After March 15 there won't be anymore southern states other than Kentucky. And the only state left with a huge black population that can single handedly defeat Bernie is Maryland.
Bernie could easily win 60-40 or better in the following states given his strength with white working class voters:
Washington
Oregon
Montana
Wyoming
Idaho
Utah
North Dakota
South Dakota
Alaska
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Conneticut
Delaware
Rhode Island
That's 14 states he's gonna win. And by significant margins if Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Minnesota, and New Hampshire are any indication.
Then you have:
Indiana
Pennsylvania
Missouri
Ohio
Illinois
States that are similar to Michigan demographically. He can win these states as well or at least be competitive enough to split the delegates.
And finally the big dogs. Delegate rich:
California
New York
New Jersey
By the time they come up Bernie could have loads of momentum from his wins across the west and rust belt. This could give him a chance to make up even more ground in delegates if he wins 55-45.
Only states left that are heavy Clinton leans are:
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
New Mexico
Kentucky
Maryland
Hawaii (pure guess here, could be a Bernie state for all we know)
Puerto Rico (not a state but has a lot of delegates)
And this is assuming she still has the Hispanic vote on lock. If they begin moving to Sanders like Hispanics in Nevada, he can make things interesting in Arizona and New Mexico.
This race is by no means over. Sanders can make up the 200 PLEDGE delegate deficit. It'll be tough. But possible if he can win Ohio and Missouri next week. While keeping the margins in Illinois and Florida respectable. He'll lose 2 to 1 in North Carolina.
Bernie could easily win 60-40 or better in the following states given his strength with white working class voters:
Washington
Oregon
Montana
Wyoming
Idaho
Utah
North Dakota
South Dakota
Alaska
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Conneticut
Delaware
Rhode Island
That's 14 states he's gonna win. And by significant margins if Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Minnesota, and New Hampshire are any indication.
Then you have:
Indiana
Pennsylvania
Missouri
Ohio
Illinois
States that are similar to Michigan demographically. He can win these states as well or at least be competitive enough to split the delegates.
And finally the big dogs. Delegate rich:
California
New York
New Jersey
By the time they come up Bernie could have loads of momentum from his wins across the west and rust belt. This could give him a chance to make up even more ground in delegates if he wins 55-45.
Only states left that are heavy Clinton leans are:
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
New Mexico
Kentucky
Maryland
Hawaii (pure guess here, could be a Bernie state for all we know)
Puerto Rico (not a state but has a lot of delegates)
And this is assuming she still has the Hispanic vote on lock. If they begin moving to Sanders like Hispanics in Nevada, he can make things interesting in Arizona and New Mexico.
This race is by no means over. Sanders can make up the 200 PLEDGE delegate deficit. It'll be tough. But possible if he can win Ohio and Missouri next week. While keeping the margins in Illinois and Florida respectable. He'll lose 2 to 1 in North Carolina.
Last edited:
