I said it on here two years ago but I have some friends in the defense industry and back then they both said their companies were ramping up for “something” and they hadn’t seen that level of production since 2001-4. They work for two diff companies and don’t know each other and still both said end of 2019, start of 2020 is when it’s going down. Makes perfect sense with the wartime President route esp for an unlikable person like trump.
@ZoeGod is convinced there will be a war. I still doubt there will be a war, Bolton, Pompeo etc are examples of extreme stupidity but those crazy neocons do not have full control yet, there will be a lot of internal opposition, and so many analysts from Pentagon, CIA, NSA are drowning them in intelligence showing what war with Iran would be like. The war gamed scenarios are a disaster not because the US would lose in a conventional fashion but it is the asymmetrical nature of it.
First you must realize that Iran has been preparing for this since 1979. The entire armed forces are designed to fight the US.
There will not be any limited attack on Iran, if a single bomb lands on Iranian soil they will launch everything, leading to full scale war.
Within the first 24 hours Iran will destroy the oil fields in Saudi and use with its latest generation missiles that are totally immune to US patriot missiles. Add in the integration of S300 which has been modified to be as good as the S400 (Iran hasn’t requested S400 from Russia yet) and you have a situation where an Iran attack won't be stopped easily.
US bases in the Gulf will also be hit killing thousands within the first days.
You won't be seeing a carrier group sunk because although the politicians are morons, the US Navy knows that it's carriers are obsolete and only useful for bullying third world countries that can't fight back.
Any carrier group will be outside the Gulf in the Indian Ocean near Oman.
A carrier group inside the Gulf will be sunk within hours of the start of the war. The US navy has absolutely no defense at all, it's a sitting duck.
Within the first week of a war, oil production from Saudi and UAE (at least 15 million barrels per day) will be lost and no one can make up this. This will be leading to worldwide economic meltdown.
US dollar dies as the world reserve currency, so does world trade.
Iran is not Saddam Hussein. The first Gulf War was a unique event due to monumental stupidity.
The lessons learnt from Iraq and Yugoslavia and if you go back to WW2 is that if you can't hurt the armed forces, you target civilians and bomb them straight to the Stone age.
When NATO bombed Serbia, it was discovered that after one of the largest bombing campaign in history they hit less than 10 % of targets.
They took out their frustration on civilians by bombing schools , hospitals, factories, water and sewage treatment plants and bridges.
This is what convinced the Serbs to surrender.
Iran's known the modus operandum. They will not wait to get bombed back into the Stone age like Iraq, they will make sure they take out the world economy with them.