Official Hezbollah/Houthi/Iran vs. Israel Regional War Thread

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Life in Iran After the Strikes: Executions, Arrests and Paranoia

Security forces emerge from hiding to set up checkpoints, hunt for moles and tell residents to watch their neighbors for spies

June 28, 2025 at 6:32 am
Aftermath of an Israeli strike in Tehran.
Checkpoints have sprung up across Tehran as the authorities seek to reassert control and hunt people they suspect helped Israel’s attacks on air defenses, nuclear sites, and top officers and atomic scientists in a 12-day air war that exposed the state’s inability to defend itself.

As the smell of high explosives hung in the air of the capital, police and intelligence officers arrested hundreds of people, and are detaining more each day. Armed paramilitary police are patrolling the streets. People are being stopped and having their cars, phones and computers searched. The government announced the hasty execution of at least six men.

“The situation for Iranian people is more dangerous now than before the war,” said Narges Mohammadi, a Nobel Prize-winning Iranian human-rights activist who is one of the country’s highest profile opposition figures. She said the regime would do what it takes to consolidate power and is cracking down.

Esmail Qaani
Esmail Qaani, who heads an elite paramilitary force, appeared at a pro-regime rally in Tehran hours after the cease-fire began. Photo: majid asgaripour/Reuters
More than 1,000 people have been detained over the past two weeks for allegedly aiding Israel, according to Amnesty International.

On Saturday, senior officials attended state funerals for those killed in the war, including top military leaders and nuclear scientists, according to state media, in what appeared to be a show of strength. Those seen in public included President Masoud Pezeshkian, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Esmail Qaani, the leader of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ elite Quds Force who had earlier been reported killed.

Thousands of mourners gathered in Tehran waving flags and banners in support of the Islamic Republic, with smaller groups convening in other cities. Mass transit was operating free of charge in the capital, where underground stations filled up with people on their way to the procession. Some chanted “death to Israel,” according to a video shared by state broadcaster IRIB.

The Shia Islamist regime has also stepped up efforts to enforce strict rules governing what it considers to be appropriate behavior and dress.

“The morality police are back,” said a 44-year-old woman who said she had fled Tehran during the war. “The police even stopped us and questioned us, because the socks of the woman with me were too see-through.”

Israeli and U.S. airstrikes marked the first time Iran had come under sustained foreign attack on its own soil since an eight-year war with Iraq in the 1980s. The capital, Tehran, emerged as a primary war zone, and the Revolutionary Guard found itself in the crosshairs.

Throughout the strikes, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei sheltered in a bunker outside Tehran, unreachable by anyone but his closest allies, according to an Arab official briefed on the matter and an adviser to the Revolutionary Guard. His isolation complicated talks in Geneva with European nations seeking to mediate an end to the war, Arab officials said.

On Thursday, he spoke to the nation for the first time since June 19, seeking to play down the damage from the attack and rally the nation around the Iranian flag.

Security guard on Tehran street during ceasefire.
A security guard in Tehran after the Israel-Iran cease-fire. Photo: majid asgaripour/Reuters
“The Islamic Republic was victorious, and in return dealt a harsh blow to America’s face,” he said in a hoarse voice.

The attacks showed how deeply Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency had infiltrated Iran. They slipped explosive drones and other munitions into Iran, where they were used by teams of agents to take out air defenses and kill high profile targets.

“The Israelis organized penetrations, transfers of bombs and explosives, and recruited people from within,” Mohammad Amin-Nejad, Iran’s ambassador to France, told French broadcaster France 24 last week. It happened “right before our eyes. There were vulnerabilities.”

The atmosphere in Tehran remains tense as people start heading back to work and trying to resume normal life, residents reached by phone said.

Iran’s state-controlled media report new arrests and weapons seizures every day. Authorities said Tuesday they had filed 24 cases against alleged Israeli spies in Hamedan, a western Iranian city whose air base was heavily damaged on the first day of the strikes. The suspects “were sending information, photos, and videos to the enemy,” a media report said.

Access to the internet was restored Wednesday after being cut off for more than a week. But an official warning not to use messaging services such as WhatsApp was still in effect. The regime says it fears Israeli spies could hack into conversations and gain information.

On Wednesday, Iran’s intelligence ministry told residents to report any suspicious calls. Earlier, it passed out a set of tips about how to spot a spy.

The guidance warned citizens to watch their neighbors for comings and goings at odd hours; heavy use of masks, hats and sunglasses; and signs like metallic banging inside their homes. Spies, the tips said, might live in houses with “curtains that remain closed even during daylight hours.”

The domestic crackdown is adding to the widespread feeling of anxiety caused by the war. Dozens of Israeli strikes pounded Tehran, taking aim at missile and nuclear facilities, as well as symbols of the regime and its repression, including the infamous Evin Prison, where political prisoners are held.

