Florida Senate Seat 2016 Election Thread

Scoop

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This shyt is heating up. Too much fukkery going on now. :lolbron: You got Rubio jumping back in, Murphy as the establishment Dem pick but whose struggling with a story where apparently he's lied on his resume and Grayson who is challenging Murphy in the Dem Primary from the far left who is a self-funder with Trump-like personality.

GOP smells blood in critical Florida Senate race

Marco Rubio's reversal and a devastating story on Democrats' favored candidate could upend a race central to the battle for Senate control.

By BURGESS EVERETT and KEVIN ROBILLARD


06/30/16 05:59 PM EDT

90

The first poll after Marco Rubio’s reentry from Florida TV stations showed that Patrick Murphy is tied with Rubio and favored to defeat Alan Grayson in the primary. | AP Photo

Republicans are trying to end the Florida Senate race before it even begins.

In one dramatic day this month, the entire race — one of roughly a half-dozen on which control of the Senate rests — was turned on its head. First, GOP Sen. Marco Rubio dropped his retirement plans and announced plans to run for reelection. Within hours, the CBS affiliate in Miami aired a bombshell investigative story accusing the Democratic establishment's chosen candidate, 33-year-old Rep. Patrick Murphy, of rampant résumé inflation.

Now, Republicans smell blood in the water, and they're looking to damage Murphy so badly that Democrats are forced to spend heavily on his behalf ahead of the state's Aug. 30 primary — or abandon the race altogether. The GOP is adopting a strategy that's been used against it repeatedly in recent election cycles: Propping up a politically toxic, outside-the-mainstream candidate in the other party's primary, in this case firebrand liberal Rep. Alan Grayson.

"I think anybody would rather run against Grayson” in the general election, said Sen. Dean Heller of Nevada, a vice chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

The reversal of fortunes in Florida could hardly have come at a better time for Republicans, after weeks of negative headlines about their presumptive presidential nominee, Donald Trump, and increasing concerns about a down-ballot disaster for the party. If Republicans can put the Sunshine State race out of reach, it would substantially boost their hopes of retaining the Senate. The party is clinging to a four-seat advantage, but faces an electoral map tilted decidedly in Democrats' favor.

Florida was seen as a better-than-even Democratic pickup before Rubio changed his mind, given Trump’s lousy poll numbers in the diverse state and a slate of underfunded and little-known Republican candidates. Now, Republicans have not only a top-tier incumbent, but a major TV takedown of the leading Democrat: The CBS story, which Murphy's campaign has aggressively sought to refute, questioned his stated credentials as a CPA and other business experience. Republicans promptly launched an ad off it, backed by $45,000. It's running on cable in the D.C. area, to sow doubt among donors and operatives about whether Murphy is worth their investment.

“I don’t think it’s helpful,” said Sen. Bill Nelson of the focus on Murphy’s biography. The Florida Democrat, who's staying out of his state's Democratic primary, said he saw the anti-Murphy ad while watching MSNBC's "Morning Joe" this week.

Democrats insist they're still bullish about the Florida race. They predict the race will be close no matter what, and dismiss the GOP effort to boost Grayson over Murphy in the primary as wishful thinking. The Democratic Party's Senate campaign arm and leadership-backed Senate Majority PAC say they have no plans to drop some $20 million in television reservations for the state. (The NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund haven’t reserved any time in Florida yet, though the Koch brothers' network has.)

“The arguments against Rubio are far stronger and will cut more persuasively with the voters than any of this stuff," said Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.).

Murphy has issued a point-by-point rebuttal of the TV story and is pointing to a PolitiFact piece debunking some of Republicans' attacks as a "must read." Murphy himself has mostly stayed away from the media since the story ran but has continued business as usual, traveling to Missouri on Sunday to raise money at Sen. Claire McCaskill’s house with a slate of other Democratic candidates. His campaign declined an interview request for this story.

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is not ruling out spending in the primary to get Murphy over the hump against Grayson, senators said. Republicans note that the DSCC spent roughly $3 million to help Katie McGinty defeat former Rep. Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania's April Democratic primary, and dream of a Florida intraparty showdown draining the DSCC’s bank account of $10 million or more. On Thursday, Murphy reserved $1.7 million in TV ads for the primary.

To that end, Republicans have been busy talking up Grayson.

“Alan Grayson, he’s got some appeal … he speaks to the base," NRSC Chairman Roger Wicker (R-Miss.) said playfully. And the TV story on Murphy? "Pretty devastating," Wicker said.


