The basic reason oil keeps getting cheaper and cheaper

No1

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By Chris Mooney December 12 at 10:48 AM
imrs.php

This Dec. 3 file photo a sign displays the price for E-10 gasoline for $1.99 at the OnCue convenience store and gas station in Oklahoma City. (EDMOND SUN OUT, OKLAHOMA GAZETTE)

Oil prices continued their slump even lower today, with West Texas Intermediate crude -- a U.S. benchmark -- now well below $60 per barrel. This is part of a momentous decline of over $40 per barrel since late July.

One catalyst today is the International Energy Agency's release of its latestOil Market Report, which lowered the agency's forecast for global oil demand growth in 2015 by 230,000 barrels per day. This means that demand in 2015 is only expected to exceed demand this year by .9 million barrels per day, a sluggish 1 percent rate of growth.

The report could not be more plain that the fundamental cause of the sharp oil price decline -- whose knock-on effects include markedly lower gas prices in the U.S., and soon, perhaps, lower airfares -- is an imbalance between supply and demand.

Or as IEA puts it: "Several years of record high prices have induced the root cause of today’s rout: a surge in non‐[Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries] supply to its highest growth ever and a contraction in demand growth to five‐year lows."

The report provides this telling figure -- showing a gulf opening between levels of global oil supply, and global demand to consume that oil:

imrs.php


The IEA also goes into great depth about which countries are creating these imbalances. Demand in Europe, Japan, and China is slack or less than expected -- even as production in the United States is way up, and the OPEC nations are keeping production steady.

The biggest country-level headline from the report, though, involves Russia.

The report issues what it calls a "severe downgrade" in its forecast of Russian oil demand, due to the fact that economic activity is expected to decline markedly in the country -- itself partly a result of oil revenues decreasing as oil prices have slumped (as well as international economic sanctions).

And according to IEA, there may be no letup any time soon to the downward economic pressures on oil prices. "It may well take some time for supply and demand to respond to the price rout," writes the agency.
 

aliG

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Why is there such a price difference between Gasoline and Diesel?
 

unit321

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Why is there such a price difference between Gasoline and Diesel?
When crude oil gets refined, they can control, to some extent, how much gas they want, how much diesel they want, kerosene, etc. If they want more gasoline per gallon, they are going to make less of another fuel, so they might say, let's make less diesel and more gasoline. Or they might say, let's make more kerosene and less gas and diesel.
With lower diesel supply, the price is higher per barrel. Diesel used to be cheaper than gas a long time ago.
 

unit321

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It takes less refining from crude oil to make diesel fuel, which often makes diesel less expensive than gasoline.

Outside of demand, it comes down to refinement - extra refinement -> extra cost.
Diesel costs more than gasoline. It's even in the picture the OP posted.
 

ill

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Diesel costs more than gasoline. It's even in the picture the OP posted.

True. I didn't catch that :snoop: This is what I could find.

On-highway diesel fuel prices have been higher than regular gasoline prices almost continuously since September 2004, a break from the historical pattern of diesel fuel prices usually being lower than gasoline prices except in cold winters when demand for heating oil pushed diesel fuel prices higher. The main reasons why diesel fuel prices have been higher than gasoline prices in recent years are:
  • High worldwide demand for diesel fuel and other distillate fuel oils, especially in Europe, China, India, and the United States, and a tight global refining capacity available to meet demand during the period of high economic growth from 2002 to mid-2008.
  • The transition to less polluting, lower-sulfur diesel fuels in the United States affected diesel fuel production and distribution costs.
  • The Federal excise tax for on-highway diesel fuel of 24.4 cents/gallon is 6 cents per gallon higher the gasoline tax.

http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=9&t=5
 

Regular_P

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Regardless of the reasons, it's about fukking time. These oil companies have been making record profits for years. Tired of seeing articles in the paper everyday about OPEC and these oil companies whining about the dropping prices. fukk 'em. :yeshrug:
 

88m3

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Regardless of the reasons, it's about fukking time. These oil companies have been making record profits for years. Tired of seeing articles in the everyday about OPEC and these oil companies whining about the dropping prices. fukk 'em. :yeshrug:

Word, especially all the pandas BP killed in the Gulf.


I don't feel sorry for them.
 

Regular_P

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I dont know all the reasons but one is other countries are not like the US where we primarily use gas. Other countries primarily use diesel. So one of the factors is the international demand
Wouldn't a major reason for falling prices be the rise of more fuel efficient cars as a reaction to the rising gas prices? Europe (I don't know for sure, but I'd assume the same could be said for Asia) was obviously far ahead of the US in that department.
 

88m3

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Wouldn't a major reason for falling prices be the rise of more fuel efficient cars as a reaction to the rising gas prices? Europe (I don't know for sure, but I'd assume the same could be said for Asia) was obviously far ahead of the US in that department.

Well by law companies are being pushed towards more fuel efficient cars(thankfully) with lower gas prices even if temporarily at least in America people probably won't look at mpg as closely as in the past.

:manny:


I'd seen that numerous European cities were starting to curtail non essential driving in capitals and cities to cut down on congestion and smog. I even saw recently Paris was looking to ban diesel vehicles which seems extreme as a pretty high percentage of cars in Europe are last I knew.
 

unit321

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I paid $2.29/gallon for 87 octane yesterday. :wtf:
I thought I would never see cheap prices again.
 
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