I didn't attempt to stack the probability. That's why I pointed out that you're misreading my point. I didn't say that the probability for him having gotten a girl pregnant on a a specific 29th one-night stand was over 50%, I said that the probability of having gotten some girl pregnant after 29 one-night stands would be over 50%.You originally said this
This is wrong for two reasons
Reason 1: Probability doesn't stack like that. It's the inverse of the chance that you don't get it.
Reason 2: Coli brehs don't get laid enough for them to randomly get a girl pregnant. ( I'm basing this off the numerous smash or pass/ig thot threads, the body count thread, and general aversion to women).
Let's just do it for 2 events. It the probability of getting a girl pregnant is 5%, and you slept with two girls once each:
The chance of getting neither girl pregnant would be 0.95*0.95 = 0.9025 = 90.25%
So the chance of it happening at least once after two attempts? 100 - 90.25 = 9.75%
That's made up of a 0.05*0.05 = 0.0025 = 0.25% chance of having gotten both girls pregnant, leaving a 9.5% chance of having gotten exactly one girl pregnant.
If you doubt me, show it to your statistics prof.
And your "reason 2" is a stereotyping fallacy.
As far as your claims that the chance of getting a girl pregnant is less than 1%, you're obviously wrong (if you were being careful about the math you'd notice that your 30% odds on one day alone would disprove your claim, even if there were no other fertile days in the entire cycle. Again, check that with your statistics prof).
But let's go to the real world. How the heck do you think that couples were pumping out babies every damn year back in the pre-birth control period? Go to India and ask them how they got so many kids when every one is damn near a year apart. Go to any fertility website and you'll see that MOST young healthy couples get pregnant within three months of trying. How many times you think they gonna be having sex in those three months?
What a weird list. Those aren't even the top four toughest math schools, and where I studied the math program for undergrads was tougher to get into and more highly respected than three of those four (not casting shade on any of their graduate programs though).Sure, assuming you studied math at Carnegie Mellon, MIT, Stanford, or Berkeley. If you not, then![]()