Get ready for 'regular Fed rate hikes all year,' ex-Treasury official warns

Menelik II

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Get ready for 'regular Fed rate hikes all year,' ex-Treasury official warns

Federal Reserve will increase interest rates next week, as many central bankers have been recently hinting, and that's only the beginning, according to Brookings Institution's Aaron Klein, a Treasury staffer during former President Barack Obama's administration.

"The Fed is racing to get to 1.5 percent for the interest rate so that they can get above the next recession and get out in front," Klein said Monday on CNBC's "Squawk Box."

He said the Fed also wants to create "wiggle room" in case policymakers need to cut rates down the road in the event of an economic slowdown.


In a speech Friday, Fed Chair Janet Yellen was rather transparent about the possibility of a rate hike at the central bank's March 14-15 policy meeting.

"There were false starts year after year after year," said Klein, an economic studies fellow at Brookings and a former deputy assistant secretary for economic policy at Treasury. "I think people are going to start to get used to regular Fed rate hikes all year, starting now."


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This combined with China allowing their currency to weaken is not a good look. But they had to start at some time. :yeshrug:
 

BaggerofTea

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:yeshrug: When you add in the defecit spending and the impending hyper-inflation along with minimizing dollars circulating world wide :picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard:

And then China artificially boosting exports even more by devaluaing their currency:mjcry:
 

Menelik II

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:yeshrug: When you add in the defecit spending and the impending hyper-inflation along with minimizing dollars circulating world wide :picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard::picard:

And then China artificially boosting exports even more by devaluaing their currency:mjcry:
:ohlawd:

This can really go left as there are a lot of factors that can lead to a market collapse. I think it all hinges on whether these tax cuts, and deregulation of banking sector come through. The last 20% of the stock market is all a 'deregulation bubble'.

The china thing could start a trade war, even though China are not in the wrong this time.
 

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The Feds are anticipating Trump tanking the dollar, so they are preemptively raising the interest rates to tamp down on the hyperinflation thats on the way

Pleasantly surprised he hasn't tanked the market yet with his twitter rampages and scandals.
 

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BaggerofTea

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Pleasantly surprised he hasn't tanked the market yet with his twitter rampages and scandals.

Market only responds to bottomlines, If Trump was on the left part of the spectrum, the markets would be scared. But Trump is very pro-corporate and pro wall street, and they know that. Plus the deregulation and corporate tax cuts etc etc
 

BaggerofTea

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The dollar is strong but it will probably get stronger if anything. The US economy still has a better outlook than europe and Asia, plus you have the Trump stimulus coming. Money follows the growth and the higher return.

Wages should also go up with his spending.
:hhh: How the fukk are wages going to go up if the dollar gets weaker? If anything wages will go DOWN. We aren't even calculating existential factors to the market yet.
 

Menelik II

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The dollar is strong but it will probably get stronger if anything. The US economy still has a better outlook than europe and Asia, plus you have the Trump stimulus coming. Money follows the growth and the higher return.

Wages should also go up with his spending.
:hhh: How the fukk are wages going to go up if the dollar gets weaker? If anything wages will go DOWN. We aren't even calculating existential factors to the market yet.
trump will do all the infrastructure spending and take illegals out the workforce, so wages should rise. also wages are based in dollars.
 

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trump will do all the infrastructure spending and take illegals out the workforce, so wages should rise. also wages are based in dollars.
:gucci:

Where do you think this money comes from? Do you think taxes will pay for it? Especially when the tax cut will be historic?
 

Menelik II

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:gucci:

Where do you think this money comes from? Do you think taxes will pay for it? Especially when the tax cut will be historic?
the money comes from borrowing. The US issues bonds right, the ROW buys these bonds.
 
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