes,
$364.00 in 10 minutes,
$353.50 in 14 minutes,
$303.00 in 5 minutes,
etc, etc

for the small amount of time that im in the market (i.e - 5minutes to 4hrs max usually), all a stop-loss would really do is unnecessarily make me lose money during the (small) drawdowns before the trade comes back to Take Profit. I scalp, and if i held positions overnight or stayed in the market for days at a time i would probably use one. to my advantage, i have a broker that gives me 'negative balance protection' so i won't ever owe more than what i've deposited.
 
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March Madness

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I know you racked up today shorting gbp/usd

lol shorting GBP/USD is the only trade I'm taking until at least March

28aujgo.png



I leave Mondays alone usually b/c it's a low volatility day. Tuesday through Friday was fair game since there was no FOMC this week + Yellen/Draghi weren't speaking during my trading hours. I sat out Wednesday after Crude Oil made shyt whipsaw for hrs. Thurs I held a trade for 12hrs before winning it during London solo. Which is why I say if you have the LONG-TERM trend on your side u'll increase your win-ratio dramatically. Friday I went back to 10.25 lots which is my NORMAL position size but I've been cutting it back intentionally.

Mon: n/a
Tues: $663.00
Wed: n/a
Thurs: $676.00
Fri: $1,189.00
= $2528.00; gross for the week. $2k in a week as a retail fx trader is pretty good ... but ive built this system to casually do $1,000-$2,000 a day. i've been under-performing since December honestly... like even today i could've made another $1k but after being in a trade yesterday for 10hrs i was just ready to re-up for next week.
 
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Swirv

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lol shorting GBP/USD is the only trade I'm taking until at least March

28aujgo.png



I leave Mondays alone usually b/c it's a low volatility day. Tuesday through Friday was fair game since there was no FOMC this week + Yellen/Draghi weren't speaking during my trading hours. I sat out Wednesday after Crude Oil made shyt whipsaw for hrs. Thurs I held a trade for 12hrs before winning it during London solo. Which is why I say if you have the LONG-TERM trend on your side u'll increase your win-ratio dramatically. Friday I went back to 10.25 lots which is my NORMAL position size but I've been cutting it back intentionally.

Mon: n/a
Tues: $663.00
Wed: n/a
Thurs: $676.00
Fri: $1,189.00
= $2528.00; gross for the week. $2k in a week as a retail fx trader is pretty good ... but ive built this system to casually do $1,000-$2,000 a day. i've been under-performing since December honestly... like even today i could've made another $1k but after being in a trade yesterday for 10hrs i was just ready to re-up for next week.
Your strategy is great breh. I see why you don't trade with a stop loss. How are the spreads with your broker?
 

March Madness

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very difficult trading week... Trading Q1 and Q2 is going to be a bytch. GBP/USD is either making a pullback or a reversal so I'm sitting out until the bears can print another candle on the daily chart. I'm thinking this week was pump for next week's FOMC... or maybe some large orders took profit this week and they just wanna reload shorts higher or something. I don't wanna go long on this shyt until March at the earliest but if it's a TRUE reversal I might have to. Gotta wait + watch S&R levels for now. If it stops bullshytting it can push to 1.39/1.38 at least.

[B]@March Madness[/B] how is EUR/USD not at parity?


too much interference man... there's too many large market participants with money tied up in EUR/USD. they're not about to just let it electric slide to parity like everybody wants. I realized this in 2015. E/U is overdue for parity lol. retail guys just end up being liquidity after they get stopped out. The banks + hedge-funds stacking orders on E/U are going to make u work for every dime.

... now, if ur still standing after the 'smart money' has found "an optimal level" to place their shorts, u can ride the trend with them but only after you've been in front of a firing squad for a couple weeks waiting for the fundamentals and the price action to actually work in unison.
 

March Madness

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.........................

I'm thinking this week was pump for next week's FOMC...

unless G/U decides 2 retract 60 pips after London the Weekly close should be bearish... could easily print itself as a doji ... hoping otherwise bc my GBP/USD bias is to go down to @ least 1.38

vff674.png


GBP/USD daily chart. basically if Monday has a bullish close it's still consolidating... if it closes bearish we're out of the range and the pair is headed towards new lows eventually. lot of news during the 1st week of a month, so there'll be turbulence.


not going to post one of these every week but im alive and day-trading as always:

1zczj9l.png

$440.00 in one hour, $455.80 in one minute; $895.00 for Friday. feel like some funny business is going on because 5.0 lots is suppose to gross $500.00 in profits but the spreads could've widened idk, or maybe something happened with a liquidity provider last night after BOJ.

ill count the pips later and see whats going on. played it safe with lot-sizes since it's the last trading day of Jan. + BOJ last night + FOMC two days ago.
 
