How many more years of elite production does Saquon Barkley need to be a Hall of Famer?

[IsThatBrothaMouzone?]

• Super Bowl champion (LIX)
• NFL Offensive Player of the Year (2024)
• NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (2018)
• First-team All-Pro (2024)
• 3× Pro Bowl (2018, 2022, 2024)
• NFL rushing yards leader (2024)

Rushing yards: 7,216
Rushing average: 4.7
Rushing touchdowns: 48
Receptions: 321
Receiving yards: 2,378
Receiving touchdowns: 14

These are Saquon's current stats and accomplishments. In 7 seasons, he's rushed for 1000+ yards 4 times. He recently turned 28 and it's worth noting his injury history.
How many more seasons of elite production does Saquon need to be a HOF? 4 more years? 5 more years? or is the HOF out of reach for him in your eyes?

He's not being considered seriously until he can crack 10,000 yards.

Another SB with a really dominant Terrell Davis playoff run might allow him to get in the HOF even without reaching 10k yards.

48 TD's seems a bit low. Think he needs to get in the 60 to 70 range at a minimum. Playing with Tush-Push Hurts™, is going to reduce his redzone chances....same way Aikman had far fewer TD's because Emmitt was so automatic inside the 20.

The Terrell Davis argument is tricky. The Eagles won a SB with Nick Foles in '17 and Hurts damn near dragged them to a win two years ago WITHOUT Saquon. Davis gets credit because Elway played in 3 SB's before TD was even in high school. He was clearly the difference maker and put up bonkers numbers.

None of the pre-TD Broncos SB runs with Elway were as close to winning as Hurts was against KC in '22. Saquon can get there....but right now, he's basically Zeke with a ring.

 

[feelosofer]

He will need at least 2 more years of elite production like 1500 yards plus an maybe another 50 career TDs before the discussion even starts. He can do it if he stays healthy and on the Eagles.

 

[CHICAGO]

i think he only needs one more great year. as it stands now priest 1x rushing title, 2x scrimmage yards leader. tiki 2x scrimmage yards leader. saquon 1x rushing title, 2x scrimmage yards leader. the 2000 yard season i think gives saquon an edge right now. the argument you can make against him is he only has the one 1400 yard rushing season so far but the counter to that is he does have two seasons where he finished top 2 in rushing with priest best finishes being 1st and 3rd and tiki 2nd and 4th.

the mvp and super bowl mvp obviously are big factors for terrell davis but he also has a regular season elite production edge over all of the above because he had the 2000 yard season but also finished 2nd in rushing two other years along with finishing 2nd in scrimmage yards 3 times. one more great year from saquon top 2 in rushing or scrimmage yards puts him in similar standing.

PRIEST HOLMES IS 3X
FIRST TEAM ALL PRO

THAT OTHER shyt YOU
TALKING IS IRRLEVANT


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[MikelArteta]

He will need at least 2 more years of elite production like 1500 yards plus an maybe another 50 career TDs before the discussion even starts. He can do it if he stays healthy and on the Eagles.

yup plus hes 28 and has 7,200 rushing yards and 48 rushing tds, sorry he's way way way off

considering most rbs are down by 30 I doubt it

shaun alexander has 100 rushing tds and nearly 10k yards won't sniff

 

[King Kreole]

shaun alexander has 100 rushing tds and nearly 10k yards won't sniff

This is a good point, Shaun Alexander has an MVP as well. Saquon definitely behind him.

 

[BucciMane]

It's going to be tough, and people have very different definitions of being "very productive".

If he has two more years similar to what he did this year, then he has a great chance. The HOF should value peak and prime over anything else, and IF he has two more seasons similar to what he had this year, he'll have a very good chance.

The missed time he's had over his career is obviously hurting him a lot in terms of HOF discussion now. Just ball park, but I'd say if he can rack up 4,500 rushing yards over the next three years that he'll have a very good chance.

 

[Bigwhite2498]

PRIEST HOLMES IS 3X
FIRST TEAM ALL PRO

THAT OTHER shyt YOU
TALKING IS IRRLEVANT


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Super Bowl champion too

 

[King Poetic]

He’s in

Same numbers a terrell davis

But i give him 2 or 3 good seasons left

 

[Bigwhite2498]

He’s in

Same numbers a terrell davis

But i give him 2 or 3 good seasons left

There’s a huge difference between him and Terrell Davis. He not even over Priest Holmes

 

[L&HH]

Unfortunately for him he wasted 6 prime years on a wack Giants team. He’s 28, I think it will be tough. He’ll need another near 2000 yard season and some more serviceable seasons

 

[Optimus Prime]

I would compare him to Curtis Martin who's got into the HOF on his 2nd year of eligibility even though he never won anything for the Pats/Jets. If Saquon can get close to Martin's total numbers I think he's in.

https://stathead.com/tiny/utn6s

 

[Rekkapryde]

TERELL DAVIS IS IN
BECAUSE HE HAS A
NFL MVP AND SUPER BOWL MVP



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and 3X First Team All Pro.

Saquon gets a couple more All Pros (very likely) and another ring and he def in.

Only first ballot nikka right now is maybe Derrick Henry. 4 All Pros (1 first, 3 second teams). Almost 12k yards. Might get close to 13 by next season. Def over 13k if he plays 2 more years.

 

[mitter]

I would compare him to Curtis Martin who's got into the HOF on his 2nd year of eligibility even though he never won anything for the Pats/Jets. If Saquon can get close to Martin's total numbers I think he's in.

https://stathead.com/tiny/utn6s

Getting 7,000 more yards is not a piece of cake for a 28 year old running back.


Running backs tend to fall off hard around the age of 30.

 

[Harry B]

He only needs 3 1500 yard seasons to to be up with the other guys in rushing yards.

Which is impressive given that he spent his whole career with one of the weakest olines in the league and the fact that football is more pass oriented than it was

 

[CHICAGO]

I would compare him to Curtis Martin who's got into the HOF on his 2nd year of eligibility even though he never won anything for the Pats/Jets. If Saquon can get close to Martin's total numbers I think he's in.

https://stathead.com/tiny/utn6s

MARTIN HAS SEVEN 1200 YRD SEASONS.

SAQUON HAS 3 SO FAR
SO HE HAS TO BE ELITE
FOR 4 MORE SEASONS
TO CATCH HIM



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