Over the past five seasons, there have been 48 receivers drafted in the first two rounds. Brandon Lloyd's 2012 season?
#2 in Receptions [74] - Eddie Royal led rookies with 91 in 2008. Dwayne Bowe is 3rd with 70.
#6 in Yards [911] - DeSean Jackson posted 912.Justin Blackmon is next with 865.
#11 in Touchdowns [4] - Tied with Calvin Johnson and Sidney Rice.
So what does that mean? It means that if Dobson put up Lloyd's numbers as a rookie, he would have had one of the top five or six rookie seasons by a first or second round receiver of the past five years.
Think about that. If Dobson replaces Lloyd's production, he'll be amongst the likes of A.J. Green, Julio Jones, Percy Harvin, and Dwayne Bowe. Players that were drafted well within the first round.
Here are some other stats:
A.J. Green is the only rookie first/second rounder since 2007 to produce over 1000 yards. Calvin Johnson "only" produced 756.
Only 12 rookies (top 25%) produced over 50 receptions.
Only 7 rookies ( ~14%) produced 6 or more touchdowns.
So where should we be putting our expectations for Dobson? Players drafted in the 50s include Torrey Smith and Greg Little, two players with very successful first campaigns. It also includes Limas Sweed and Dexter Jackson, players so bad that they make Chad Jackson look like a quality draft pick.