Man, what’s up with Nigeria? I remember in college, or maybe shortly after, I was reading about how it was in the next class of emerging countries behind BRIC...I wanna say their acronym was MINT. But then maybe in the past 2-3 years, I’ve seen articles on how Nigeria has stalled out or even reversed course. Is it the political leadership there?
I have a love hate relationship with Nigeria. It's often been called Africa's stumbling giant because although it makes strides forward it does so in a haphazard manner.
Concerning Nigeria's MINT status, yes, the potential is there (Nigeria is already Africa's largest economy by GDP, higher than South Africa) but there are some systematic issues the country hasn't quite fixed chiefly, infrastructure, energy, domestic manufacturing, taxation.
Nigeria is a top 30 economy but it's GDP per capita is absolutely piss poor. I wouldn't say the country has stalled, but when the Nigeria hype train was very large was during the mid-2000's when oil prices were upwards of $110 a barrel. Even as oil prices have crashed, the country is still chugging along as now, oil and gas only represent 15% of the private sector business, but represent over 80% of the government revenue.
Is the political leadership there? Largely, no. Within Lagos (the commercial hub, which, if it where it's own African nation would be the 5th in terms of GDP) there's a relatively progressive business minded political class that is catching up with the times. The issue is that much of the rest of Nigerian leadership is still caught up in the past.
I'll say this, back in 2015 we saw the first democratic change in power (which I guess you could say is a good thing in terms of political progression when compared to the likes of Angola, Cameroon or DRC) but the results have been mixed.
It's painful because Nigeria is the perfectly positioned to be the powerhouse of West Africa and Africa as a whole. Yea, South Africa is well developed and all but even still it's a "black majority" nation not a "black nation" as Nigeria is. Nigeria could play such a big role not only in African development, but development within the Diaspora. There's a relationship Nigeria could forge with Jamaica, Haiti, Brazil and others due to their ties in the Atlantic Slave trade.
In summary, the diplomatic, business and technological opportunities have not yet hit the potential they should because by and large the government has thus far failed to implement the policies and develop the framework to allow the ambitions of the aforementioned thrive.