Mexico panicking over job-loss to Trump

Scoop

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SCUTTLED FORD PLANT HAS MEXICO FEARING MORE UNDER TRUMP

BY PETER ORSI
ASSOCIATED PRESS

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MEXICO CITY (AP) -- Ford Motor Company's cancellation of plans to build a $1.6 billion auto manufacturing plant in San Luis Potosi has sounded alarms throughout Mexico.

Even as the country is being rocked by rowdy nationwide protests against a Jan. 1 gasoline price hike, the Ford news led the front pages of Mexico's most influential newspapers on Wednesday, and they tied the development directly to President-elect Donald Trump.

"Trump leaves Mexico without 3,600 jobs," read the headline on El Universal. "Ford's braking jolts the peso," said Reforma, referring to the Mexican currency's nearly 1 percent slump following the news.

"The jobs created in Mexico have contributed to maintaining manufacturing jobs in the United States which otherwise would have disappeared in the face of Asian competition," the Mexico Economy Department said.

Mexicans have been nervous about Trump's tough rhetoric toward their country, including disparaging remarks about immigrants who come to the U.S. illegally and vows to wall off the border and renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement, upsetting ties with what is by far Mexico's largest trading partner.

Two weeks before inauguration, the scuttling of the planned Ford factory and Trump's pressure on General Motors should be a "much-needed wake-up call," said Mexico analyst Alejandro Hope.

It shows "how much actual leverage Trump has within specific companies, which is far greater than what Mexican elites thought until recently," Hope said. "They claimed that at the end of the day economic interests would prevail over political messaging. That's clearly not the case."

In an editorial, El Universal also recalled the deal Trump struck in December with Carrier to keep 800 of 1,300 jobs at an Indiana furnace factory from being sent to Mexico, in return for millions of dollars in tax incentives. It also implicitly criticized the Mexican government's response to the incoming administration.

"Mexico loses thousands of jobs with no word on a clear strategy for confronting the next U.S. government which has presented itself as protectionist and, especially, anti-Mexican," the paper wrote. "Trump will try to recover as many U.S. companies that have set up in Mexico as possible. He will try to make them return at whatever cost, through threats or using public resources."

"Ford's decision is indicative of what awaits the economies of both countries," the daily La Jornada said. "For ours a severe decrease in investment from our neighboring country, and for the U.S. a notable increase in their production costs."

Hope said more decisions like Ford's are likely to come. And while the loss of a single planned plant probably does not fundamentally change the U.S.-Mexico economic relationship, "it certainly shows that the idea that the status quo was entrenched was false."

"This should put us on notice that when he says that he wants to renegotiate NAFTA, he means it," Hope said.

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JT-Money

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Ford plant turns 'cemetery' as Trump wrenches Mexican autos

By Christine Murray | SAN LUIS POTOSI, MEXICO
Ford Motor Co's (F.N) abrupt move to scrap a planned $1.6 billion car plant in central Mexico has spooked a network of suppliers who bet on a growing customer base and dramatized the risk that Donald Trump's agenda poses to the country's broader economy.

Many auto parts makers had started to expand in anticipation of Ford's plant in the state of San Luis Potosi, where industry is "easily 70 percent" dependent on the auto sector, said Julian Eaves, managing director of Preferred Compounding de Mexico, a U.S.-owned maker of rubber compounds operating here.

"It's going to have a huge impact on the local community," said Eaves.



The loss to the economy, Eaves calculates, could run into the hundreds of millions of dollars, and maybe even into the billions, over the next five years, as manufacturing, contracting and indirect jobs all fall short of plans. Officials say they are still analyzing the economic impact of the Ford decision.

The hemorrhaging may be just the beginning of Mexico's pain from Trump's vows to shake up trade and bring manufacturing jobs back north when he takes office on Jan. 20.

Ford ascribed its move to a decline in North American demand for small cars like the ones it planned to make in San Luis Potosi. But Trump had been lambasting Ford for its Mexico operations, months before he was elected president in November.

Trump upped the ante on Thursday, threatening to slap a "border tax" on Japanese automaker Toyota Motor Corp (7203.T) for cars it sells to the United States from a new plant in Mexico, fueling fears of an all-out offensive by his government on Mexican industry.

Mexico's government on Friday "categorically" rejected any attempt to use threats to influence investment decisions in Mexico, saying it wanted to boost the competitiveness of North America. It did not mention Trump or Toyota in its brief statement.

In a matter of days, Ford's retreat has turned the factory site into a barren plain bereft of its economic promise.

"It now looks like a cemetery," said Fernando Rosales, 28, a hydraulic hoses contractor preparing to abandon the site. "(There is) only death here, we are all leaving."

Ford's decision also puts the brakes on Detroit automakers' push to build small cars in Mexico to reduce labor costs, while using higher-paid U.S. workers for larger, more expensive vehicles.

Not far from the doomed Ford site, other major players from the global automotive industry are in the midst of multi-million dollar investments, including General Motors Co (GM.N), which Trump has also repeatedly berated for investing in Mexico.

German carmaker BMW (BMWG.DE) is assembling a $1 billion plant, and a few miles from the Ford site, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (GT.O) is busy building a $550 million tire facility.

The U.S. president-elect's broadsides against Mexico have shown how exposed companies in the supply chain are to the whims of U.S. automakers under pressure not to offshore production.

Shares in Kansas City Southern (KSU.N), one of the main railroad operators in Mexico, fell following news of the Ford cancellation and have lost 3.3 percent since Tuesday morning.

Between 40 and 50, mostly foreign-owned, suppliers were ready to come and supply the San Luis Potosi plant, said Sergio Resendez of real estate broker Colliers International.

"This was going to catapult us," Gustavo Puente, the state economy minister of San Luis Potosi, said of the plant Ford originally announced in April of last year. Ford told him the plan was off about an hour before it went public with the news, he said.

Around 12 to 14 of the suppliers had already invested money buying land or signed a contract with developers, said Resendez of Colliers, though Puente suggested the number was fewer.

"It's a very, very complicated hole," Resendez said. "The suppliers, depending on their level of advancement, will lose money. They had already made big investments."

'KICK IN THE TEETH'

At the Ford premises, shocked and dejected workers packed up construction materials and prepared to leave.

"This is a massive kick in the teeth," Rosalio Rocha, 52, a construction worker on the site from a nearby town said.

"It looks like he is going to keep going on about it," he added, referring to Trump.

Some of the ground at the 280-hectare site had already been leveled and the skeletons of two large, white buildings stood out against a rusty brown and green backdrop.

Workers said they had heard plans for an industrial park opposite the site for suppliers had also been suspended. The park's developers were not immediately available to comment.
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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If Mexico's economy declines, more Mexicans/Central Americans will try to illegally immigrate to the US.

A robust Mexican economy would absorb Mexican and Central American labour.

Oh well! It's not like any American politicians were willing to say the truth about this.

:yeshrug:
 

Maschine_Man

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If Mexico's economy declines, more Mexicans/Central Americans will try to illegally immigrate to the US.

A robust Mexican economy would absorb Mexican and Central American labour.

Oh well! It's not like any American politicians were willing to say the truth about this.

:yeshrug:
Meh, America shouldn't be responsible for Mexico's economy...at the expense of the American economy
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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Meh, America shouldn't be responsible for Mexico's economy...at the expense of the American economy

Economics shouldn't be zero-sum. If you shop at Wal-Mart, you can't even complain. China's economic rise allows you to buy cheap Chinese-made products.

Mexico's economic rise allows cheaper goods for American consumers and it prevents poor Mexicans from migrating to the US.


But, do you what you want American voter! It's just a shame that you guys generally don't learn these things at school.
:yeshrug:
 
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