I don't think humans will make it past the year 2100

Dre God

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Caring at this point is rearranging chairs on the titanic.

We’re likely going to see 2-3 cataclysms in our lifetime at the rate we going.
 

Scustin Bieburr

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Nah there's hope for humans. Computers are getting more powerful each year.
AI Generated enzyme that eats plastic
There's carbon capture tech that can turn carbon into soil or building materials. Ideally, we could suck carbon out of the atmosphere and compress it into carbon based building materials like graphene which will make our buildings FAR stronger. Could probably infuse it into paint and make them more resistant to impacts too from hurricanes and what not.

Machine learning used to predict weather patterns and help with wind and solar power. By predicting weather patterns for example, a company could strategically build wind turbines in areas where wind activity will go up in the next 10 years and areas where clouds/rain is less likely to fall meaning a good opportunity for solar panels

Batteries are getting better and better at storing energy too. More home owners are using tesla batteries to store extra solar power for use at night

people are using heat-pumps instead of air conditioners or furnaces.

More buildings are being constructed out of wood and simple changes like different paints can cool the building significantly.

Basically things are moving in the right direction, but here's the bad news. Do not unspoiler if you're feeling emotionally sensitive:
Unfortunately, as human history has shown in order for things to get better A LOT of people will have to die. The period of history past 1990 has been the most overall peaceful that humanity has been for thousands of years. Capitalism is a tough b*stard but it's starting to enter it's :flabbynsick: stage. The third World War is going to be over this. Human civilization is like a car heading towards a mountain on an open road with bumps, holes and other obstacles. The people driving the car are drunk and senile. They're saying they're fine to drive while barreling towards the rock face. The only way that we'll stop them from crashing that car and killing all of us is if we throw them out of the car. Now this will look one of two ways: 1.Authoritarian fascism targetting refugees, immigrants, women(for not giving birth fast enough to children that constitute the majority), minorities for 'polluting' the gene pool and draining resources 2. Authoritarian communism directed at the older generations and property owners of any kind. the backlash will be MASSIVE like the Chinese cultural revolution ratcheted up to 11. Wars will be fought between these two sides, and civil wars will pop-off in nearly every country on earth with even a modicum of income inequality.

I pray to the most high that I'm wrong about this, but WWIII will end with a minimum of 15% of the population gone. By our current trend, that's about 1.2 Billion dead over the course of several years of war. When the industrial revolution started, war changed--people saw industrialized war for the first time and it reached its zenith with WWII, the largest human made calamity in history. This video puts it in perspective:


The same forces that brought us to that point are coming back. A desire for more resources, an unwillingness to develop sustainably and not waste, and a desire to pin misery on people that have nothing to do with it. Except now we have nukes. This is what one nuke can do


The nuclear weapon will be analagous to what fully automatic guns, artillery cannons, and bombs dropped from planes were to WWI and II respectively. Those tools took a war that would've resulted in the deaths of maybe 100-200k max over 5-6 years, and turned it into a slaughter of 100k per month. Nukes will take the kind of death in WWII that led to 100k per month, and will turn that into 1 million in a week. We're going to lose A LOT of people. 1.2 billion is my conservative guess, but honestly I think it might end up being 3 or 4 B. Things won't be over soon though, there will still be proxy wars and possibly another(brief) cold-war that will end in another exchange of nukes that will kill a bunch of people.


BUT

The survivors will come out of all of this with a sense of sober, common sense thought tempered by the horrors of what they witnessed collectively. It will be a trauma that is passed down from generation to generation nobody will have been unaffected by it. Everyone who survives will have lost someone they knew. Capital will not be allowed to develop to the insanity that lead us to that point. The only buildings that will be allowed to be constructed will have to pass green standards. We'll use AI to develop radiation poison curing compounds, enzymes/ genetically modified organisms that can eat irradiated material. Such things kind of already exist:

(fun fact, they use melanin to survive. Just saying, people who have radiation poisoning may end up becoming darker skinned as a result of treatments to cure them and dark skin will once again be associated with something good)

The U.S. will have a new constitution, which massively overhauls the government to prevent the abuses and outright lunacy( 50 years of jurisprudence just being ignored by the SCOTUS ) that we are seeing right now. Certain things will be enshrined in constitutions around the world as human rights(food, shelter, healthcare, privacy) and these rights will be enforced by military force if necessary. No country will be allowed to have a nuclear arsenal, and any evidence of one being constructed will be punished aggressively. They won't hesitate to merc an entire govt over this. We'll have another industrial revolution enforced purely through sustainable and equitable development and another long period of peace.

That's about as optimistic as you're going to get from me OP.
 

Scustin Bieburr

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@Scustin Bieburr what year/s do you think World War III will take place?
I don't think anyone will be able to give an accurate answer to that. I'd like to see what an AI algorithm would predict if we fed it enough data. My guess is that it will happen 10-15 years after we pass the point of no return from the latest IPCC report.
If we head into 2050 and we haven't sucked enough carbon out of the atmosphere, it's a wrap. My predictions are based off existing trends, so if those trends continue, I won't be surprised if countries are turned into mass graves by 2060. Most of us will be dead from disease or old age by then so I'd be more worried about our descendants. The nephews, nieces, sons, daughters who are about to be born or are babies right now. They have one hell of a hard road ahead of them.