Of course, Republicans and many Democrats believe Grayson could never win statewide in Florida. He's beset by multiple ethics investigations and questions about his family's financial ties to slave labor in Africa. :mjpls:

Democrats say they remain confident of their chances in Florida. Murphy’s campaign manager, Josh Wolf, mocked the GOP ad airing in Washington, saying "D.C. may as well be Rubio’s home state.” Still, Democrats are circling the wagons, questioning the timing of the CBS report — it aired the same day that Rubio announced — and the quality of the reporting.

“That was totally BS,” DSCC Chairman Jon Tester of Montana said of the story, adding that Republicans "know they can’t beat Murphy. They know that.”

In an email, CBS reporter Jim Defede said the timing was “entirely coincidental.” He’d been working on the story for months and had hoped to run it the week before, but the Orlando shootings altered the station's plans.

Defede reported that Murphy, contrary to his campaign claims, did not win contracts in Gulf cleanup efforts, that his oil skimmers had not undergone recent tests as his company claimed and that he was not technically a CPA in Florida.

Murphy’s campaign says the report glossed over its response to the claims and released a detailed rebuttal. It cataloged seven changes that have been made to the online version of the story since publication.

Democrats say Republicans’ glee over the controversy is meant to obscure their concerns about a Murphy-Rubio match-up.

“It's no surprise that Republicans are worried and want to prop up a candidate like Alan Grayson,” said Galia Slayen, a spokeswoman for Murphy.

But the GOP is still dumping out anti-Murphy oppo: On Wednesday, Republicans' alleged Murphy was also involved in a "pay-to-play" scheme.

Rubio says he's preparing for a tough race — Trump remains a huge wild card in the race regardless of Murphy's problems, and the state naturally favors Democrats in presidential election years. Plus, Rubio has his own primary against well-heeled developer Carlos Beruff, who's attacking the incumbent as a creature of the D.C. establishment. Rubio's campaign account is also nearly empty after his presidential race, while the Senate contest is expected to cost tens of millions of dollars.

For now, the Florida senator is training his fire on Murphy and Grayson.

“You can’t believe anything [Murphy] says … this guy’s lied about everything he’s ever done,” Rubio said in an interview. And “Alan Grayson is insane."

The first poll after Rubio’s reentry from Florida TV stations showed that Murphy is tied with Rubio and favored to defeat Grayson in the primary. But if Republicans can even make the Democratic primary more competitive, it could force Murphy and the DSCC to spend precious resources before the general election.

“I think we can inflict serious damage on Patrick Murphy, and then cause serious trouble for Democrats nationwide,” said a top national Republican strategist involved in the anti-Murphy strategy.

Grayson is spoiling for a fight, launching a new six-figure ad buy this week. He, too, would not submit to an interview for this story, but his campaign attacked Murphy in a manner not unlike a Republican.

"By misrepresenting himself to voters for years, Patrick Murphy not only broke his trust with constituents, he broke faith with the president, Harry Reid and other Democrats who went out on a limb to promote Murphy's conservative record,” said Grayson campaign manager Michael Ceraso.


Read more: GOP smells blood in critical Florida Senate race
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Florida, brehs :banderas:
 

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Marco taking a page out of the Trump playbook and attacking "Lyin' Patrick." :pachaha:

No idea what the Dem machine decided to even go with Murphy. He's a former Republican and doesn't have a statewide reputation. Why not roll the dice on Grayson? At least he's a firebrand.
 

No1

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Marco taking a page out of the Trump playbook and attacking "Lyin' Patrick." :pachaha:

No idea what the Dem machine decided to even go with Murphy. He's a former Republican and doesn't have a statewide reputation. Why not roll the dice on Grayson? At least he's a firebrand.
Because they want someone that will toe the line and who has "paid their dues." It's the same reason they spent money to have Sestak lose when he nearly won the Senate seat back in 2010 in a hostile environment and is more of a populist. Dems don't take risks, they go for who the party leadership is familiar with.
 

SirReginald

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Rocky :krs:


23Jun
Rubio Flip-Flops: May Face Former Presidential Candidate in Florida’s US Senate Race

Orlando, FL, June 23, 2016 –(PR.com)– Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) did a complete about-face today on a pledge he made a year ago. During his failed run for the Republican presidential nomination, Rubio was criticized for his “missing-in-action” approach to representing the people of Florida in the United States Senate. To combat that criticism, he said he was “leaving the Senate.” After rescinding his promise, Rubio potentially finds himself up against another former presidential candidate who is running for Florida’s seat in the United States Senate: Democrat “Rocky” Roque De La Fuente.

