Republicans Hold Their Edge in State-Level Politics; Cementing Minority Rule in 2020s

Copy Ninja

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GOP gaining house seats is pretty indicative of how much gerrymandering is going to stymie dems for the forceable future. And the fact that trump defied polling and brought out the magas in full force.

White votes for Trump actually decreased vs his white votes in 2016.

Black and Latino votes did expand for Trump.
 

ZoeGod

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This is why the Republican Party sees no reason for them to expand the tent. They have the advantage in state legislatures and the courts. They will double down in voter supression and gut voting rights as they control the courts. This is destabilizing because beat believe we will see future 2016s. Republicans will win presidential elections while losing the popular vote. Democrats have all the demographic advantage and yet will still lose. This is not sustainable in the long term. Something will have to give. :francis: Republicans and their base plan in the long term while we are reactive. Not a good look.
 

BillBanneker

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White votes for Trump actually decreased vs his white votes in 2016.

Black and Latino votes did expand for Trump.

That's only for white men, trump gained with white women from what I saw with the exit polling (CNN). Combined that with gerrymandering and it makes sense of the lost seats, aside maybe (South) Florida and Texas. That's the big places where the gains for trump really got them screwed seat-wise.

EDIT: trump apparently lost greatly with white educated men, I would like to see the regional breakdown for this. Would be interesting to see if trump just lost educated white men in more dem held states/areas or in mostly the battleground states.
 
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FAH1223

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This is why the Republican Party sees no reason for them to expand the tent. They have the advantage in state legislatures and the courts. They will double down in voter supression and gut voting rights as they control the courts. This is destabilizing because beat believe we will see future 2016s. Republicans will win presidential elections while losing the popular vote. Democrats have all the demographic advantage and yet will still lose. This is not sustainable in the long term. Something will have to give. :francis: Republicans and their base plan in the long term while we are reactive. Not a good look.

It all started with the Powell Memo. The Powell Memo (also known as the Powell Manifesto)
 

Cave Savage

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Its gonna be real bad starting next year. Those maps will get even more gerrymandered.

Dems will probably pickup 10 seats in aggregate but they will never get to 218 in the US House of Representatives until the 2030s. I'm almost willing to do a ban bet on that.


Does it really make a difference whether the House lead is 10 seats or 20 seats? It's a much different dynamic than the Senate.
 

Pressure

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Dems really believe their losses are due 100% to gerrymandering :ohhh:
Not unpopular policies or bad messaging...





:whew:Rethugs about to reclaim the house...
I think it's more problematic as the disarray in messaging from the left here.

Did dems lose seats because of gerrymandering or "centrist" policy?
 

Baka's Weird Case

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we need to get referenda like this on the ballots in more states

https://www.virginiamercury.com/202...commission-to-handle-political-redistricting/

For years, redistricting reform advocates have been arguing something should be done to curb Virginia’s long history of political gerrymandering.

On Tuesday, voters overwhelmingly agreed, passing a constitutional amendment that largely strips the General Assembly of its authority to redraw legislative and congressional districts, a historic shift in a system that dates back to Virginia’s colonial beginnings.

Wielding that power instead will be a 16-member, bipartisan redistricting commission made up of both sitting lawmakers and citizens, a panel designed to conduct its business publicly as opposed to the secretive, insider-driven processes of the past.
 
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