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Swirv

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unless G/U decides 2 retract 60 pips after London the Weekly close should be bearish... could easily print itself as a doji ... hoping otherwise bc my GBP/USD bias is to go down to @ least 1.38

vff674.png


GBP/USD daily chart. basically if Monday has a bullish close it's still consolidating... if it closes bearish we're out of the range and the pair is headed towards new lows eventually. lot of news during the 1st week of a month, so there'll be turbulence.


not going to post one of these every week but im alive and day-trading as always:

1zczj9l.png

$440.00 in one hour, $455.80 in one minute; $895.00 for Friday. feel like some funny business is going on because 5.0 lots is suppose to gross $500.00 in profits but the spreads could've widened idk, or maybe something happened with a liquidity provider last night after BOJ.

ill count the pips later and see whats going on. played it safe with lot-sizes since it's the last trading day of Jan. + BOJ last night + FOMC two days ago.
Been testing your strategy and it's the truth!
 

Swirv

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I have too. The 10 pip rule was like a :ohhh:revelation to me. It's so simple that it's scary.
Hit a lick for 30 pips today selling gbp/usd i couldve stayed in and made more. Next time I'll let it run. @March Madness gave brehs the stimulus. Matter of fact breh do you still like trader'sway? I saw your post about funny stuff happening with the 5.0 lots. Did you square that?
 

March Madness

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over 7,000 trades ive ironed out most the kinks but there are still some nuances that demand u be an above-average trader.

MrFantastic said:
I have too. The 10 pip rule was like a :ohhh:revelation to me. It's so simple that it's scary.


10pip Take Profits work because it can easily be scaled ($$$-wise) and because the market will give you 10pips everyday. The huge 60-100pip trades are what's hard to come by (and are what the hive-mind chase), honestly. Currency pairs are ranging too much to pull that off consistently in 2016. When I was making $1,000.00 per trade I was still doing it with 10pips lol. My account was about $6-7k at the time too.

In Fx you take what you can and run. There is no "buy and hold" here like there is with stocks. Up until now, equities/stocks have been in a bull market 4 years ... Currency pairs don't have that kind of luxury. A currency can't rise too much against the other in a pair otherwise a central bank (see: Bank Of Japan, Swiss National Bank, etc) gets involved and does some freaky black swan shyt.

Ur moving averages have to be the quick ones too; something like 5SMA + 8SMA + 40SMA working in unison. A SMA combo like that will get you a quick entry on the 1Hr given the market is actually TRENDING (which is the purpose of me referencing the 4hr chart as the larger timeframe). I.e - If 5SMA crosses 8SMA on the 1HR chart [and if they crossed on the 4HR chart recently confirming the same direction], enter the trade. those huge moving averages like 100MA, 200MA are for swing traders and signal the move too late from my experience.

If the 1HR and 4HR aren't agreeing with each other that means wait, lol. because either the trend is changing or there's a retractment going on. Gbp/Usd on both 1hr and 4hr today were bearish as fukk which meant it was ripe for trading. 4hr chart is GOAT and when it's not showing a clear, defined move it's best to sit out and wait for the big fundamental release of the week (in this week's case Non-Farm Payroll) to cause a break-out. all indicators break down during ranging conditions so [you as a trader] have to know how to spot that WHILE or right BEFORE it happens.

Once u get an offshore broker that allows 200:1 leverage and above is when the $$$ piles up. The CTFC is constrictive as fcuk but there are (reliable) overseas Fx brokers that have made a niche of taking in refugee US traders that want to use high leverage. Outside of high leverage there is NO REASON to trade forex truthfully... Might as well trade Penny stocks or regular stocks if ur not going to use anything above 1:100.

the other beauty about high leverage is that it reduces ur exposure to the market. I needed $18,000 to make $500.00 when I was with OANDA and FXCM. Overseas I just need $2600.00 to make that same $500.00 with 1:1000 leverage. If u blow the account fukk it and re-fund it, it's only $2k. If ur win-ratio is worth a dikk u'll have doubled that 2k (esp. making $500.00 per trade) long before the market snipes you.

but b4 u start thinking profits U have to earn ur stripes as a trader first, etc ... getting ur win/ratio up to 80%+++ skillfully filtering trade opportunities, and seeing that you can consistently NET 10-20pips a day using said system before you make a big push for making money. if the trading performance is there, the money will come automatically...truth.

Swirv said:
Matter of fact breh do you still like trader'sway? I saw your post about funny stuff happening with the 5.0 lots. Did you square that?


