Give him 1 point in Maine and New Hampshire.
Show me any information that Hillary will do worse than this possible map
- Thread starter Dr. Acula
- Start date
Racism and crassness is tolerated by white people. But if you start talking about raping their woman it's a wrap
If trump gets California
Rapmastermind
Superstar
Trump has "ONE" path to the presidency and it's going to take some serious gymnastics to get there. I laugh when he says, "It's Rigged" but to me if he wins it will be rigged because of the level of diffculity. He literally has to sweep all the swing states and even then as you posted, Hillary still wins. This is why Hillary picked Kaine. Virginia was the checkmate all along. Had Trump had Virgina all the sudden he has 4 or 5 paths. The Dems knew this thus Tim Kaine was selected.
From Richmond City Council Member to VP Candidate—Tim Kaine has never lost a race
From Richmond City Council Member to VP Candidate—Tim Kaine has never lost a race
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@wire28 @Elephant Emoji @*Hulks Up* @DetroitEWarren @Eastside Get The Money
yall better find time to vote 
What bothers me about all of this is that Obama is gonna get off scott free in the eyes of Black people and his inaction on issues that affected us. We are gonna be punch drunk over having our first female president and putting on our
Comparing her to Margaret Thatcher(as if that is a good thing) andthen we wont get another national police kililng case say....hmmm
until May. Obama will be giving public speeches at that time and talking down opinions that he shortchanged Black people and tell people he helped release alot of people in prison.
I will laugh my ass off though if and when Hillary still repeals ObamaCare. I know its just playing politics but i do not see how a man could support the Clintons like he did after they showed their racism to him in 2008 and Bill made coffee jokes like he is a servant. Got no damn self-respect for himself.
Did i just go completely off topic from the thread?Of course i did.
fukk Obama
newworldafro
DeeperThanRapBiggerThanHH
Possible scenario but there are some states with 3 to 4 electoral college votes that could turn this......don't forget the walking dead voters, machines flipping votes, illegal immigrants voting and yeah it could go down to the wire
Rapmastermind
Superstar
What bothers me about all of this is that Obama is gonna get off scott free in the eyes of Black people and his inaction on issues that affected us. We are gonna be punch drunk over having our first female president and putting on our
Comparing her to Margaret Thatcher(as if that is a good thing) andthen we wont get another national police kililng case say....hmmm
I will laugh my ass off though if and when Hillary still repeals ObamaCare. I know its just playing politics but i do not see how a man could support the Clintons like he did after they showed their racism to him in 2008 and Bill made coffee jokes like he is a servant. Got no damn self-respect for himself.
Did i just go completely off topic from the thread?Of course i did.
fukk Obama
Yeah Obama will have a mixed legacy in the Black Community but he will still be an Iconic Legend to us just for getting to the top. Look the Clintons RUN the Democratic Party. Once Barack became the nominee in 08 promises behind close doors were made to make sure Hillary wins 8 years from then which is why she released her delegates to him with no drama and conseeded the race. The deal was she would be his Sec of State, quit after 4 years and then run and Barack would have to support her during the run as President. Barack is Bill and Hillary Political Black Son, lol. As for Hillary and the Woman Pres thing, people love to say "Identiy Politics" as if having a White Man being President for 250 Years isn't the defintion of "White Male Idenity Politics", lol.
I'm not even saying Hillary deserves to be the first but the powers that be have chosen her. (Honestly She respesents Barack and Bill's 3rd Term as well as her 1st) We should of had a Black person and Women Pres a long time ago but obviously in this system we know how that goes. Hillary most likely won't do much for Black People but I do forsee her and Bill introducing a "Reparations" Bill of some kind, it will probably be watered down and weak but I could see it happening. Even when "Queen" Hillary wins, Blacks have to have a new political stradegy going foward. The Congressional Black Caucus and other Political Blacks haven't gotten the job done. Trust me though, The Democrats got Ethered something serious this cycle, more than ever. They lost a lot of the Black Youth to Adults ages 40 and under.
already got the absentee filled and ready to take up to city hall in the next day or two@wire28 @Elephant Emoji @*Hulks Up* @DetroitEWarren @Eastside Get The Money
yall better find time to vote
I'm #Trumpset but I've maintained the entire time Hillary is more likely to win.
At face value, the map you provided pretty much guarantees a Hillary win. Trump getting all the states he has in that map is possible but I wouldn't say more then a 50-50 shot.
The only scenarios I see beyond that map is NH (which would force a tie unless he also got Maine's 2nd Congressional District), PA or CO.
For Trump to win, polling has to underestimating his support, similar to the Brexit vote. Aggregate polling had Remain up 2 points (Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum - Wikipedia) on the day of the election but Leave won by 4 points. Brexit was being polled everyday by multiple reputable pollsters so it's not like there was a shortage of data. Still, the polls were off by 6 points.
IF the polls here are off by 6 points in Trump's favor, Trump will win. In that scenario, Trump would have a 50-50 or better shot at CO, PA, VA, MI, WI, NH, ME and maybe MN. More than enough to put him over the top.
Now why would polling underestimate Trump here? I'm not endorsing any of these points per se, but the possibilities:
- People not wanting to admit to pollsters they're for Trump
- Sampling errors that over estimate the minority vote (just like in 2014, where pollsters too heavily weighted data that had Obama on the ballot to determine minority turnout, see Virginia polling vs. Virginia actuals: United States Senate election in Virginia, 2014 - Wikipedia)
- Low turnout, which we're likely to have here, always makes polls less reliable
- Polls failing to calculate this cycle's unusually strong 3rd party candidates correctly
At face value, the map you provided pretty much guarantees a Hillary win. Trump getting all the states he has in that map is possible but I wouldn't say more then a 50-50 shot.
The only scenarios I see beyond that map is NH (which would force a tie unless he also got Maine's 2nd Congressional District), PA or CO.
For Trump to win, polling has to underestimating his support, similar to the Brexit vote. Aggregate polling had Remain up 2 points (Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum - Wikipedia) on the day of the election but Leave won by 4 points. Brexit was being polled everyday by multiple reputable pollsters so it's not like there was a shortage of data. Still, the polls were off by 6 points.
IF the polls here are off by 6 points in Trump's favor, Trump will win. In that scenario, Trump would have a 50-50 or better shot at CO, PA, VA, MI, WI, NH, ME and maybe MN. More than enough to put him over the top.
Now why would polling underestimate Trump here? I'm not endorsing any of these points per se, but the possibilities:
- People not wanting to admit to pollsters they're for Trump
- Sampling errors that over estimate the minority vote (just like in 2014, where pollsters too heavily weighted data that had Obama on the ballot to determine minority turnout, see Virginia polling vs. Virginia actuals: United States Senate election in Virginia, 2014 - Wikipedia)
- Low turnout, which we're likely to have here, always makes polls less reliable
- Polls failing to calculate this cycle's unusually strong 3rd party candidates correctly
Rapmastermind
Superstar
It's crazy looking at this map because it's the WORST Hillary can do. Trump going to need a Regan like performance, lol:
This map still floors me till this day.
theworldismine13
God Emperor of SOHH
if there is a tie it will go to this guy
Evan McMullin made Utah a presidential battleground. Next, he'll try to transform conservative politics
mc_brew
#NotMyPresident
i highly doubt it... if paul ryan tried to give it to him he'd have millions of rabid trump supporters plus millions of hilltron supporters ripping him to shreds... talk about the possibility of a civil war.....
The republicans wouldn't risk this. You know how much an uprising would occur? Basically the American public voting majority for clinton or trump and you come in and at you're not getting either, you're getting this guy.
The republican congress will play it safe and just give it to trump.