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Manning stans, prove this article wrong
http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.co...w-tom-brady-better-than-peyton-manning/31873/
The Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning debate has dominated the interwebs now for at least a decade. The debate will continue for decades to come after the careers of these two all-time greats are over.
But for those people devoted to the stats, the data, the truth; for those people devoted to the Cold, Hard Football Facts, there is no debate: Tom Brady is an empirically superior quarterback.
Short version: Brady is Manning's statistical equal, despite playing his entire career outdoors with inferior talent, Brady puts up more points, wins more games, and doesn't shyt the bed every year in the playoffs.
Here's the long version the story.
Brady and Manning are statistical equals; one's just played longer
The average Brady-Manning debate typically breaks down along this fault-line: Brady wins, but Manning is statisticaly superior.
Manning, for example, set the all-time touchdown pass record two weeks ago, and will soon own almost every single individual passing record.
Brady is not exactly chopped liver in the stat department, folks. He is right now tied for fourth all-time in career TD passes (377) and is sixth in passing yards (51,208). Based on likely expectations, Brady will finish his career in the top 3 all-time in most major passing categories. It's unlikely he'll catch Manning's totals. But the notion that Brady is statistically inferior is a fabrication.
Manning's prolific records are largely volume stats – stats based upon how long and how often you play. Hell, Vinny Testaverde is an all-time top 10 quarterback if we rely on volume numbers. Even someone who believes in the myth that Manning > Brady would not put Testaverde on their all-time Top-10 list. He's just a guy who played a long time.
When it comes to volume stats, remember Manning has played three more seasons and 46 more games than Brady. His career has been nearly 25 percent longer than Brady's. Manning has attempted 1,837 more passes – nearly 27 percent more pass attempts than Brady.
Of course Manning boasts gaudier volume stats. He's played longer and thrown the ball far more often!
When we look instead at the two quarterbacks based upon averages, percentages and efficiency; in other words, when we look at them on an even playing field, their statistical careers are much, much closer than anyone realizes.
Manning's average attempt over the course of his career gains a whopping 7 inches more than Brady's average career attempt. Over the course of 1,000 attempts, Manning will throw four more TD passes, but also 6 more INTs. In fact, the biggest single statistical difference between the two is that Manning is more likely to throw picks. Brady's ability to care for the ball as well or better than any QB in history is one major reason he's the greatest winner in the history of the game – and Manning is not.
- Brady: 63.5% completions, 7.5 YPA, 5.5% TDs, 2.0% INTs, 96.1 rating
- Manning: 65.6% completions, 7.7 YPA, 5.9% TDs, 2.6% INTs, 97.9 rating
As we've shown over the years, INTs have a direct impact on wins and losses. And Manning throws them more often.
Otherwise, we're talking a razor-thin margin in statistical performance between the two QBs. The difference in their career ratings amounts to a couple pass attempts over the course of an entire season.
Despite the belief that one player continually puts up better individual stats, the reality is that there is no discernible statistical different between Brady and Manning game in and game out.
Brady plays outdoors in shytty-weather towns; Manning padded his stats playing most of his career in a dome
Brady has spent his entire career playing outdoors in Foxboro, one of the coldest and snowiest cities in the NFL, with a division schedule that includes the howling winds of Giants and MetLife Stadiums and the famously treacherous weather of Buffalo.
Manning spent much of his career playing in the cozy dome of Indianapolis, with a warm, soft division schedule that included the southern cities of Nashville and Jacksonville, plus the dome of Houston.
When we look at the razor thin margin of individual stat production that exists between the two quarterbacks, we can only wonder what they might look like if Manning played his entire career outdoors in nasty-weather towns and Brady spent his entire career at home in a dome.
- Brady has played 92% of his games outdoors (184 of 201)
- Manning has played 49% of his games outdoors (121 of 247)
We do know this: Brady is virtually unstoppable in a dome, outpacing Manning in accuracy, average per attempt, TD percentage and nearly 7 points better in overall efficiency.
Based upon all the data at hand, it's very reasonable and logical to declare that Tom Brady's would be statistically superior in every passing category had he the luxury of playing more than half his career in a dome, and had Manning played most of his career in bad-weather northern cities.
- Brady in a dome: 67.4%, 8.64 YPA, 6.9% TD, 2.62% INT, 106.42 rating
- Manning in a dome: 66.16%, 7.8 YPA, 6.1% TD, 2.4% INT, 99.72 rating
- Brady outdoors: 63.16%, 7.36 YPA, 5.37% TD, 1.93% INT, 95.26 rating
- Manning outdoors: 65.97%, 7.62 YPA, 5.69% TD, 2.62% INT, 96.02 rating
Brady puts more points in the board; in fact, he leads the greatest offensive machine in the history of football
Individual stats are nice. At the end of the day, playing quarterback is all about putting your team in a position to score points and win games.
And despite all the accolades for individual stat dominance heaped upon Manning, and despite the fact Manning has spent most of his career playing indoors and surrounded by more talent, Brady has led the greater offensive teams.
Brady's Patriots are the only franchise in the history of football to score 500+ points in four different seasons. With 238 points scored at the halfway point this year, they have a shot of making it five seasons.