TradersWay still the GOAT breh... that's the Atlanta of Forex Trading. I didn't bring it up to them because I saw things were back working the next couple of days. I chalked it up to me winning trades too fast ... like 17 seconds or 2 minutes fast.
 
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over 7,000 trades ive ironed out most the kinks but there are still some nuances that demand u be an above-average trader.




10pip Take Profits work because it can easily be scaled ($$$-wise) and because the market will give you 10pips everyday. The huge 60-100pip trades are what's hard to come by (and are what the hive-mind chase), honestly. Currency pairs are ranging too much to pull that off consistently in 2016. When I was making $1,000.00 per trade I was still doing it with 10pips lol. My account was about $6-7k at the time too.

In Fx you take what you can and run. There is no "buy and hold" here like there is with stocks. Up until now, equities/stocks have been in a bull market 4 years ... Currency pairs don't have that kind of luxury. A currency can't rise too much against the other in a pair otherwise a central bank (see: Bank Of Japan, Swiss National Bank, etc) gets involved and does some freaky black swan shyt.

Ur moving averages have to be the quick ones too; something like 5SMA + 8SMA + 40SMA working in unison. A SMA combo like that will get you a quick entry on the 1Hr given the market is actually TRENDING (which is the purpose of me referencing the 4hr chart as the larger timeframe). I.e - If 5SMA crosses 8SMA on the 1HR chart [and if they crossed on the 4HR chart recently confirming the same direction], enter the trade. those huge moving averages like 100MA, 200MA are for swing traders and signal the move too late from my experience.

If the 1HR and 4HR aren't agreeing with each other that means wait, lol. because either the trend is changing or there's a retractment going on. Gbp/Usd on both 1hr and 4hr today were bearish as fukk which meant it was ripe for trading. 4hr chart is GOAT and when it's not showing a clear, defined move it's best to sit out and wait for the big fundamental release of the week (in this week's case Non-Farm Payroll) to cause a break-out. all indicators break down during ranging conditions so [you as a trader] have to know how to spot that WHILE or right BEFORE it happens.

Once u get an offshore broker that allows 200:1 leverage and above is when the $$$ piles up. The CTFC is constrictive as fcuk but there are (reliable) overseas Fx brokers that have made a niche of taking in refugee US traders that want to use high leverage. Outside of high leverage there is NO REASON to trade forex truthfully... Might as well trade Penny stocks or regular stocks if ur not going to use anything above 1:100.

the other beauty about high leverage is that it reduces ur exposure to the market. I needed $18,000 to make $500.00 when I was with OANDA and FXCM. Overseas I just need $2600.00 to make that same $500.00 with 1:1000 leverage. If u blow the account fukk it and re-fund it, it's only $2k. If ur win-ratio is worth a dikk u'll have doubled that 2k (esp. making $500.00 per trade) long before the market snipes you.

but b4 u start thinking profits U have to earn ur stripes as a trader first, etc ... getting ur win/ratio up to 80%+++ skillfully filtering trade opportunities, and seeing that you can consistently NET 10-20pips a day using said system before you make a big push for making money. if the trading performance is there, the money will come automatically...truth.




TradersWay still the GOAT breh... that's the Atlanta of Forex Trading. I didn't bring it up to them because I saw things were back working the next couple of days. I chalked it up to me winning trades too fast ... like 17 seconds or 2 minutes fast.


I realized that once you said it..I literally did the :ohhh: when i read that post. Major pairs like nzd/usd moving 40 pips for the whole day. Frustrating!

I was using a 20 and 50 ema then I started using a 13 and 49 ema I was having success with that but that might due to me sticking to the 10 pip rule. Ima try the faster sma times
 

March Madness

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Been testing Gbp/Jpy a lot this week ... going 2 permanently trade it alongside Gbp/Usd again. Was one of my main money makers in 2014 but I quit fukking with it in 2015 bc G/U yielded smoother price action.

BOJ/Kuroda interfere a lot but I trade NY/London exclusively and when BOJ dumps millions of yen into the pair I'm usually out the market... All the funny shyt happens during Asia/London-solo im noticing.

Gbp/Usd is sideways as usual...Amazing pair on break-outs but a chore when it's waiting for the next NFP or FOMC announcement 2 do shyt. All of that is due to the "USD" part of the pair. Yellen let nikkaz down.

Gbp/Jpy is already reaffirming its bear trend and Brexit is a few months away (!) ... plus Yen strong as shyt rn... Cad, Gbp and Usd weak atm so Gbp/Jpy makes for good trend-follow trading.
 
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