De La Fuente was the first candidate to officially file to run in the Florida Democratic Primary for the U.S. Senate. While he lives quietly in the Orlando area, De La Fuente has literally been a fixture in the Florida landscape for years as the owner of multiple commercial properties in the state.

De La Fuente is an extremely successful entrepreneur and real estate developer who hopes to bring common sense to the political arena. This must be déjà vu for Rubio, who got “trumped” by a candidate with similar credentials on the Republican side.

There is one glaring difference. De La Fuente is on record as having entered the Democratic presidential primary because of Donald Trump whose candidacy he thought posed a significant threat to the country. De La Fuente is also very progressive with regard to his position on social issues.

“I’m inclusive when it comes to social issues whereas Sen. Rubio is exclusive,” De La Fuente explained. “His positions are polarizing,” he continued. “For example: If you don’t agree with his religion, he wants to craft laws that force you to comply. He wants to take away women’s rights, LGBT rights, etc. My approach is the exact opposite. I think liberty is meant to be equally applied to every American, and I think every human being deserves to be treated with dignity and respect,” said De La Fuente.

While Rubio dropped out of the Republican presidential primary on March 16th, De La Fuente continued to challenge the Democratic front runners until that race concluded. “I like to finish what I start. And when I make a commitment, I honor it,” said De La Fuente.

Failing to honor his commitments could haunt Rubio this election cycle.

In a national debate last September, he said, “I am leaving the Senate, I’m not running for re-election, and I’m running for president because I know this: unless we have the right president, we cannot make America fulfill its potential … If we keep electing the same people, nothing is going to change.”

According to the Tampa Bay Times, “The Florida Republican has missed … 407 of 598 for which records were available. He skipped 80 percent of Commerce hearings and 85 percent of those held by Small Business. He has missed 60 percent of Foreign Relations hearings since joining the Senate despite making his committee experience a centerpiece of his qualifications for president. He attended 68 percent of Intelligence Committee meetings, though that’s based on 19 hearings for which records are available. The bulk, 245, were classified so records are unattainable.”

Correspondingly, Rubio’s prior Senate victory was built upon the backs of the Tea Party. Now, he is being rebranded as an establishment candidate for the Republican Party.

If De La Fuente becomes Florida’s Democratic nominee for US Senate, Rubio could find himself up against an opponent with a similar background to the one who crushed him in Florida’s Republican presidential primary but who is far more compassionate and personable than Donald Trump ever will be.

Background

“Rocky” Roque De La Fuente is living proof that the American Dream can be achieved by those who are inspired to pursue it. He has an amazing record of overcoming obstacles and achieving success. From being licensed by the FAA to fly single engine planes at the age of 20 to owning 28 automobile dealerships and becoming Chairman of the National Dealers Council for the third largest automobile manufacturer in the world by the age of 28, Rocky is in a league by himself. He also created a banking network in 1982 to help address an economic crisis in Mexico and established impressive real estate holdings throughout the United States while generating thousands of new jobs along the way. Rocky holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics and Mathematics (Magna Cum Laude) and exudes a passion for his country and for those who seek the opportunity to fulfill their version of the American Dream.

For more information please visit: Home
Twitter: @VoteRocky2016
Facebook: Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
YouTube: Roque De La Fuente

Contact Information:
Rocky Florida US Senate
Elizabeth Wood
603-554-0100
Contact via Email
www.Rocky2016.com

Read the full story here: Rubio Flip-Flops: May Face Former Presidential Candidate in Florida’s US Senate Race - PR.com

Press Release Distributed by PR.com


 

Scoop

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Poll: Rubio widens lead in U.S. Senate race
By MARC CAPUTO

90


07/14/16 06:08 AM EDT

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio is widening his lead over the two major Florida Democrats who seek to unseat him, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

Rubio leads U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy by 50-37 percent — a 6-point shift in the Republican incumbent’s favor since Quinnipiac’s last poll of Florida voters in June. And Rubio leads U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson by 50-38 percent, a 4-point shift since last month.

The poll indicates voters don’t mind that Rubio broke his pledge to not run for his Senate seat if he lost his bid for the White House this year.

“Democrats made fun of Sen. Marco Rubio when he opted for a last-minute re-election bid in Florida, but he may be on the way to a last laugh, having quickly opened double digit leads over both Democratic challengers,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The numbers underscore why Republican elites in Florida and Washington urged Rubio to reconsider reelection. The only other Republican left in the Senate race, little-known developer Carlos Beruff, trails Murphy by 6 percentage points and ties Grayson, at 38 percent. The primary is Aug. 30.

