Official War With Iran Thread
- Thread starter Berniewood Hogan
- Start date
I got somebody over there invited us over a few months ago I was like
we was supposed to be there in a few months 
Thought this was worth sharing from a nat-sec guy on Twitter who modeled this exact scenario back in July after the earlier Israeli strikes. He basically said that once Iran hits existential territory like losing Khamenei today in the big US-Israeli barrage, they'd go asymmetric and hit the softest, highest-leverage targets: the Gulf states, especially the UAE. Why? Dubai/Abu Dhabi have ~9 million expats from basically every country on Earth; locking them down creates instant global pressure and chaos without needing to directly take on the US/Israel militaries head-on.
Add in closing the Strait of Hormuz, sealing UAE airspace, and threatening critical infrastructure (he hinted at water/desalination plants without going into details—those supply like 90% of UAE's fresh water). We're seeing pieces of it play out right now with reports of Iranian missiles/drones hitting Dubai airport, intercepts over Abu Dhabi, and strikes on US bases across Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, etc. Iran denied suicide-level retaliation before because of regime survival calculus, but with the Supreme Leader reportedly gone and Trump/Netanyahu going all-in on regime change, that restraint is off the table.
It’s not at full worst-case yet but the playbook looks spot-on so far.
And this take also makes sense
Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
the progress argument. We need a realistic 3rd party
The third party would eventually get corrupted by the Zionist state as well. Political donations need to be reformed and something about dual citizenship needs to be done as well
Bleed The Freak
Superstar
This is gonna be a spillover catastrophe for the entire region 
the next guy
Superstar
republican congressman suck
Mantis Toboggan M.D.
I’m here for the scraps
Lieutenant Danielle was always gonna be on that sort of shyt. The entire American government has to go at this point.
altruicsense
Lord of the 7 Kingdoms
these nikkaz really off'd the supreme leader in 1 day?
all these ra ra world leaders r soft as hell.. when push comes to shove its all theatre.
all these ra ra world leaders r soft as hell.. when push comes to shove its all theatre.
the next guy
Superstar
You mean this all part of the plan.This is gonna be a spillover catastrophe for the entire region
blow back:these nikkaz really off'd the supreme leader in 1 day?
all these ra ra world leaders r soft as hell.. when push comes to shove its all theatre.