Yup. 50% or more divorce rate is a statistical majority. That means the pool ain't good no matter how you slice it
Funny thing is the 50% divorce rate is actually a statistical myth. This is something people just believe as fact, but has been debunked for decades. But since it's been ingrained in us, it has become a universal truth w/o question.
That 50% number came from a projection in the early 70s when no fault divorce became legal in 1969 and soon spread across the U.S.
Since the 1980s divorce rates have actually been dropping. Actually according to the Census, in 2019 we had the lowest divorce rate since 1970 at around 14% for that year.
Also there are so many variables to account for, that it's impossible to have a single divorce rate and go with that. Education, salary, age, race, even location are all factors that affect divorce. Also since the 70s, the age of marriage has been going up. Less people get married each decade, so it would be crazy for that 50% number to hold steady.
Also people look at weddings per year and analyze divorces per year and it appears to be around 50%, but that doesn't make sense. What's the average years married during this 50% divorce rate? What's the average years dating during this 50% rate?
There are so many factors and so many things that can skew numbers when taken into account to just throw out a flat number. It's wild how we all just accept the 50% myth as gospel and nobody questions it even though there is plenty of data and research that contradicts that statement.
And lastly, even if that 50% was true, logically saying 50% of marriages ends in divorce doesn't mean you have 50% chance of getting divorced lol