Vandelay
Life is absurd. Lean into it.
Zeihan keeps talking about that, but with China investing in AI but also robots
The demographic time bomb isn't that much of an issue.
I was big on Zeihan, but he's too certain, smug, and disturbingly amused by a decline in the current world order.
I think he discounted the rise of the right and autocrats globally. I absolutely think population decline is a big issue still. Not because spending will go towards a gerontocracy or suddenly countries will start euthanizing people, rather economic engines are going to slow down tremendously as fewer people are available to spend that money. Rich people, or even if the GDP per capita grows; the more wealth you have, the less money you spend relative to that wealth. Innovation and prosperity slows when money stops cycyclingTo paraphraseRay Dalio, when that imbalance becomes too great, war and empires collapse.
I can think of only one future technology that will offset this, and it's not robots nor is it something this current society willingly will accept.

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