Quinnipiac also surveyed two other swing states at the same time and found that Ohio Republican Sen. Rob Portman was comfortably ahead of former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland by 7 points, while Sen. Pat Toomey led Democrat Katie McGinty by 10 points.

“The numbers seem to be breaking the Republican way in the battle for control of the U.S. Senate, at least when it comes to the critical swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania,” Brown said.

What’s remarkable about Quinnipiac’s latest survey in Florida is the abrupt shift in Republicans’ favor overall. The presidential portion of the poll, released Wednesday, showed Hillary Clinton marginally trailing Donald Trump by 2 percentage points — a net 11-point shift in the Republican’s favor that Brown partly attributed to the just-ended federal investigation of the Democrat’s handling of her Secretary of State’s email account.

President Obama’s approval rating has nose-dived. Last month, 54 percent of Florida voters approved and 42 percent disapproved of the president’s job performance. Those numbers have reversed, with 44 percent now approving and 53 percent disapproving of the job Obama’s doing.

Rubio’s Democratic Senate counterpart, Bill Nelson, has a 42 percent job-approval rating while 29 percent disapprove. But that’s a net shift of 17 points against Nelson since June, when his approval-disapproval numbers were 52-22 percent.

Rubio’s approval-disapproval numbers remained about the same: 46–43 percent (they were 45-44 percent in June).

The bilingual Rubio does better with non-white voters than most Republican candidates, but he still trails Murphy by 48-34 percent among minorities. Non-Hispanic white voters support Rubio by 59–31 percent over Murphy. A big key to Rubio’s overall position: he’s winning independents and has a stronger base of support in his own party.

“The breadth of Sen. Rubio's lead against Rep. Patrick Murphy, who has the backing of the Democratic leadership, is impressive,” Brown said. He has a 19-point margin among independent voters and scores 10 points better among Republicans than Murphy does among Democrats.”

Quinnipiac’s survey of 1,015 Florida voters was conducted June 30-July 11 and has an error margin of 3.1 points.

Read more: Poll: Rubio widens lead in U.S. Senate race
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SirReginald

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Poll: Rubio widens lead in U.S. Senate race
By MARC CAPUTO

90


07/14/16 06:08 AM EDT

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio is widening his lead over the two major Florida Democrats who seek to unseat him, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

Rubio leads U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy by 50-37 percent — a 6-point shift in the Republican incumbent’s favor since Quinnipiac’s last poll of Florida voters in June. And Rubio leads U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson by 50-38 percent, a 4-point shift since last month.

The poll indicates voters don’t mind that Rubio broke his pledge to not run for his Senate seat if he lost his bid for the White House this year.

“Democrats made fun of Sen. Marco Rubio when he opted for a last-minute re-election bid in Florida, but he may be on the way to a last laugh, having quickly opened double digit leads over both Democratic challengers,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The numbers underscore why Republican elites in Florida and Washington urged Rubio to reconsider reelection. The only other Republican left in the Senate race, little-known developer Carlos Beruff, trails Murphy by 6 percentage points and ties Grayson, at 38 percent. The primary is Aug. 30.

Quinnipiac also surveyed two other swing states at the same time and found that Ohio Republican Sen. Rob Portman was comfortably ahead of former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland by 7 points, while Sen. Pat Toomey led Democrat Katie McGinty by 10 points.

“The numbers seem to be breaking the Republican way in the battle for control of the U.S. Senate, at least when it comes to the critical swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania,” Brown said.

What’s remarkable about Quinnipiac’s latest survey in Florida is the abrupt shift in Republicans’ favor overall. The presidential portion of the poll, released Wednesday, showed Hillary Clinton marginally trailing Donald Trump by 2 percentage points — a net 11-point shift in the Republican’s favor that Brown partly attributed to the just-ended federal investigation of the Democrat’s handling of her Secretary of State’s email account.

President Obama’s approval rating has nose-dived. Last month, 54 percent of Florida voters approved and 42 percent disapproved of the president’s job performance. Those numbers have reversed, with 44 percent now approving and 53 percent disapproving of the job Obama’s doing.

Rubio’s Democratic Senate counterpart, Bill Nelson, has a 42 percent job-approval rating while 29 percent disapprove. But that’s a net shift of 17 points against Nelson since June, when his approval-disapproval numbers were 52-22 percent.

Rubio’s approval-disapproval numbers remained about the same: 46–43 percent (they were 45-44 percent in June).

