March 26th Democratic Caucuses - Bernie better bring his broom

[MrSinnister]

None are really upsets though.

It does break "Frontrunner syndrome" though, so it keeps people thinking about why they should vote for each candidates, instead of running to the default "winner" and getting ready to pivot to the general. I terms on how the narrative was being shaped after Super Tuesday 3, today was a huge upset of Bernie can keep WA over 70%.

The gauntlet would then be thrown down as to who is really supporting him, and they (the media) would no longer be able to dismiss the latte crowds or the independents coming from the GOP

 

[StatUS]

CNN ain't lying. Bernie's gotta start winning bigger states.

 

[The_Sheff]

Looks like Bernie's on pace to make up 100+ delegates today. Great fukking news and a real harbinger for California as usually states nearby vote pretty similarly. #Bern_Unit

Arizona votes similarly to California? Florida votes similarly to Georgia? Kentucky votes similarly to Ohio?

 

[MrSinnister]

CNN ain't lying. Bernie's gotta start winning bigger states.

Wisconsin · 86 delegates
Apr 9
Wyoming · 14 delegates
Apr 19
New York · 247 delegates
Apr 26
Connecticut · 55 delegates
Delaware · 21 delegates
Maryland · 95 delegates
Rhode Island · 24 delegates
Pennsylvania · 189 delegates
May 3
Indiana · 83 delegates
May 10
West Virginia · 29 delegates
May 17
Kentucky · 55 delegates
Oregon · 61 delegates
Jun 7
California · 475 delegates
Montana · 21 delegates
New Jersey · 126 delegates
New Mexico · 34 delegates
North Dakota · 18 delegates
South Dakota · 20 delegates
Jun 14
Washington, D.C. · 20 delegates

With Washington state being 101 delegates, and counts for a big state, Bernie has plenty of time to catch up now. He just needs to minimize any loss states and get 15+ delegates in the bigger states until California makes this academic. He can totally do this, and the map favors him. He just can't get wiped in NYC, Maryland, or Jersey.

 

[MrSinnister]

Arizona votes similarly to California? Florida votes similarly to Georgia? Kentucky votes similarly to Ohio?

Arizona has some fukkery going on there. We'd have to wait for Oregon, although a big Washington win does say great things about Cali, as they're both tech based, and high dollar. California also has many budget problems that a Bernie message would appeal too, as well as many people who NEED a 15/hr minimum wage.

He was wiped in Georgia, but we know how different it is from FL, but Bernie didn't get wiped there but was beaten. Kentucky is also a research hub, so I put the educated and independent or GOP crossovers being the main voting blocs. How many Black people have you met from Kentucky?

 

[Regular_P]

It does break "Frontrunner syndrome" though, so it keeps people thinking about why they should vote for each candidates, instead of running to the default "winner" and getting ready to pivot to the general. I terms on how the narrative was being shaped after Super Tuesday 3, today was a huge upset of Bernie can keep WA over 70%.

The gauntlet would then be thrown down as to who is really supporting him, and they (the media) would no longer be able to dismiss the latte crowds or the independents coming from the GOP

I wouldn't be surprised if Bernie keeps WA over 70%. I've seen plenty of Bernie signs/stickers around the state but never any Clinton stuff.

 

[StatUS]

Wisconsin · 86 delegates
Apr 9
Wyoming · 14 delegates
Apr 19
New York · 247 delegates
Apr 26
Connecticut · 55 delegates
Delaware · 21 delegates
Maryland · 95 delegates
Rhode Island · 24 delegates
Pennsylvania · 189 delegates
May 3
Indiana · 83 delegates
May 10
West Virginia · 29 delegates
May 17
Kentucky · 55 delegates
Oregon · 61 delegates
Jun 7
California · 475 delegates
Montana · 21 delegates
New Jersey · 126 delegates
New Mexico · 34 delegates
North Dakota · 18 delegates
South Dakota · 20 delegates
Jun 14
Washington, D.C. · 20 delegates

With Washington state being 101 delegates, and counts for a big state, Bernie has plenty of time to catch up now. He just needs to minimize any loss states and get 15+ delegates in the bigger states until California makes this academic. He can totally do this, and the map favors him. He just can't get wiped in NYC, Maryland, or Jersey.

I'm thinking he has to win New York on Pennsylvania to get the superdelegates to take notice.

 

[MrSinnister]

I'm thinking he has to win New York on Pennsylvania to get the superdelegates to take notice.

Not really for either, although I'm sure he has PA if he has Wisconsin. California would likely force a "vote with your state" type situation with the super delegates or "will of the people". I don't think they're dumb enough to block his way, if they didn't think about doing it with Obama. I do think he needs, at least, 50+ more delegates and convincing wins in the typical Democratic states left to keep it legit.

 

[The_Sheff]

Arizona has some fukkery going on there. We'd have to wait for Oregon, although a big Washington win does say great things about Cali, as they're both tech based, and high dollar. California also has many budget problems that a Bernie message would appeal too, as well as many people who NEED a 15/hr minimum wage.

He was wiped in Georgia, but we know how different it is from FL, but Bernie didn't get wiped there but was beaten. Kentucky is also a research hub, so I put the educated and independent or GOP crossovers being the main voting blocs. How many Black people have you met from Kentucky?

My point was that states don't vote similarly because they are near one another. States with similar demographics vote similar to one another. The demographics of California are nothing like the demographics of Oregon or Washington.

Bernie lost by over 30 points in Florida, he did get wiped.

 

[Paper Boi]

lol at the CNN headline "math still favors Clinton"

they want bernie to lose so bad. fukk the establishment brehs.

 

[MrSinnister]

My point was that states don't vote similarly because they are near one another. States with similar demographics vote similar to one another. The demographics of California are nothing like the demographics of Oregon or Washington.

My point is the same as yours....

Damn, thanks for being so literal. In my answer to you, I even brought up Kentucky demographics. At any rate, California's needs supercede their demographics. That state will go where ever SV goes. It can go either way, as far as big money influence, but the rank and file supports Bernie.

Most people in Cali make their money from some trickle down from the strong tech base, so they will be influenced by it. Others will likely have a war of personalities from Hollywood, as well as their own concerns.

 

[ineedsleep212]

lol at the CNN headline "math still favors Clinton"

they want bernie to lose so bad. fukk the establishment brehs.

 

[The_Sheff]

lol at the CNN headline "math still favors Clinton"

they want bernie to lose so bad. fukk the establishment brehs.

Telling the truth is bad now?

 

[MrSinnister]

lol at the CNN headline "math still favors Clinton"

they want bernie to lose so bad. fukk the establishment brehs.

It definitely doesn't after today. I would even argue she could get wiped from this point, and the super delegates could be all that's holding her together. The media needs frontrunner syndrome, and Bernie has to take Wisconsin with some authority before the Battle for New York.

 

[MrSinnister]

Telling the truth is bad now?

It's not the truth tho.