For these primaries
about 500,000 more republican votes in florida
about 700,000 more republican votes in ohio
2016 Primary Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates
trump already narrowing the gap nationally and even took the lead in one poll
Trump 41%, Clinton 39% - Rasmussen Reports™
As hillary moves to the center she'll lose supporters (bernie's people)
as trump moves to the center and outflanks hillary to the left on trade he'll gain support.
Black turnout will be far lower than 08 and 12
Hispanic admittedly will be higher and overwhelmingly against trumpbut there aren't too many hispanics in swing states.
Florida has cubans not too many mexicans.
Not to mention Trump is gonna drop all kinds of grenades when it comes to hildas scandals.
When she calls him a sexist, he'll bring up clintons assault victims
Bill Clinton sexual misconduct allegations - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
When she calls him a racist, he'll bring up the crime bill and super predator comments
And then you've got benghazi, the emails, clinton laughing as she defended a child rapist
straight up sociopath
And a myriad of other things (wall street donors etc.) that he'll push her on way harder than bernie.
Dems fukked up by not nominating bernard
Once he dispatches of cruzifur and Mr. pancakes, Hil gon get this work
All this is true, but no way I hell trump is the next president.
I don't know what the fukk is gonna happen, but I know trump won't be the President of the U.S.
van jones predicting an easy trump win
No excitement on the left
7:46 truth on the black vote
9:05 NAFTA can get him Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania
but keep sleeping
he makes good points, the black vote thinkg is interesting... i dont agree on democrats falling asleep on trump though, trump is not going to put anyone asleep come election... both sides will be out in full force... i do agree with you on trump winning florida, the turnout for the republicans was at 3 mill while the democrats was half of that at 1.5.... i would like to see the primary turnout for 2012 florida, do u have it?
no dem primary in 12 but in 08
Dem primary: 1.75 mill
Florida Democratic primary, 2008 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Repub primary: 1.95 mill
Florida Republican primary, 2008 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
General obama won by about 240,000 votes 51% to 48% (4.28 mill to 4.04 mill)
United States presidential election in Florida, 2008 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Also rubio was running so that probably increased turnout for the repubs this year
No doubt trump isn't gonna win Florida and ohio by landslides but I give him about a 60% chance
But even if he wins ohio and florida, he'd have to pull off a big upset in PA or recapture Virginia and flip either colorado or Iowa
Those are tall tasks
The map is really not in his or any republicans favor.
United States elections, 2012 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The wild card imo is Michigan. Sanders was able to win because of trade so if he hammers her on NAFTA maybe he flips michigan and then things really open up
there isnt a primary every time there is going to a president election?
i just dont see how trump loses florida with the turnout they had... im guessing why clinton is beating trump in a head to head match up in florida currently is they dont have the republican party united yet.
id sometimes i think clinton has it in the bag but there is moments where i think trump can pull it off.
Repub florida primary in 2012 had about 1.6 mill votes
United States presidential election in Florida, 2012 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Incumbent usually runs unopposed unless something crazy goes down
If trump wins the nom i wouldn't be surprised if rafael desperately gives it another go in 2020
another ass whooping
Red Shield
Global Domination
van jones predicting an easy trump win
No excitement on the left
7:46 truth on the black vote
9:05 NAFTA can get him Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania
but keep sleeping
yea..
I do not expect the black vote turnout to be as high as 08 or 12.. and dude might actually get a decent %.
And that NAFTA thing.. yeah..
dude could potentially body Clinton
come on man, quit putting up a front, you know trump is about to swept something @Serious, in the primaries. Your whole party is in shambles trying to everything to overthrow him, at this very moment.
bro, no sane person will vote for trump. Do you see how dumb on average, the trump supporter is, :patrice;which isn't saying much, because the average voter in general, doesn't follow politics on a daily / consistent basis....
Dusty Bake Activate
Fukk your corny debates
Early May prediction, I got Clinton winning 358-180.
I say Hillary wins NC. My surprise pick is Hillary also wins AZ. The hispanic vote is gonna come out heavy there. I have every other state the same as 2012.
@Abogado can we formalize these electoral predictions somehow? Bet coli cash or something? It would be cool to see who predicts it the closest. We'd probably have to have a cut off date as it gets closer to election day.
I say Hillary wins NC. My surprise pick is Hillary also wins AZ. The hispanic vote is gonna come out heavy there. I have every other state the same as 2012.
@Abogado can we formalize these electoral predictions somehow? Bet coli cash or something? It would be cool to see who predicts it the closest. We'd probably have to have a cut off date as it gets closer to election day.
Remind me after the conventions.
superunknown23
Superstar
People still take Rasmussen polls seriously? What happened to the "unskew polls" guy anyway?
what..have u seen the video of him on youtube?
so trump doesn't have dirt now?
And tbf how can u win without the Hispanic vote?
:theymad: