Official 2020 Iowa Caucus Thread

[the cac mamba]

Guys, your hate for Pete seems to be based mainly on his sexual orientation but seriously, u shouldn’t let that cloud your judgment.

outside of sanders, there is no better candidate capable of beating trump.

America is not going to replace melania with pete Buttigieg's husband

I don't think anyone's "hating" by stating that fact. he's not running for mayor of san francisco

 

[Worthless Loser]

This is fine and all but youre underestimating the negative effect of him losing like this

If he finishes a distant 3rd or 4th in NH his money is gonna dry up.

I think he's the one person that can survive through the tough time. He's a fighter and has name recognition as a VP. Others would be completely done in that scenario.

 

[Paper Boi]

 

[StatUS]

This is fine and all but youre underestimating the negative effect of him losing like this

If he finishes a distant 3rd or 4th in NH his money is gonna dry up.

I still don't think people will understand how much losing 2 or 3 contest in a row early can shift these primaries until it happens .

 

[FAH1223]

We're on track to another Iowa "tie"

Tied in pledged delegates but Bernie winning the popular vote means Sanders W in Iowa

 

[Foxmulder]

What a horrible take.

 

[Serious]

I know it seems heaven sent, but the America's not ready for the first openly gay president

@DEAD7

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

I think he's the one person that can survive through the tough time. He's a fighter and has name recognition as a VP. Others would be completely done in that scenario.

Time will tell.

SC is 2/29 apparently

Super Tuesday immediately after

If he runs up the score in SC then ok. But hes gonna need a significant win. Like 10-15pts

If he loses NH and NV like he did Iowa and barely scrapes out a win in SC hes toast

 

[FAH1223]

The hot takes that Biden is done is an overreaction. He probably won't win New Hamsphire or Nevada, but he'll win South Carolina. Super Tuesday is when he'll rack up. On Super Tuesday Biden is a lock to win Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah and Texas. Week after Super Tuesday he will win Mississippi, Missouri and North Dakota.

I still believe it will come down to Biden and Sanders as the last two. The South will get Pete out the paint and if Bloomberg goes down earlier than he expected, those voters will most likely go to Biden. When Amy Clinton goes down those voters will go to either Biden or Warren.

The problem for Joe is money

If he doesn’t finish well in NH and doesn’t win the NV Caucus... he’s gonna be looking even more funny in the light

SC he will win. But will it be 5 points? 10? 25?

He also needs delegates. So he has to win big. It won’t be Hillary over Bernie big but big.

Steyer complicates things for him there and in NV

 

[☑︎#VoteDemocrat]

What a horrible take.

It’s not. We all know there’s lanes in the primary.

 

[DEAD7]

This 2020 fukkery is just different

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

The problem for Joe is money

If he doesn’t finish well in NH and doesn’t win the NV Caucus... he’s gonna be looking even more funny in the light

SC he will win. But will it be 5 points? 10? 25?

He also needs delegates. So he has to win big. It won’t be Hillary over Bernie big but big.

Steyer complicates things for him there and in NV

RCP has Biden up 13.5

Biden loses these next two that will go down

On the other hand Steyer is at 16.5 there in the RCP. Steyer was dreadful in Iowa..if he does terribly in NH (probable)..where do his voters go? I dont know the profile of a steyer voter

 

[Dusty Bake Activate]

 

[SithLawd]

A 5’8 homosexual who looks like he just turned 16 is gonna lose 40-45 states in the general

 

[FAH1223]

RCP has Biden up 13.5

Biden loses these next two that will go down

On the other hand Steyer is at 16.5 there in the RCP. Steyer was dreadful in Iowa..if he does terribly in NH (probable)..where do his voters go? I dont know the profile of a steyer voter

Steyer may do well in SC just cause he’s blanketed the airwaves. Also in NV.

He sort of has put IA and NH as less priority