- Brady's teams score an average of 28.1 PPG
- Manning's teams score an average of 27.3 PPG
- Brady's teams average 452.5 points per season (full 16-game seasons)
- Manning's teams average 434.9 points per season (full 16-game seasons)
Peyton Manning's teams have scored 500+ points just twice in 16 seasons.
For a little perspective, only 10 franchises have topped 500 points even once in their history. Brady's Patriots have topped 500 points four times in the last six seasons alone, and may make it five for seven here in 2014.
Brady's teams have produced an average of 5.0 non-offensive touchdowns per season; Manning's just 3.5. But it's not enough to explain the 17.6 point-per-season advantage enjoyed by Brady's teams.
The result either way is advantage Brady: his teams score more points and win more games.
Peyton Manning has been surrounded by more offensive talent; Brady gets by playing with tackling dummies at wide receiver
Peyton Manning began his career with the luxury of legendary Hall of Fame dual-threat RB Marshall Faulk in the backfield and prolific Hall of Fame WR Marvin Harrison out wide. He's been paired with a long list of Pro Bowl performers throughout his career, including here in 2014.
Brady only briefly had a marquee ball carrier in his backfield, Corey Dillion for a couple seasons in the mid-2000s. He's rarely had a marquee wide receiver as a battery mate, Randy Moss for three seasons and that's it. That tandem merely set the all-time TD pass-catch record with 23 scores in 2007. He's currently paired with arguably the best tight end in the game in Rob Gronkowski. But downfield threats are and have been few and far betwen for Brady.
Otherwise, Brady has handed the ball off to no-name running backs and thrown to midget, no-name wide receivers. Hell, Brady turned special teamer Wes Welker into the most productive pass catcher in football history.
That same Welker can barely get on the field in Denver, where Manning is surrounded by a cast of Pro Bowl performers wherever he looks.
Yet, still, despite the dearth of talent, Brady puts up the same stats and, more importantly, produces more points and victories.
Manning hogs the statistical glory for himself; Brady shares the wealth
Tom Brady will never catch Peyton Manning's all-time touchdown record. He probably won't play long enough to challenge it. Plus, he spreads the ball around far too much.
If Brady kept the ball in his hands as often as Manning, he'd already be well over 400 TD passes and we'd hear much lesss about Manning's alleged statisitcal superiority.
- 70.3% of all the TDs scored by Manning teams have come via the pass (521 of 741)*
- 53.1% of all the TDs scored by Brady teams have come via the pass (384 of 588)*
Of course, Brady's share-the-wealth strategy has paid team-wide dividends. As noted above, Brady's teams consistently score more points than Manning's teams.
Brady, by the way, has spread his 377 TD passes among a record 54 different pass catchers; many of them the long-forgotten, short-term journeymen he's been forced to play with over his career.
Manning has targeted 45 different receivers with his 513 TD passes.
*Totals include TDs by back-up QBs in rare spot replacement appearances for each player
Peyton Manning has played with plenty of strong, Super Bowl-caliber defenses
Manning played with really bad defenses in his rookie season of 1998 and again in 2001. Brady played with a strong defense in his debut season of 2001 and a great defense in 2003.
Those first impressions created storylines that linger today: the average fan says Manning's career has been burdened by terrible defenses, while Brady has benefited from the defensive genius of Bill Belichick.
The reality, the Cold, Hard Football Facts, are quite a bit different. The 2005 Colts boasted the No. 2 defense in football, surrendering just 15.4 PPG on their way to a 14-2 record.
The 2005 Colts, with Peyton Manning and an elite defense, went one-and-done in the playoffs, losing 21-18 at home when Manning and the offense struggled to get into gear and, indeed, had produced just a single field goal through three quarters.
Remember the 16-0 Patriots of 2007? Well, it was Peyton Manning's Colts which boasted the league's No. 1 defense that year, surrendering just 16.4 PPG. Those 2007 Colts, which paired Peyton Manning with the best defense in football, also failed to win a single playoff game. The heavily favored Colts lost at home 28-24 to the Chargers.
Manning in that game threw picks on consecutive possessions inside Chargers territory, including one with the ball sitting at the San Diego 4 yard line.
The 2012 Broncos paired Peyton Manning with the league's No. 4 scoring defense; yet again, that team failed to win a single playoff game. Manning threw a pick-six and an ugly overtime INT to seal Denver's fate in a 38-35 loss to the Ravens.
Including this season, Manning has played with seven different defenses that ranked in the Top 8 in scoring. Brady has played with eight different defenses that ranked in the Top 8 in scoring.
Manning's teams have surrendered an average of 21.4 PPG; Brady's teams 18.8 PPG. But Manning has played with Super Bowl-caliber defenses throughout his career, nearly as often as Brady.
Each quarterback has played once with the best defense in football. Brady rode that defense to 15 straight victories and a Super Bowl title during the 2003 season; Manning shyt the bed with that defense and went one-and-done in the playoffs during the 2007 season.
http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.co...w-tom-brady-better-than-peyton-manning/31873/
That was enough. Dude using narratives from 2002 and shyt.
, though...