The bilingual Rubio does better with non-white voters than most Republican candidates, but he still trails Murphy by 48-34 percent among minorities. Non-Hispanic white voters support Rubio by 59–31 percent over Murphy. A big key to Rubio’s overall position: he’s winning independents and has a stronger base of support in his own party.

“The breadth of Sen. Rubio's lead against Rep. Patrick Murphy, who has the backing of the Democratic leadership, is impressive,” Brown said. He has a 19-point margin among independent voters and scores 10 points better among Republicans than Murphy does among Democrats.”

Quinnipiac’s survey of 1,015 Florida voters was conducted June 30-July 11 and has an error margin of 3.1 points.

Read more: Poll: Rubio widens lead in U.S. Senate race
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Baby Cuba couldn't win when he was in the presidential race. Now, he's gainin :banderas: Florida did Baby Cuba wrong :heh:
 

Scoop

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Grayson implodes

90

The fallout from a POLITICO story on domestic violence allegations was immediate and severe.

By Kevin Robillard and Marc Caputo

07/26/16 07:30 PM EDT

Rep. Alan Grayson’s Senate campaign began disintegrating Tuesday as supporters and a top consultant abandoned him in the wake of a POLITICO report detailing decades of domestic-abuse allegations from his wife.

The fallout could have the effect of drying up hard-to-come-by cash for the struggling campaign, just as vote-by-mail ballots are about to go out for Florida’s August 30 primary. The candidate has already seen one set of campaign staffers quit en masse, and has been dogged by an ethics investigation into his ownership of a Cayman Islands hedge fund and ties to slave labor in Africa.

The congressman, through a spokesman, denied his ex-wife's claims of battery, which were detailed in police and court records dating to 1994. But the political damage was severe nonetheless.

“Unfortunately, this deeply disappointing revelation means progressives have no great options in the Florida race for Senate," Democracy for America and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee said in a written statement that announced they were pulling their endorsements.

Revolution Messaging, the progressive digital consulting firm that powered Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' insurgent presidential campaign, has dropped Grayson as a client and isn't allowing him use of its e-mail technology, potentially a major blow to a candidate who has relied on small-dollar donations.

The Communications Workers of America, a union that also endorsed Grayson, said it will need to examine what happened before deciding whether to pull its endorsement.


“We are just learning about this and are looking into the allegations. We'll decide next steps over the next couple of days,” said CWA spokeswoman Candice Johnson.

Grayson’s campaign appears to be on hard financial times. He reported having raised a paltry $55,000 and had $484,371 on hand at the end of the second quarter. He reported spending no money over a three-month period, an impossibility; when POLITICO raised the issue, his campaign said the report was in error and that it would file a new one. Grayson’s Democratic primary opponent, Rep. Patrick Murphy, raised $2.4 million and has $7.2 million on hand.

Grayson’s fundraising woes are partly the result of his poor relations with the Democratic establishment, many of whom have raised concerns about his temperament. The DSCC, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid and President Barack Obama have lined up behind Murphy.

After these recent revelations, Democrats say more leaders might join with Reid, who previously called on Grayson to quit the race.

“Senator Reid didn't think his opinion of Grayson could get any lower, but it has,” a spokesman for Reid said.


Grayson added fuel to the fire on Tuesday when he attended a POLITICO event during the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia where he refused to answer questions and then falsely accused POLITICO reporter Edward-Isaac Dovere of pushing him. Grayson then threatened to have Dovere arrested.

“You’re getting in my way, my friend. You’re assaulting a member of Congress. You’re pushing me. Have this guy escorted out, please,” Grayson said. A spokesman later said Grayson told Dovere to contact his staff with questions but he instead confronted the congressman in a tense exchange captured on video.

Grayson refused to answer questions about domestic the abuse charges leveled by his ex-wife, Lolita Grayson. He earlier called the questions “ridiculous.” But four years ago, Grayson had accused a Republican opponent of domestic abuse and said the news media was “disgusting” for not drawing more attention to the issue.

For the story on his ex-wife's battery claims, Grayson issued a statement through a lawyer.

"It is unfortunate that these discredited and utterly false allegations have had their intended effect — to smear an innocent victim in a vain effort to derail a Senate campaign and distract voters from the issues that matter to them," the attorney, Mark NeJame, said. "Over the years Alan has been a good father and tried to protect his five children, the oldest three of whom have all sought refuge from their mother by choosing to live with their dad. We're confident that the voters will see through this deception just as they did in 2014.”

As the drama unfolded, Kevin Franck, Grayson’s former Senate race spokesman who left in the last staff shakeup, took to Twitter with a pithy comment: “Career choices, validated.”


Read more: Grayson implodes
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