So how many black people will come out and vote in 2016?

[Jello Biafra]

Turnout is lower for everybody for midterms, but we'll still have decent turnout in 2016. It'll probably be slightly lower but I don't see any huge drop.

People act like black people never voted before 2008 or something.

The numbers will go back down to pre-Obama turnout though. Unless there is a viable black person running for president again black folks will not come out in record numbers but instead go back to the numbers we had in 2004 and earlier.

 

[Ed MOTHERFUCKING G]

Blacks are going to vote for Hillary

We have no favor or allegiance to her...

 

[Ed MOTHERFUCKING G]

The numbers will go back down to pre-Obama turnout though. Unless there is a viable black person running for president again black folks will not come out in record numbers but instead go back to the numbers we had in 2004 and earlier.

I strongly disagree. The generation who started that movement will be 4 years older and truly see the power in voting. This wasnt just an obama only fluke. Like i said, the youth movement started in 2000....and black voters came out then and never stopped..obama just exponentially increased that turnout

 

[acri1]

The numbers will go back down to pre-Obama turnout though. Unless there is a viable black person running for president again black folks will not come out in record numbers but instead go back to the numbers we had in 2004 and earlier.

In 2004, black turnout was about 60%, in 2008 it was about 65%. White turnout is usually around 66-67%.

It might go down a few percentage points, but it's not as huge a difference from whites as the media acts like. People act like black people voting in elections was unheard of before 2008 or something.

Blacks are going to vote for Hillary

Black people will vote for whoever gets the Democratic nomination like we've been doing for the last 50 or so years.

 

[Jello Biafra]

I strongly disagree. The generation who started that movement will be 4 years older and truly see the power in voting. This wasnt just an obama only fluke. Like i said, the youth movement started in 2000....and black voters came out then and never stopped..obama just exponentially increased that turnout

The only evidence we have of that is the 2010 midterms.
And despite the fact that turnout for midterms is never as high as for presidential elections but considering how important that election turned out to be (handing Congress back to the Repubs) and how hard Obama was out there campaigning for Dems that year, the fact that black turnout dropped off from 13% to 10% showed that without Obama on the ballot black folks are not going to come out in the same high numbers.
Now there are flaws in that comparison for sure so we won't really know until 2016 to see if the same numbers are going to be motivated to come out and vote.

 

[thelonious21]

Mark my words.. Michelle is going to run.. if not for the big office.. for something

 

[CASHAPP]

Mark my words.. Michelle is going to run.. if not for the big office.. for something

Governor Of Illinois?

 

[Captain Crunch]

That dude at the DMC w/ the daughter flipping her hair will be the President in 4 years.

 

[the cac mamba]

Just what I was about to say. That's unfortunate because I think this election has shown Republicans that they can no longer survive not giving a fukk about the minority vote. We have a chance to change the course of this country right now

this is def true. wouldnt even say strictly minorities, prolly the youth vote as well

 

[Mook]

you losers didn't get the memo? you don't matter anymore, it's all about Latinos. no one cares what you vote

Sent from my Galaxy Nexus using Tapatalk 2

 

[CASHAPP]

 

[Atlrocafella]

if Trump makes it to the nomination, TrumpSet will be out in full force

 

[plushcarpet]

if you're not voting in your local/state elections then you've already lost