The only way I can see us getting out of that scenario I described, is if there is MASSIVE investment in AI simulation and quantum computing. If computers can fabricate compounds QUICKLY that will suck carbon out of the air, and if political assassinations, massive strikes, and economic crashes get these old heads out the paint, we can avoid climate catastrophe with minimum casualties. The tech is largely here and developing but as long as "but it's too expensive/its just fear mongering" is taken seriously as an excuse to not something RIGHT NOW then it's a foregone conclusion. WWIII will have to happen and a lot of people will have to die, but hopefully the ideas that lead us to this point will die too. WII brought an end to race science as accepted main stream scientific study. It led to the end of the British and French empires, it took Germany from a war-monger into the biggest advocate for peaceful European Unity and it set the stage to empower black men who were now armed and trained with military tactics to protect their communities with the Nation of Islam, black panthers, and other organizations agitating for our rights. The civil rights movement would not have been possible without black men willing to use violence in self-defense.

The type of black man that will come out of the next great war will also be on that kind of time and will be right there at the seat of the table drafting a new constitution and bill of rights to make sure that from the beginning black people are treated as full citizens and protected by the same laws and entitled to the same rights.
 

Paradoxx

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Nah there's hope for humans. Computers are getting more powerful each year.
AI Generated enzyme that eats plastic
There's carbon capture tech that can turn carbon into soil or building materials. Ideally, we could suck carbon out of the atmosphere and compress it into carbon based building materials like graphene which will make our buildings FAR stronger. Could probably infuse it into paint and make them more resistant to impacts too from hurricanes and what not.

Machine learning used to predict weather patterns and help with wind and solar power. By predicting weather patterns for example, a company could strategically build wind turbines in areas where wind activity will go up in the next 10 years and areas where clouds/rain is less likely to fall meaning a good opportunity for solar panels

Batteries are getting better and better at storing energy too. More home owners are using tesla batteries to store extra solar power for use at night

people are using heat-pumps instead of air conditioners or furnaces.

More buildings are being constructed out of wood and simple changes like different paints can cool the building significantly.

Basically things are moving in the right direction, but here's the bad news. Do not unspoiler if you're feeling emotionally sensitive:
Unfortunately, as human history has shown in order for things to get better A LOT of people will have to die. The period of history past 1990 has been the most overall peaceful that humanity has been for thousands of years. Capitalism is a tough b*stard but it's starting to enter it's :flabbynsick: stage. The third World War is going to be over this. Human civilization is like a car heading towards a mountain on an open road with bumps, holes and other obstacles. The people driving the car are drunk and senile. They're saying they're fine to drive while barreling towards the rock face. The only way that we'll stop them from crashing that car and killing all of us is if we throw them out of the car. Now this will look one of two ways: 1.Authoritarian fascism targetting refugees, immigrants, women(for not giving birth fast enough to children that constitute the majority), minorities for 'polluting' the gene pool and draining resources 2. Authoritarian communism directed at the older generations and property owners of any kind. the backlash will be MASSIVE like the Chinese cultural revolution ratcheted up to 11. Wars will be fought between these two sides, and civil wars will pop-off in nearly every country on earth with even a modicum of income inequality.

I pray to the most high that I'm wrong about this, but WWIII will end with a minimum of 15% of the population gone. By our current trend, that's about 1.2 Billion dead over the course of several years of war. When the industrial revolution started, war changed--people saw industrialized war for the first time and it reached its zenith with WWII, the largest human made calamity in history. This video puts it in perspective:


The same forces that brought us to that point are coming back. A desire for more resources, an unwillingness to develop sustainably and not waste, and a desire to pin misery on people that have nothing to do with it. Except now we have nukes. This is what one nuke can do


The nuclear weapon will be analagous to what fully automatic guns, artillery cannons, and bombs dropped from planes were to WWI and II respectively. Those tools took a war that would've resulted in the deaths of maybe 100-200k max over 5-6 years, and turned it into a slaughter of 100k per month. Nukes will take the kind of death in WWII that led to 100k per month, and will turn that into 1 million in a week. We're going to lose A LOT of people. 1.2 billion is my conservative guess, but honestly I think it might end up being 3 or 4 B. Things won't be over soon though, there will still be proxy wars and possibly another(brief) cold-war that will end in another exchange of nukes that will kill a bunch of people.


BUT

The survivors will come out of all of this with a sense of sober, common sense thought tempered by the horrors of what they witnessed collectively. It will be a trauma that is passed down from generation to generation nobody will have been unaffected by it. Everyone who survives will have lost someone they knew. Capital will not be allowed to develop to the insanity that lead us to that point. The only buildings that will be allowed to be constructed will have to pass green standards. We'll use AI to develop radiation poison curing compounds, enzymes/ genetically modified organisms that can eat irradiated material. Such things kind of already exist:

(fun fact, they use melanin to survive. Just saying, people who have radiation poisoning may end up becoming darker skinned as a result of treatments to cure them and dark skin will once again be associated with something good)

The U.S. will have a new constitution, which massively overhauls the government to prevent the abuses and outright lunacy( 50 years of jurisprudence just being ignored by the SCOTUS ) that we are seeing right now. Certain things will be enshrined in constitutions around the world as human rights(food, shelter, healthcare, privacy) and these rights will be enforced by military force if necessary. No country will be allowed to have a nuclear arsenal, and any evidence of one being constructed will be punished aggressively. They won't hesitate to merc an entire govt over this. We'll have another industrial revolution enforced purely through sustainable and equitable development and another long period of peace.

That's about as optimistic as you're going to get from me OP.

Kinda sounds like Star Trek, only reason why it’s so wonderful and advance on earth is due to massive and horrific wars.
 

King

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Nah there will definitely be human beings alive on the planet in 2100

But humanity will look a hell of a lot different
 
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