The OFFICIAL 2016 College football RANDOM THOUGHTS thread

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Six SEC upsets to keep an eye on in 2016


Six SEC upsets to keep an eye on in 2016



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Mar 21, 2016



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      Edward AschoffESPN Staff Writer
No one has a perfect NCAA bracket. None of us are even close to a clean sheet and anyone claiming otherwise is fibbing like no other.

It's been a terrifically wacky NCAA Tournament, with 16 lower ranked seeds winning through the first two rounds.

In honor of this year's wild, upset-filled NCAA Tournament, we thought we'd take a look at six upsets to keep an eye on this fall in the SEC. As a whole, the SEC has more questions than usual, making it a bit more exciting trying to pick bona fide favorites for the fall. So just like the NCAA tournament, expect some craziness this fall, as teams try to find their bearings in what could be one of the most topsy-turvy seasons we've seen in the SEC in a while.

1. Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech, Sept. 10 (in Bristol, Tenn.): The Vols are the early SEC East favorite, while Virginia Tech is under new management. But don't sleep on Justin Fuente and a Hokies team with nothing to lose early in the season. That Virginia Tech defense will pull out all of the stops to make Tennessee quarterback Joshua Dobbs as uncomfortable as possible. All the pressure is on Tennessee, and who knows how this team will react to what could be an overwhelming environment inside Bristol Motor Speedway with a mighty large target on its back.

2. LSU at Auburn, Sept. 24: The last time the Bayou Bengals headed to the Plains, they limped out with an embarrassing 41-7 loss. LSU will be one of the favorites to dethrone Alabama this year, and while we aren't exactly sure what to make of an Auburn team with a new defense and probably a new quarterback, there's pressure on Auburn to succeed in 2016. Gus Malzahn's seat is heating up and a win over LSU early would cool some of those flames. And don't forget that after all that late-season drama with Les Miles, he's kind of in must-win territory, too.

3. Alabama at Tennessee, Oct. 15: This rivalry finally got a little more bite to it last season when Tennessee took the Tide to the wire. Now, you have the early SEC favorites facing off in Knoxville, where the Vols could get the jump on an Alabama team with a lot that's new, including quarterback and running back. Tennessee has the mobile quarterback Alabama can't stand and are arguably the SEC's most experienced team returning. This will be the best chance Butch Jones has had to end Tennessee's nine-game losing streak to Alabama.

4. LSU at Florida, Oct. 8: We have no clue what Florida's offense will look like in 2016, but that defense should still be fierce. If Brandon Harris figures things out at quarterback, LSU will be a threat to make the College Football Playoff. And if Florida can put together a serviceable passing game, the Tigers will have their hands full in what will no doubt be a raucous atmosphere in the Swamp.

5. Alabama at Arkansas, Oct. 8: Alabama hasn't lost to Arkansas since 2006, but the last time the Tide was in Fayetteville, it squeaked out a 14-13 win. Both of these teams are having to rebuild at some important positions, especially on offense, but Arkansas could start to grow and hit its stride by October if it can find the right offensive pieces. Plus, Arkansas' defensive line could give Alabama's offensive line fits in front of that Fayetteville crowd.

6. Georgia at Ole Miss, Sept. 24: The Rebels are officially SEC contenders. There's just no getting around what Hugh Freeze has done. Ole Miss will likely be favored for this early home matchup, but new Georgia coach Kirby Smart can't be overlooked. The Rebels are looking for a running game and a go-to receiver. Smart is looking for a lot more, but he's a defensive mastermind and will play to his strengths by trying to unnerve the Rebels' offense.

Five more that could be sneaky good:

  • Texas A&M at South Carolina, Oct. 1

  • Georgia at South Carolina, Oct. 8

  • Texas A&M at Alabama, Oct. 22

  • Arkansas at Missouri, Nov. 26

  • Florida at Florida State, Nov. 26

    Six SEC upsets to keep an eye on in 2016



 

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How long it's been since each college football team's last first round NFL Draft picks

College football is one of America's least balanced sports. The landscape has clear haves and have-nots, with national championships reserved for a select few recruiting powers.

But in the realm of the NFL Draft, almost every major program has gotten a taste of the top. Some programs churn out far more draftees than others, of course, but all but two Power 5 programs have had a first-round draft pick since 2005. Indiana's 20-year drought since its last first-rounder in 1994 could end this year with offensive tackle Jason Spriggs, while Iowa State's 41-year stretch since a pick in 1973 is likely to continue.

Here's how the country stacks up in recency of first-round selections, by conference:

SEC
Team Year Player
Georgia 2015 Todd Gurley, Rams RB
Kentucky 2015 Bud Dupree, Steelers LB
Missouri 2015 Shane Ray, Broncos DL
Alabama 2015 Amari Cooper, Raiders WR
Texas A&M 2015 Cedric Ogbuehi, Bengals OL
Florida 2015 Dante Fowler, Jaguars DL
D.J. Humphries, Cardinals OL
Tennessee 2014 Ja'Wuan James, Dolphins OL
South Carolina 2014 Jadeveon Clowney, Texans DL
LSU 2014 Odell Beckham Jr., Giants WR
Auburn 2014 Dee Ford, Chiefs DL
Mississippi State 2012 Fletcher Cox, Eagles DL
Ole Miss 2009 Michael Oher, Ravens OL
Vanderbilt 2008 Chris Wlliams, Bears OL
Arkansas 2008 Darren McFadden, Raiders RB
Felix Jones, Cowboys RB
Every team in the SEC has had someone go in the first round over the past eight drafts, and 11 of 14 teams have had a first rounder in just the past two drafts. That's an impressive run of top selections.

