Random NBA Observations 2016 - 2017

<<TheStandard>>

I Am A God
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
11,862
Reputation
2,647
Daps
35,916
Good call on Jazz I took wizards but they just got dominated early flat as fukk. Lucky this Celtics bet gonna hit unless they collapse


My model had this game a 100-100 pick em. I don't like to bet overnight lines because of the lack of lineup announcements and no ML's but when I saw +2.5 last night I knew it was off. At +2.5, +2.0 it's +EV but I found more value on the ML at +110......given that you're getting plus money and not laying juice for a game I felt they probably have > 47% chance of winning even on the road, rest really not being an issue. Jazz dominated the Wizards earlier this year in Utah and the Wizards looked like a regression candidate given how they performed pre all star break. The performance against the Sixers was pretty damning as well and said a lot about who this team truly is. I think had the Wizards not gone ape shyt pre all star break you might have saw this game at a PK.

Nuggets were playing 3 in four nights against a veteran Grizzlies team who didn't play well against Indy. Just a bad spot and a bit of a mispriced line if you ask me. My model had that game Nuggets -0.5.
My model isn't really the most sophisticated (I'm always working on newer ones) but I think just in conjunction with me watching a ton of basketball nightly I'm able to get an edge regularly.
 

Conscious Pilot

Do Better.
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
37,735
Reputation
11,242
Daps
189,831
Reppin
Beaches and Palm Trees
Russell
ub1sL.jpg
 

DoubleJ13

Smooth sailing from here on out...
Joined
May 14, 2012
Messages
18,567
Reputation
1,454
Daps
47,190
Reppin
Thunder/TSC
Hope to fukk Russy is alright.

These refs ain't having shyt out here, they already called 5 techs & their calling them quick as shyt :mindblown:
 

KOBE

Superstar
Joined
Apr 30, 2014
Messages
7,719
Reputation
1,100
Daps
34,379
Damn Ibaka is playing well with the Raps. He's good at keeping the ball moving too if he doesn't have a look he likes. Going to be interesting to watch the team when Lowry gets back.
 
Top