Tehran’s affluent northern neighborhoods, home to many of the targeted nuclear scientists and senior commanders, were some of the worst-hit in the air campaign, rattling the city’s elite. Tehran experienced some of the most intense bombardments of the war just hours before the cease-fire came into effect.

Mourners at an Iranian soldier's funeral.
A funeral was held this week for an Iranian soldier who was killed in an Israeli strike. Photo: afp contributor#afp/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
Residents spent many of their nights awake, sometimes watching the war unfold from their balconies and rooftops, as missiles flashed across the sky followed by explosions and fires.

Iran’s health ministry said more than 600 people were killed and more than 4,800 injured during the war, according to state-run media, which didn’t say how many were from the armed forces.

While Iran remained defiant, it took precautions by transporting some of its most precious assets abroad. After Israel began targeting some energy infrastructure, Iran began transferring large amounts of stored crude to Asia, said Homayoun Falakshahi, head of crude-oil analysis at data commodities company Kpler.

As of June 22, the quantity of stored crude at Kharg Island—Iran’s main point of oil exports—had dropped, while volumes of Iranian oil stored near Singapore and China had risen, he said. The roughly five million barrels likely transferred abroad were worth about $375 million at oil prices prevailing at the time.

Last week, Iran flew at least four civilian aircraft to the Omani capital of Muscat for safekeeping. One of the planes included Iran’s presidential Airbus A340, which landed in Muscat on June 18, according to flight trackers.

Arab officials were surprised to learn the planes were empty of passengers. Instead, they said, they carried cash and assets, which Iranians weren’t allowed to offload because of sanctions. The planes themselves were also valuable as emergency exits for top officials.

The precautions show the level of pressure on Iran’s rulers during the war. They now have to find a way forward with no control of their own airspace and no help from their militias.

A crippling burden of sanctions will make rebuilding even harder.

“This was one of the most serious security breaches in the regime’s history, but it wasn’t a turning point. The leadership held, the streets stayed quiet, and the system proved again that it’s built not for popularity, but for survival,” said Narges Bajoghli, associate professor at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

“Iran’s system is built to withstand shocks,” Bajoghli said. “The regime hasn’t collapsed. It’s adapting, and younger IRGC and paramilitary cadres are stepping in—many of them more hard-line than those who were killed.”

Write to Sudarsan Raghavan at sudarsan.raghavan@wsj.com, Sune Engel Rasmussen at sune.rasmussen@wsj.com and Margherita Stancati at margherita.stancati@wsj.com
 

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Intercepted call of Iranian officials downplays damage of U.S. attack

The officials were heard saying Trump’s strike on Iran proved less devastating than expected. The administration calls the intelligence insignificant.

Warren P. Strobel
Updated June 29, 2025 at 1:48 p.m. EDTyesterday at 1:48 p.m. EDT

President Donald Trump during a press briefing at the White House on Friday. (Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post)
The United States obtained intercepted communication between senior Iranian officials discussing this month’s U.S. military strikes on Iran’s nuclear program and remarking that the attack was less devastating than they had expected, said four people familiar with the classified intelligence circulating within the U.S. government.

The communication, intended to be private, included Iranian government officials speculating as to why the strikes directed by President Donald Trump were not as destructive and extensive as they had anticipated, these people said. Like some others, they spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive intelligence.

The intercepted signals intelligence is the latest preliminary information offering a more complicated picture than the one conveyed by the president, who has said the operation “completely and totally obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program.

The Trump administration did not dispute the existence of the intercepted communication, which has not been previously reported, but strenuously disagreed with the Iranians’ conclusions and cast doubt on their ability to assess the damage at the three nuclear facilities targeted in the U.S. operation.

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“It’s shameful that The Washington Post is helping people commit felonies by publishing out-of-context leaks,” said White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt. “The notion that unnamed Iranian officials know what happened under hundreds of feet of rubble is nonsense. Their nuclear weapons program is over.”

Analysts broadly agree that the strikes involved immense U.S. firepower, including 30,000-pound bunker buster bombs and Tomahawk cruise missiles, that severely damaged the nuclear facilities in Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. But the extent of the destruction and how long it may take Iran to rebuild have been hotly debated amid reports that Iran moved its stockpiles of highly enriched uranium before the strike and that the explosions sealed off the entrance to two of the facilities but did not collapse their underground buildings.

When asked about the intercepted communication, a Trump administration official said the Iranians were “wrong because we’ve destroyed their metal conversion facility. We know that our weapons were delivered precisely where we wanted them to be delivered and they had the effect that we wanted.”

During classified congressional briefings last week, CIA Director John Ratcliffe told lawmakers that several key nuclear sites were completely destroyed, including Iran’s metal conversion operations, a U.S. official said. The facility, which is key to building a bomb’s explosive core, would take years to rebuild, the official said. Ratcliffe also said the U.S. intelligence community assesses that the “vast majority” of Iran’s enriched uranium is “likely buried at Isfahan and Fordow.”