Ole Miss hasn't gotten one since 2009, but that's certainly going to end in the first few moments of this year's draft, when someone takes tackle Laremy Tunsil.

ACC


Team Year Player
Clemson 2015 Vic Beasley, Falcons LB
Stephone Anthony, Saints LB
Florida State 2015 Jameis Winston, Buccaneers QB
Cameron Erving, Browns OL
Louisville 2015 DeVante Parker, Louisville WR
Wake Forest 2015 Kevin Johnson, Texans DB
Miami 2015 Phillip Dorsett, Colts WR
Duke 2015 Laken Tomlinson, Lions OL
Notre Dame* 2014 Zack Martin, Cowboys OL
North Carolina 2014 Eric Ebron, Lions TE
Pitt 2014 Aaron Donald, Rams DL
Virginia Tech 2014 Kyle Fuller, Bears DB
Syracuse 2013 Justin Pugh, Giants OL
Boston College 2012 Luke Kuechly, Panthers LB
Georgia Tech 2010 Derrick Morgan, Titans DL
Demaryius Thomas, Broncos WR
Virginia 2009 Eugene Monroe, Jaguars OL
NC State 2006 Mario Williams, Texans DL
Manny Lawson, 49ers DL
John McCargo, Bills DL
The ACC is interesting. Six different teams in this league had first-round picks last year alone, but it's been a long while for some of the teams near the bottom of the conference.

NC State put an incredible three defensive linemen in the first round in 2006 (including top overall pick Mario Williams) but hasn't had anyone go higher than 52nd overall in the nine years since then.

*We know.

Big Ten
Team Year Player
Michigan State 2015 Trae Waynes, Vikings DB
Wisconsin 2015 Melvin Gordon, Chargers RB
Iowa 2015 Brandon Scherff, Washington OL
Ohio State 2014 Ryan Shazier, Steelers LB
Bradley Roby, Broncos DB
Michigan 2014 Taylor Lewan, Titans OL
Illinois 2012 Whitney Mercilus, Texans LB/DE
Purdue 2011 Ryan Kerrigan, Washington LB
Nebraska 2011 Prince Amukamara, Giants DB
Penn State 2010 Jared Odrick, Dolphins DL
Rutgers 2010 Anthony Davis, 49ers OL
Devin McCourty, Patriots DB
Maryland 2009 Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders WR
Minnesota 2006 Laurence Maroney, Patriots RB
Northwestern 2005 Luis Castillo, Chargers DL
Indiana 1994 Thomas Lewis, Giants WR
One of these is not like the others.

The Big Ten has generally had at least two teams per year with first-round picks for the last several years, although it's been a decade since Minnesota and Northwestern had someone taken in the first 32. But the real outlier is Indiana, which trails all Power 5 teams in this department except for Iowa State.

But it's not like the Hoosiers haven't had NFL talent. Even though they haven't landed many blue-chip high school recruits, they've sent some really good players to the pros, including a bunch of second-to-fourth-rounders. Tackle Rodger Saffold went 33rd overall to the Rams in 2010, just one spot outside the first round.

Big 12
Team Year Player
Texas 2015 Malcom Brown, Patriots DL
West Virginia 2015 Kevin White, Bears WR
Oklahoma State 2014 Justin Gilbert, Browns DB
TCU 2014 Jason Verrett, Chargers DB
Oklahoma 2013 Lane Johnson, Eagles OL
Baylor 2012 Kendall Wright, Titans WR
Texas Tech 2009 Michael Crabtree, 49ers WR
Kansas State 2009 Josh Freeman, Buccaneers QB
Kansas 2008 Aqib Talib, Buccaneers DB
Iowa State 1973 George Amundson, Oilers RB
It isn't surprising that Iowa State would be the least recent school to have a first-round pick out of the Big 12, but there is still a wild difference between the Cyclones and their peers.

No Power 5 team is even with 20 years of Iowa State's dry spell on the first-round pick circuit, and unlike the next-closest team (Indiana), the Cyclones haven't had a lot of mid-round picks to make up for it. Tackle Kelechi Osemele went 60th overall to the Ravens in 2012, making him the sixth-highest picked Cyclone ever and the highest since 1990. Amundson is the only first-rounder in program history, and the team that picked him doesn't currently exist with that name. After 1990, just three Cyclones have gone in the first three rounds.

Pac-12
Team Year Player
Stanford 2015 Andrus Peat, Saints OL
Oregon 2015 Marcus Mariota, Titans QB
Arik Armstead, 49ers DL
Washington 2015 Danny Shelton, Browns DL
Marcus Peters, Chiefs DB
Shaq Thompson, Panthers LB
USC 2015 Leonard Williams, Jets DL
Nelson Agholor, Eagles WR
Arizona State 2015 Damarious Randall, Packers DB
Washington State 2014 Deone Bucannon, Cardinals DB
Oregon State 2014 Brandin Cooks, Saints WR
UCLA 2014 Anthony Barr, Vikings LB
Utah 2013 Star Lotulelei, Panthers DL
Cal 2011 Cameron Jordan, Saints DL
Colorado 2011 Nate Solder, Patriots OL
Jimmy Smith, Ravens DB
Arizona 2008 Antoine Cason, Chargers DB
Everyone's had a pick since 2008, matching the Pac-12 with the SEC for the shortest window of time to have gotten every school involved in the first 32 selections. Arizona's run of no first-rounders since 2008 will probably continue this year, as will Colorado's since 2011. Cal's streak from the same year should end with quarterback Jared Goff.


interesting. to ook at
 
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