I am saying that if everything goes right moving forward he will be an elite defensive player. Noel has quick hands, it should be expected that at times he's going to bite more than he chews. But again, he's been compared to some all time greats as early as his rookie season so I don't think it can be attributed to Noel being a gambler.
Only one other rookie since the NBA started counting blocks in 1973 averaged at least 2 blocks and 1.5 steals his rookie season—David Robinson in 1989-90. Even more impressive for Noel is that Robinson was 24 his rookie year, after playing four years at Navy and serving two years of military service. Noel turns 21 on Friday, meaning he will put up historic numbers in a season in which he can’t legally drink
Since 1973, only two players averaged at least 2.5 blocks and 2 steals per game over a full season—Robinson and Hakeem Olajuwon, who incredibly did it four times.
I think he was put into multiple bad situations but we will see what happens one way or another.