After The Post sought comment from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, a senior U.S. intelligence official said that “one slice of signals intelligence on its own does not reflect the full intelligence picture.”

“A single phone call between unnamed Iranians is not the same as an intelligence assessment, which takes into account a body of evidence, with multiple sources and methods,” this official said.

Intercepted phone calls, emails and other electronic communications, known as signals intelligence, are among the most powerful tools in U.S. spy agencies’ arsenal and often make up the majority of intelligence in Trump’s daily intelligence briefing. But signals intelligence also has limitations, as overheard snippets of conversations sometimes lack context and must be paired with other information for a fuller picture of events.

Trump has been furious about news coverage that has deviated from his claims about the bombing mission, which preceded a ceasefire between Iran and Israel ending 12 days of hostilities.

“The Democrats are the ones who leaked the information,” he wrote on Truth Social, referring to a preliminary assessment from the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency that Trump’s intervention likely set back Iran’s nuclear program by months, not years. “They should be prosecuted!”

Trump also cast doubt on reports that the uranium stockpile was moved, saying during a prerecorded interview with Fox News that was scheduled to air Sunday: “I don’t think they did, no. It’s very hard to do; it’s very dangerous to do. … They didn’t know we were coming until just then.”

The Defense Intelligence Agency finding was based on information available roughly 24 hours after the strike and concluded that some of Iran’s centrifuges, used to enrich uranium that could be used in a nuclear weapon, remain intact.

The Trump administration has criticized some media outlets for failing to note that the DIA report, which it deems “low confidence,” cautions that a full battle damage assessment requires “days-to-weeks to accumulate the necessary data to assess effects on the target system.”

However, the administration has not waited to assert its own sweeping conclusions that the strikes have set back Iran’s program by “years.” Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who briefed reporters on the operation Thursday alongside the Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman, Gen. Dan Caine, said Trump “directed the most complex and secretive military operation in history — and it was a resounding success.”

On Capitol Hill, disagreements about the effectiveness of the strikes remained after the Trump administration’s classified briefings to lawmakers last week.

“I walk away from that briefing still under the belief that we have not obliterated the program,” Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Connecticut) told reporters. “The president was deliberately misleading the public when he said the program was obliterated. It is certain that there is still significant capability, significant equipment that remain.

“You cannot bomb knowledge out of existence — no matter how many scientists you kill,” Murphy added. “There are still people in Iran who know how to work centrifuges. And if they still have enriched uranium and they still have the ability to use centrifuges, then you’re not setting back the program by years. You’re setting back the program by months.”

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina), a close ally of Trump, said “obliteration” was a “good word” to describe the strikes, which he said set back the program by years. But he acknowledged that Iran’s capabilities could be restored.

“The real question is, have we obliterated their desire to have a nuclear weapon?” Graham told reporters. “I don’t want people to think that the site wasn’t severely damaged or obliterated. It was. But having said that, I don’t want people to think the problem is over, because it’s not.”

A U.S. official familiar with the administration’s closed briefing for lawmakers said that Ratcliffe, the CIA director, highlighted the Israelis’ destruction of Iran’s air defenses ahead of the U.S. operation to assert that “the idea that they can easily rebuild anything is ludicrous.”

The director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rafael Mariano Grossi, offered a mixed assessment during an interview with CBS News that was broadcast Sunday.

There is agreement that “a very serious level of damage” was done to Iran’s nuclear program, he said. “Iran used to have and still has, to some degree, capabilities in terms of treatment, conversion and enrichment of uranium.”

The facilities “have been destroyed to an important degree. Some is still standing,” he said.

Critics of Trump’s decision to use military force argue that he scuttled the chance of a diplomatic resolution, which is the only way of establishing an intrusive inspection regime to restrict and monitor Iran’s nuclear program. Tehran may also be more inclined to race toward a bomb as an insurance policy against any future regime change efforts by Washington or Israel.

Before the U.S. attack, the U.S. intelligence community concluded that Iran had not yet decided to build a nuclear bomb but was working on pathways to speed up the process if it chose to do so, U.S. officials have said.

U.S. officials counter that Trump’s strikes don’t preclude a diplomatic agreement and could improve the chances of one. On Wednesday, Trump announced that U.S. and Iranian officials would meet this week to discuss a potential nuclear deal, but Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, quickly denied that any meeting would occur.

Araghchi has said the impacts of the U.S. strike “were not little” and that Iranian authorities were determining the new realities of the country’s nuclear program, which would inform Tehran’s diplomatic outlook.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, has said Trump “exaggerated” the results of his strikes. “They attacked our nuclear facilities,” he said, “but they were unable to do anything important.”
 

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